Reds ml -125 - 5 units
Reds have lost 7 in a row and are desperate for a won here. While i an concerned with him being rusty here i do believe he will give the reds some decent innings. Burrows on the other hand has been abysmal going 1-4 with a 5.97 era and has been awful vs lefties allowing a 341 avg with 6 hrs and 20 rbis. This should be music to reds ears as 4 of their first 5 in their lineup are lefties. Burrows over 4.5 hits should hit here and over 9 should be in play but im on reds ml
POD #1 - phillies under 7.5 -122 - 10 units
We got a nice pitchers duel in philly tonight as Luzardo goes up against Dollander. Luzardo faces a rockies team who is terrible against lefties and is 9 for 47 with 21 strikeouts against him. His underlying metrics are much better then his current numbers so i expect him to continue ascending as he did his last 2 starts allowing 2 runs 10 hits in 13.1 innings with 18 strikeouts and 0 walks. Dollander has the makings of the best rockies pitcher since ubaldo Jimenez and has taken some positive steps this year. He is 3-0 with a 2.49 era on the road and held phillies to 4 for 20 in small sample size. He also has a 50 percent ground ball rate which helps him out if jams. Going under 7.5 here
Really like snelling over 4.5 strikeouts vs nats but missed the number and it went t0 5.5. Thats very tight as i see 5 here with 6 maybe a step 2 high. Love cease over 7.5 strikeouts against strikeout prone angels as well.
Orioles ml guardians ml parlay - 5 units
Fading lopez here who has been abysmal and has regressed drastically from last year. Good chance for orioles to get a win here despite l bradish being meh. Side with messick and guardians pen over prielepp. Prielepp has beem solid but his control concerns me in what should be a tight game.
POD #2 - mariners under 8 -112 - 10 units
Hancock is coming off a 14 strikeout 1 run 6 hit 7 inning performance vs royals and has pitched to a 2.41 era on the road. Burke has allowed 0 runs in his last 2 starts over 13 innings scattering 7 hits eith 12 strikeouts and 1 walk. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of 6 games. Both starters have gone under in their last 2 games and have offenses that rank in the bottom 7 in home road splits. Under 8 for me
Established in 1995,
Who would think Dollander would be dominating and
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