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Fridays Plays

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by mohjo:

Thoughts on the Marlins?
 
keep up w/ whatever you do to pick winners


I'm getting -131 on them right now. Ive mentioned before that I dont pay much attention to the lines, but thats a pretty hefty price for a team on a 4 game losing streak vs. the team with the best record in baseball who even without Manny just went into Philly and won two in a row vs the champs and whose starting pitcher today is coming off a complete game shutout. Volstad has lost two in a row as well. It looks to me like they want dodger money. This could be the 3rd time this year that I let a line affect a play I make. Any thoughts from anyone?
 
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Posted: #27
I can't pick a game with Hernandez in it. He likes to fuck me. My solid lock today is the Royals. Good luck AJ. And good luck to me too.
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by AJPierzynski:



I'm getting -131 on them right now. Ive mentioned before that I dont pay much attention to the lines, but thats a pretty hefty price for a team on a 4 game losing streak vs. the team with the best record in baseball who even without Manny just went into Philly and won two in a row vs the champs and whose starting pitcher today is coming off a complete game shutout. Volstad has lost two in a row as well. It looks to me like they want dodger money. This could be the 3rd time this year that I let a line affect a play I make. Any thoughts from anyone?


Plenty of other fish in the sea...
 
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Posted: #29
fish hit leftys  pretty good
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

Boy Howdy...I'm getting better! Locked in one right off the bat this morning, and what do you know?? Your first 2 unit play as well!! I paid -120 for mine though 
 
 GL today AJP
 
also looking at Cle/TB Over 9 and LA/Fla Under 9....thoughts??
 
 


I dont have a Fla ump but I would lean to the cle/tb over. Reyes has been nothing special and Kazmir is one of the most overrated players in baseball. He has some major control issues and the Indians are 4th best in baseball in walks taken.
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by TecmoKings:

Wind is blowing 12-13 mph to the east in chicago.  Which would be towards third base in Wrigley.  Also expected to rain all day here.



Thanks

Any info yet on who the Cubs are starting. Looks like possibly a day off for a few big bats. The line just went from -165 to -146 in 2 refreshes of my betting page.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by AJPierzynski:



I dont have a Fla ump but I would lean to the cle/tb over. Reyes has been nothing special and Kazmir is one of the most overrated players in baseball. He has some major control issues and the Indians are 4th best in baseball in walks taken.


correction...5th best. They are behind the mets by 1 for 4th best.
 
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Posted: #33
Anything for the morning game?
 
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Posted: #34
fla aver 5 runs a game vs lefty...12 games 14 hr 55 rbi 75 left in pos
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Tonecold:

What you think about Royals -1.5?
 
Eaton stinks
 
Also Lohse/Gallardo first 5 under...looks like something you would throw a unit on.
 
Thx.


I dont know how I missed it last night but I'm jumping on that royals line now. Thats an auto play for me. Thanks for the heads up. I dont have an ump for the stl game but under would be my initial lean.
 
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Posted: #36
Nym/Sf Under 8 -106 (2 units)
Kansas City Royals -1.5 +100 (2 units)
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by winner76:

AJ,
What you think about B-more for BIG plus money today?


not a chance in hell I would choose Eaton as a Greinke fade
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by yankees2k6:

GL AJ.... I cannot believe how some peeps are so unappreciative... if you were to go 9-1 somebody would complain about the 1 game you lost! Unbelievable greedy peeps! GL today, good day yesterday.  Do you know which way the wind is blowing in Chi today?


I have no idea. I usually wait until closer to game time to even look at wrigley weather.
 
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Posted: #39
cincy sd o8 looks pretty tastey huh AJ? sd should get a couple off harang and cincys bats seem too be a little erratic but they can score
 
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Posted: #40
Good luck AJ.
 
For some reason, I thought you played some of your plays at Matchbook. If you got KC-1.5 at +100 at 5dimes, MB has it at +107.  
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by incognitoo:

cincy sd o8 looks pretty tastey huh AJ? sd should get a couple off harang and cincys bats seem too be a little erratic but they can score


no totals without umps

...but my initial lean would be under.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by ditter:

Good luck AJ.
 
For some reason, I thought you played some of your plays at Matchbook. If you got KC-1.5 at +100 at 5dimes, MB has it at +107.  


I'm only on 5dimes right now
 
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Posted: #43
............gl tonight
 
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Posted: #44
Best of luck AJ, curious to see later if you have any play on Mil/Stl.


 
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Posted: #45
Not sure what to make of that LaD @ Fla game.... Road team is 8-2 in the last 10 in that series, Fla batting an awful .233 vs lhp and .192 @ home while the Lad are batting .274 on the road vs rhp. My lean would be LaD, Volstad has been shake last few outings although his yearly numbers are pretty decent. I am assuming odds makers think Fla is going to break the streak, they are a better team than what they have been playing lately.
 
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Posted: #46
 
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Posted: #47
Sorry that .192 was their last 10 games vs lhp not home, they actually do hit lhp better at home. Just wanted to clarify.
 
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Posted: #48
The Marlins can't hit lefties... at all.  Team OBP against lefties is .293.  I don't really care on the ump much on that one, I'm playing the under.  LAD fade and marlins v lefties fade.
 
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Posted: #49
DAMMMMIT -- I got Menche mixed up w/ Grienke last night.
 
Welp. I suck.
 
-140
 
 
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Posted: #50
fish have left alotta runners on vs leftys and my earlier post 12 games 14 dingers 55 rbis.
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