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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    D.P.F. Daily Public Fade- 7/29/12 Edition

    rated91
    dcgmt
    HoustonSports
    Pasteur
    Kmarsh
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 722
    Posts: 12
     
    rated91
    rated91
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 11:35 AM ET #1

    Today we're taking the Phillies with Halladay on the mound, fading the public who are over 65% on the home Atlanta Braves. Hudson, a marginal pitcher, takes the hill for the homeboys. Although the Phils have struggled at the plate lately, they are better in every matchup edge. I think Halladay wouldn't go out there unless he felt he had his best stuff, and if he can get past the first inning without allowing too much damage then the Phils should do enough to give him the W. The WHIP of both starters hover around 1.40, so there should also be enough baserunners to trend this game over the posted total. BOL!

    7/29 Phillies +110
    7/28 KC/Sea over 7 *Push*
    7/27 LA Dodgers TT o3 +120 *Win* (+120)
    7/26 Hou/Pitt under 8.5 *Win* (+100)
    7/25 Boston +110 *Loss* (-100)
    7/24 Cleveland +110 *Win* (+110)
    7/23: KC Royals +180 *Loss* (-100)
    7/22: LAA Angels EV *Win* (+100
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Today we're taking the Phillies with Halladay on the mound, fading the public who are over 65% on the home Atlanta Braves. Hudson, a marginal pitcher, takes the hill for the homeboys. Although the Phils have struggled at the plate lately, they are better in every matchup edge. I think Halladay wouldn't go out there unless he felt he had his best stuff, and if he can get past the first inning without allowing too much damage then the Phils should do enough to give him the W. The WHIP of both starters hover around 1.40, so there should also be enough baserunners to trend this game over the posted total. BOL!

    7/29 Phillies +110
    7/28 KC/Sea over 7 *Push*
    7/27 LA Dodgers TT o3 +120 *Win* (+120)
    7/26 Hou/Pitt under 8.5 *Win* (+100)
    7/25 Boston +110 *Loss* (-100)
    7/24 Cleveland +110 *Win* (+110)
    7/23: KC Royals +180 *Loss* (-100)
    7/22: LAA Angels EV *Win* (+100
     
    dcgmt
    dcgmt
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 11:36 AM ET #2

    Reply
     
    HoustonSports
    HoustonSports
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 11:46 AM ET #3

    While I wish you nothing but the best of luck I would hardly call Hudson a 'marginal' pitcher
    Reply
    While I wish you nothing but the best of luck I would hardly call Hudson a 'marginal' pitcher
     
    Pasteur
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 11:49 AM ET #4

    Sportbook.ag has 54% action on the Phillies
    Reply
    Sportbook.ag has 54% action on the Phillies
     
    HoustonSports
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 12:01 PM ET #5

    Sportsbook spy has it at 50/50 on the ml action

     

    The Spread (which is simply a delayed Sports Insights) has it at 52% on Philly and 48% on Atlanta

    Reply

    Sportsbook spy has it at 50/50 on the ml action

     

    The Spread (which is simply a delayed Sports Insights) has it at 52% on Philly and 48% on Atlanta

     
    Kmarsh
    Kmarsh
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 12:30 PM ET #6

    I'm with you on the Phillies! This is a bargain price to get Halladay and Hudson serves up the long-ball.

    Reply
    I'm with you on the Phillies! This is a bargain price to get Halladay and Hudson serves up the long-ball.

     
    rated91
    rated91
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 1:10 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonSports:

    While I wish you nothing but the best of luck I would hardly call Hudson a 'marginal' pitcher

    Then what would you call him? A future HOF? We'll reserve that title for the guy on the other side in this matchup, Doc Halladay. As far as Hudson, I'd say he's about average. Nothing special, doesn't strike out a lot of hitters, but gets enough outs to keep his job and remain a starter. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonSports:

    While I wish you nothing but the best of luck I would hardly call Hudson a 'marginal' pitcher

    Then what would you call him? A future HOF? We'll reserve that title for the guy on the other side in this matchup, Doc Halladay. As far as Hudson, I'd say he's about average. Nothing special, doesn't strike out a lot of hitters, but gets enough outs to keep his job and remain a starter. 
     
    rated91
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 1:13 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Pasteur:

    Sportbook.ag has 54% action on the Phillies

    I dont go to sportsbook.ag. When I personally wager, it's though 5dimes and also through a local bookie who still uses pen and paper and I text the bets into his wife (who stays at home). When I research my odds and where the public money is going i do it though scoresandodds.com. They do a consensus of the Vegas books. So I'm well aware that each book might be different and have action going a lot of different ways, but my public fades are derives from S&O. But good luck with your gambling gents, as always.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Pasteur:

    Sportbook.ag has 54% action on the Phillies

    I dont go to sportsbook.ag. When I personally wager, it's though 5dimes and also through a local bookie who still uses pen and paper and I text the bets into his wife (who stays at home). When I research my odds and where the public money is going i do it though scoresandodds.com. They do a consensus of the Vegas books. So I'm well aware that each book might be different and have action going a lot of different ways, but my public fades are derives from S&O. But good luck with your gambling gents, as always.
     
    rated91
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 1:20 PM ET #9

    The other games I like today personally are the Dodgers and the D-Backs. I think this is an excellent price to get Kershaw and the Dodgers bats have been on fire lately (they improved at the trade deadline) and as far as the Mets go I think R.A. Dickie continues to get shelled against a hard hitting D-Backs lineup. Those are also plays that I'm betting personally, whether they are against the public or not. (Both games are roughly around even money)
    Reply
    The other games I like today personally are the Dodgers and the D-Backs. I think this is an excellent price to get Kershaw and the Dodgers bats have been on fire lately (they improved at the trade deadline) and as far as the Mets go I think R.A. Dickie continues to get shelled against a hard hitting D-Backs lineup. Those are also plays that I'm betting personally, whether they are against the public or not. (Both games are roughly around even money)
     
    crazy1464
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 4:45 PM ET #10

    you have no clue what your doing! your a waste of a post!
    Reply
    you have no clue what your doing! your a waste of a post!
     
    Beckwith
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    Posts: 1645
    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 4:52 PM ET #11

    It's funny how this guy always has a pick that the public is on, yet this is a fade the public thread. Your sources have been wrong your last 2 picks, so get a different source.
    Reply
    It's funny how this guy always has a pick that the public is on, yet this is a fade the public thread. Your sources have been wrong your last 2 picks, so get a different source.
     
     
    domnick
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 4:56 PM ET #12

    Crazy1464 he is putting up winners thou the record is up top take a look the general public does not win I have not seen any casinos in vegas close down have you ?
    Reply
    Crazy1464 he is putting up winners thou the record is up top take a look the general public does not win I have not seen any casinos in vegas close down have you ?
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