Daily Double for Today

People that are following don't need a record posted we all know what the deal is-appreciate the two picks a day

People that are following don't need a record posted we all know what the deal is-appreciate the two picks a day

I gave you 5 picks today. 

My Top MLB Power Number 

Atlanta -1.5 (-135)

Then my new model, I've been working on trying to finish it. 

Plus Plays

Colorado -1 (+170)

Seattle -1 (+135)

Cardinals  -1 (+210)

Milwaukee  -1 (+130)

Good luck guys

Falcon Sports 

Really appreciate this MITM

Rockies winner! Thanks MlTM!

Atlanta just couldn’t finish 

Yeah that's 2 straight losses by the Top MLB Power Number, where they win by one run. A one run win won't cover the runline. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Do you only play -1.5s and overs? 

Dont think I've seen a under or a +1.5 or ml pick..

Well I assume your referring to plays in this thread. 

There were 2 Unders. One was rained out, that was the first day of thread. The other one was a Winner. 

As for the Top MLB Power Number, I cannot play the moneyline because of juice. So I must use the -1.5 line and now on 4 occasions in this thread, the selection won by one run. 

The new model uses the -1 line for the most part and today it went (1-1) (+0.70 units) with 2 pushes.

Falcon Sports 

Thanks for all you do MITM.....or should I say Thanks for All the Winners Bro!

Anyone want the Top MLB Power Number for Friday. 

Atlanta  -1.5 (-115)

The model doesn't recognize one run wins, only wins. Since June 6, the Top MLB Power Number has gone (27-11) but it's had four games that it's won by just one run. In fact it's happened the past two days. I know everyone cringed when Franco hit the home run in bottom of 9th to pull within one run and beat our runline wager. Since April 15, the Top MLB Power Number has gone (62-27) so it's doing very well. 

Get on Atlanta again tonight as our Top MLB Power Number for Friday. 

I'll try to stop by this afternoon to drop some Plus Plays. We went (1-1) (+0.70 units) with 2 pushes on those last night. This model looks very very promising, so I'll try and drop off its four best plays later today. Probability and Payback are a large part of this model. The probability factor of the team actually winning the game and the nice payback we need on the win. 

Remember the projections that I'm working with for the Plus Plays 

120 plays per month (Roughly the 4 best per day)

45% Winners 

(+150) average payback on those wins

Risking one unit on each

Those projections if met, will yield (+15.00 units) of profit for the 1 unit bettor per month. 

Catch you guys later. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Thanks man. Have a great day!

I'm not one to wait around, a fault of mine. 

Here is what we are on for the Plus Plays Friday night. I'm very comfortable with these lines. 

Boston -1 (+200)

Cinncinatti  -1 (+200)

White Sox -1 (+170)

Baltimore  -1 (+150)

Those are plays from my latest model, that features Probability and Payback heavily into the equation.

If your really interested there are a couple more plays that are close and if either make it to the Play level, I'll post it. 

Falcon Sports 

Good luck MlTM

True lol ...but anyone who bets baseball on a regular basis has a plethora of these types of plays in their pocket. Sometimes to our benefit, but it's the ones that bite us we remember most! 

Thanks much Falcon! Alway look forward to your thread updates.    and BOL to everyone.

Don't I know, seen everything, I've been in this biz one way or another since August 1986, in every single facet. Spent the last 10 or 11 years in research and development and that's where I'll stay, it is my passion. 

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

Good luck my brotha and appreciate the hard work...LET'S GO! 

Yeah man, going to head out for some yard work. 

So far, here is our full card for Friday

Atlanta runline, our Top MLB Power Number 

Plus Plays 

Boston -1 (+200)

Cinncinatti  -1 (+200)

White Sox  -1 (+170)

Baltimore -1 (+150)

Grade em as one unit but I bet the Braves much larger. 

It's possible there could be 2 more but I'm holding off until late this evening to do anything else. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 I must have a crap book. I'm getting close to these odds laying 1.5 runs ! Having to split the bets between the moneyline and runline greatly reduces my return .Not your problem- I know. I do get a .10 line on baseball which I don't think is as commonplace as it used to be.

U do have a crap book. 

Current lines at Draftkings at 1:10 pm cst

Boston -1 (+200)

Baltimore -1 (+150)

White Sox -1 (+160)

Cinncinatti  -1 (+180)

Reds line dropped 20 cents and White Sox 10 cents from where I bet them hours ago but Boston and Baltimore are still the same. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Do many books offer -1 runlines ?

Mine do but if u have access to an alternate (-1.5) line, u can still create your own -1 line. 

@MITM

 Can't use draftkings yet- in MD. Would have to think not too many offer that option. Oh well-it is what is is. I appreciate your hard work. Intrigued by plus money betting strategies !

Can u get the line Boston -1.5

@MITM

 WOW ! Just got on to  Draftkings. I know how to create a -1 runline. I think I will gladly forgo the option to get a true -1 runline in favor of getiing a .10 line to bet. I f you have been betting long enough (and I know you have ) you know the difference over the course of a year with a .10 line as opposed to a .20 line. With all due respect- I think Draft kings is a crap book.