Posted:
#26
Just locked in Twins - 105 for 5 units . Now that's what I'm talking about as predicted. 5 units on it. Jays creeping back . A's & Mets very close now ..
Friday Manipulated Games System
Posted:
#27
Quote Originally Posted by PlayWithThem:
I have been using this for SOME of my MLB plays since 2nd half 2015, 2 years ago but playing it a bit differently - I don't want to throw anyone off capper1515's variation of the system but my reasoning is that with the sqaure bump I am now sure that we don't have a sqaures and sharps all on the same side which appears to maybe be what happenend with TB last night. There was no bump, no support for HOU, just a steady move in one direction. HOU skidding as of late, 2 key players out, McHugh getting crap run support (again). Yes the play hit. But it was not a play for me.Barney, why do you wait for a square bump? I don't think this is a requirement of the system. As long as there is a sharp takeback after the initial line, that's all that is needed.
Were squares on TB? Or just layed off the game (not taking HOU) with other good, big games out there for the taking like BOS, LAD, NYY, COL or CHC/ARI...
Lastly HOU is more or less a public favorite so I expected to see a little late HOU money last night - however on games between two non public cellar dwellars I don't look for the square bump because it's not going to happen unless it's the only game on at that time.
The pen is mightier than the pigs
Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:
And Key is 1313, father of 1414 but thought it was unlucky to have 13 twice so changed his name to KeyElement.
And Key is 1313, father of 1414 but thought it was unlucky to have 13 twice so changed his name to KeyElement.
1414 is once again available as that kid aggravated me so much I first disowned him, but when that failed I gave in to the inevitable and just shot him. If you wait for a monsoon the remains get a little pungent, but then you just toss them in a flood control channel and they whoosh their way to the Gulf of California in no time at all.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Posted:
#31
Quote Originally Posted by NickTT:
So I'm starting to understand the concept of the system. How do we know how much the line has to move in order to play? Thanks guys for the insight!
So I'm starting to understand the concept of the system. How do we know how much the line has to move in order to play? Thanks guys for the insight!
10-15 dollars lower than opening line is a good rule of thumb. Otherwise check the first post for the highest allowable closing number.
Posted:
#32
Quote Originally Posted by ProudJagsfan:
10-15 dollars lower than opening line is a good rule of thumb. Otherwise check the first post for the highest allowable closing number.
I don't think "otherwise" is the word. You mean that one must always make sure the highest allowable closing number is not exceeded, correct?
Posted:
#33
Quote Originally Posted by ProudJagsfan:
Quote Originally Posted by NickTT:
So I'm starting to understand the concept of the system. How do we know how much the line has to move in order to play? Thanks guys for the insight!
10-15 dollars lower than opening line is a good rule of thumb. Otherwise check the first post for the highest allowable closing number.So I'm starting to understand the concept of the system. How do we know how much the line has to move in order to play? Thanks guys for the insight!
OK thanks. Just trying to fully understand the concept aand how to calculate the closing lines.
Posted:
#34
Sorry, thanks for the correction. 10-15 dollars lower than the highest allowable closing line. That's the rule of thumb of when to go ahead and play because that's when the line is surely not going to move back up. This is why I am saying lock in when you're comfortable. If you're super anxious about the line moving the other way even after it drops 10-15 dollars, then just wait until game time to check one last time. If the line has not dropped so much--10-15 dollars below highest allowable closing number-- (this is the "otherwise") then make sure right before game time that the line is below the posted highest allowable number.
Posted:
#36
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
remind me not to meet you in a dark alley 1414 is once again available as that kid aggravated me so much I first disowned him, but when that failed I gave in to the inevitable and just shot him. If you wait for a monsoon the remains get a little pungent, but then you just toss them in a flood control channel and they whoosh their way to the Gulf of California in no time at all.
The pen is mightier than the pigs
Posted:
#39
Quote Originally Posted by ProudJagsfan:
1515 says: Feel free to lock in Twins
THAT LOOKS LIKE AN OFFICIAL PLAY TO ME !!! but I am already locked in from this AM. Got 2 units and won't be looking for a square bump, as this is a trash game tonight. The public will be more interestefd in playing these games: PIT, CHC, LAD, BAL, BOS, NYY, HOU and maybe KC and MIL. Only homers will be taking either MIN or TEX tonight.1515 says: Feel free to lock in Twins
Notable Lines:
Mets +111 (must close at +110 or lower) 
Jays +174 (must close +140 or lower)
Twins +102 (OFFICIAL PLAY -$105)
A's +115 (must close at +114 or lower)
The pen is mightier than the pigs
Posted:
#49
Quote Originally Posted by Bobbyko15:
So wouldn't the reds fall into this system as a play ??
So wouldn't the reds fall into this system as a play ??
Exactly what I was thinking. According to 538 and sportsinsights book opened at reds +118 and 538 had them at 45% chance to win giving a 18.4% roi. Now reds are at -117 with a -6.75 roi. What you think jagsfan
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