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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    ***COLORADO@SAN DIEGO**

    12 Next Last»
    NoDayButToday
    KktdocT
    NeverMind
    basesloaded101
    best_bets
    ...
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    12 Next Last»
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 3:35 PM ET #1

    Kris Medlen (saddleback JC), Tyson Ross (Alaska summer league/Cal), Vance Worley (long beach state) short list of guys I can confidently say I OWNED during my baseball career. For whatever reason it may be, some hitters just have a select few pitchers dialed in...I mean owned to the point where it doesn't matter how many consecutive shut out innings or quality starts they've had.... This day they will get hit and hit well, and they know it. Here is my first reason the Rockies will beat San Diego today...
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    Kris Medlen (saddleback JC), Tyson Ross (Alaska summer league/Cal), Vance Worley (long beach state) short list of guys I can confidently say I OWNED during my baseball career. For whatever reason it may be, some hitters just have a select few pitchers dialed in...I mean owned to the point where it doesn't matter how many consecutive shut out innings or quality starts they've had.... This day they will get hit and hit well, and they know it. Here is my first reason the Rockies will beat San Diego today...
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 3:36 PM ET #2

    1) Andrew Cashner crushing right now posting a 1.29 era allowing only 3 earned runs over 21 innings. As confident as he may be at the moment at home preparing to take the series from Rockies, in the back of his mind he knows that there is no team that OWNS his ass more than the Rockies..in ~70 at bats combined Cuddyer, Arenado, Stubbs, Gonzo, LeMahieu, Rosario, Tulo, Dickerson, Blackmon have ~25 hits..(.357 BA), 8 doubles, 2 jacks, 10 RBI's...giving up a total of 8 earned runs over 19 innings to the Rockies in 2013.. Not the largest sample size but fairly significant....and how many of these hits were in COORS? not exactly sure...but doesn't matter too much to me.(0-3 7.16 ERA) against Rocks. ROCKIES own Cashner in my opinion, end of story. Now let's talk De La Rosa...
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    1) Andrew Cashner crushing right now posting a 1.29 era allowing only 3 earned runs over 21 innings. As confident as he may be at the moment at home preparing to take the series from Rockies, in the back of his mind he knows that there is no team that OWNS his ass more than the Rockies..in ~70 at bats combined Cuddyer, Arenado, Stubbs, Gonzo, LeMahieu, Rosario, Tulo, Dickerson, Blackmon have ~25 hits..(.357 BA), 8 doubles, 2 jacks, 10 RBI's...giving up a total of 8 earned runs over 19 innings to the Rockies in 2013.. Not the largest sample size but fairly significant....and how many of these hits were in COORS? not exactly sure...but doesn't matter too much to me.(0-3 7.16 ERA) against Rocks. ROCKIES own Cashner in my opinion, end of story. Now let's talk De La Rosa...
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 3:37 PM ET #3

    De La Rosa (0-2. 9.69 ERA) to start the season... Yikes! However in his last 3 starts at Petco he had given up only 4 earned runs....keeping Padres at ~.250 BA. w/ minimal extra base hits. Maybe being close to home with a lot of family and friends present gets him fired up..... Jorge deals at Petco, (3-0 1.88 ERA)...end of story!...oh there is more.

    3) Trends for days that tightn up all this information...
    -Rockies 11-0 last 11 against Padres!
    -8-2 last 10 with Jorge against a team with a losing record, 39-13 last 52
    -Cashner 2-6 last 8 starts vs. NL west...

    4) Last but not least I straight up don't think Padres have NOT seen enough LHP this season so far to have quality at bats against Jorge today to win the game/series.

    PICK:
    COLORADO F5 +130 (200/$260)
    COLORADO ML +140 ($200/280)
    May do reverse RL for a lil guy too..
    GOOD LUCK!
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    De La Rosa (0-2. 9.69 ERA) to start the season... Yikes! However in his last 3 starts at Petco he had given up only 4 earned runs....keeping Padres at ~.250 BA. w/ minimal extra base hits. Maybe being close to home with a lot of family and friends present gets him fired up..... Jorge deals at Petco, (3-0 1.88 ERA)...end of story!...oh there is more.

    3) Trends for days that tightn up all this information...
    -Rockies 11-0 last 11 against Padres!
    -8-2 last 10 with Jorge against a team with a losing record, 39-13 last 52
    -Cashner 2-6 last 8 starts vs. NL west...

    4) Last but not least I straight up don't think Padres have NOT seen enough LHP this season so far to have quality at bats against Jorge today to win the game/series.

    PICK:
    COLORADO F5 +130 (200/$260)
    COLORADO ML +140 ($200/280)
    May do reverse RL for a lil guy too..
    GOOD LUCK!
     
    KktdocT
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 3:37 PM ET #4

    GL,mate.
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    GL,mate.
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 4:08 PM ET #5

    Thank you..Colorado now +130 in my book. 
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    Thank you..Colorado now +130 in my book. 
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 4:13 PM ET #6

    CORRECTION : ROCKIES 11-0 last 11 Del La Rosa starts vs. Padres
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    CORRECTION : ROCKIES 11-0 last 11 Del La Rosa starts vs. Padres
     
    NeverMind
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 4:49 PM ET #7

    Padres
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    Padres
     
    basesloaded101
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 5:08 PM ET #8

    LIKE THE ROCKIES BOL
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    LIKE THE ROCKIES BOL
     
    best_bets
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 5:11 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by NeverMind:

    Padres
    Japanese baseball not working for you?
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    Quote Originally Posted by NeverMind:

    Padres
    Japanese baseball not working for you?
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 5:13 PM ET #10

    Lol..."padres" is the kind I responses you get here. No discussion, no reasoning.. Just Padres. Smh. I wish you no luck on this game sir. But have a nice day. :)
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    Lol..."padres" is the kind I responses you get here. No discussion, no reasoning.. Just Padres. Smh. I wish you no luck on this game sir. But have a nice day. :)
     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 5:19 PM ET #11

    Have to agree with you! Good luck NDBT!
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    Have to agree with you! Good luck NDBT!
     
    VinnyCooch
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 5:33 PM ET #12

    Cashner is on the precipice of being a legitimate ACE. 

    Especially like him at home.

    15 innings pitched......0.60 ERA. 

    I understand that Petco is a pitchers park. I get that. But the man's overall ERA is 1.29.

    Granted........small sample size. This is the beginning of a BREAK OUT year.....in my opinion. 

    DeLaRosa has been as bad as you could possibly imagine.

    Coming off a nice year.........he can't get anybody out.

    Numbers are atrocious.

    6.23 ERA in Colorado. Ok.......it's Colorado. That can be over looked. Tough weather to start. Impossible park to pitch in.

    The road ERA is 11.42 in 2 games. 11.42!

    My guess is that he is not healthy.......physical problem.

    Would not be shocked if he gets put on the DL........if he loses this game. Has to be a physical problem......pitching this bad.

    Now the Padres are only hitting .169 vs lefties. So if DeLaRosa is healthy today is the day that he turns it around.

    Obviously these numbers are a small sample size.......but it's what we have.

    I was going to pull the trigger on the Padres. I thought that the line would be in the 20s. I cant take the Padres juiced to 40.

    I cant justify laying money on DeLaRosa at this point. But the number is certainly is high enough to take a shot.

    Good Luck with it.
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    Cashner is on the precipice of being a legitimate ACE. 

    Especially like him at home.

    15 innings pitched......0.60 ERA. 

    I understand that Petco is a pitchers park. I get that. But the man's overall ERA is 1.29.

    Granted........small sample size. This is the beginning of a BREAK OUT year.....in my opinion. 

    DeLaRosa has been as bad as you could possibly imagine.

    Coming off a nice year.........he can't get anybody out.

    Numbers are atrocious.

    6.23 ERA in Colorado. Ok.......it's Colorado. That can be over looked. Tough weather to start. Impossible park to pitch in.

    The road ERA is 11.42 in 2 games. 11.42!

    My guess is that he is not healthy.......physical problem.

    Would not be shocked if he gets put on the DL........if he loses this game. Has to be a physical problem......pitching this bad.

    Now the Padres are only hitting .169 vs lefties. So if DeLaRosa is healthy today is the day that he turns it around.

    Obviously these numbers are a small sample size.......but it's what we have.

    I was going to pull the trigger on the Padres. I thought that the line would be in the 20s. I cant take the Padres juiced to 40.

    I cant justify laying money on DeLaRosa at this point. But the number is certainly is high enough to take a shot.

    Good Luck with it.
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 5:39 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by NoDayButToday:

    De La Rosa (0-2. 9.69 ERA) to start the season... Yikes! However in his last 3 starts at Petco he had given up only 4 earned runs....keeping Padres at ~.250 BA. w/ minimal extra base hits. Maybe being close to home with a lot of family and friends present gets him fired up..... Jorge deals at Petco, (3-0 1.88 ERA)...end of story!...oh there is more.

    3) Trends for days that tightn up all this information...
    -Rockies 11-0 last 11 against Padres!
    -8-2 last 10 with Jorge against a team with a losing record, 39-13 last 52
    -Cashner 2-6 last 8 starts vs. NL west...

    4) Last but not least I straight up don't think Padres have NOT seen enough LHP this season so far to have quality at bats against Jorge today to win the game/series.

    PICK:
    COLORADO F5 +130 (200/$260)
    COLORADO ML +140 ($200/280)
    May do reverse RL for a lil guy too..
    GOOD LUCK!

    like the write up ...do you play team totals, cause the rockies are only 3 at -120 not bad at all esp if they hit as well against cashner as you say BOL
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    Quote Originally Posted by NoDayButToday:

    De La Rosa (0-2. 9.69 ERA) to start the season... Yikes! However in his last 3 starts at Petco he had given up only 4 earned runs....keeping Padres at ~.250 BA. w/ minimal extra base hits. Maybe being close to home with a lot of family and friends present gets him fired up..... Jorge deals at Petco, (3-0 1.88 ERA)...end of story!...oh there is more.

    3) Trends for days that tightn up all this information...
    -Rockies 11-0 last 11 against Padres!
    -8-2 last 10 with Jorge against a team with a losing record, 39-13 last 52
    -Cashner 2-6 last 8 starts vs. NL west...

    4) Last but not least I straight up don't think Padres have NOT seen enough LHP this season so far to have quality at bats against Jorge today to win the game/series.

    PICK:
    COLORADO F5 +130 (200/$260)
    COLORADO ML +140 ($200/280)
    May do reverse RL for a lil guy too..
    GOOD LUCK!

    like the write up ...do you play team totals, cause the rockies are only 3 at -120 not bad at all esp if they hit as well against cashner as you say BOL
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 6:13 PM ET #14

    I am playing the team total small, I did the same yesterday the Toronto...but didn't post it because I wouldn't want anyone following too many bets
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    I am playing the team total small, I did the same yesterday the Toronto...but didn't post it because I wouldn't want anyone following too many bets
     
    moho
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 6:19 PM ET #15

    Rocks

    bol NoDayButToday

    p.s is that good ol Lenny in your avvy? dam good slugger back in day
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    Rocks

    bol NoDayButToday

    p.s is that good ol Lenny in your avvy? dam good slugger back in day
     
    NoDayButToday
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 6:20 PM ET #16

    @Vinny! Thank you for the feedback! I wish I was able o discuss further ...appreciate it tho man. All strong points... I feel Rocks have the edge and value being +140. Ty Ty. GL
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    @Vinny! Thank you for the feedback! I wish I was able o discuss further ...appreciate it tho man. All strong points... I feel Rocks have the edge and value being +140. Ty Ty. GL
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 9:30 PM ET #17

    col is +110 now great # u got
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    col is +110 now great # u got
     
    VinnyCooch
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 9:32 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by NoDayButToday:

    @Vinny! Thank you for the feedback! I wish I was able o discuss further ...appreciate it tho man. All strong points... I feel Rocks have the edge and value being +140. Ty Ty. GL


    I laid off. I hope you hit.

    Good Luck.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by NoDayButToday:

    @Vinny! Thank you for the feedback! I wish I was able o discuss further ...appreciate it tho man. All strong points... I feel Rocks have the edge and value being +140. Ty Ty. GL


    I laid off. I hope you hit.

    Good Luck.  
     
    Pasteur
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 9:36 PM ET #19

    On the same but only for first 5 innings.  GL
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    On the same but only for first 5 innings.  GL
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 9:57 PM ET #20

    line back up to +130 f5 only +110 pods struggles v lefties must be key here....i think over 6.5 is a safe play as well anticpate some bullpen runs
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    line back up to +130 f5 only +110 pods struggles v lefties must be key here....i think over 6.5 is a safe play as well anticpate some bullpen runs
     
    Pai_Gow_Player
    Pai_Gow_Player
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 11:57 PM ET #21

    shouldve never read this thread talked myself out of a winner  F5

    hope the rocks come back for u guys
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    shouldve never read this thread talked myself out of a winner  F5

    hope the rocks come back for u guys
     
    CAP-IT
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 11:58 PM ET #22

    base loaded and hits into a DP...  Colorado has no good hits when they need them.

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    base loaded and hits into a DP...  Colorado has no good hits when they need them.

     
    dempsgc
    dempsgc
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 12:02 AM ET #23

    This backup catcher will cost people money on this one.  Passed ball to give the Padres the lead and then hits into a double play with the bases loaded soon after.  Rosario wouldn't have made those mistakes.  Dammit.
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    This backup catcher will cost people money on this one.  Passed ball to give the Padres the lead and then hits into a double play with the bases loaded soon after.  Rosario wouldn't have made those mistakes.  Dammit.
     
    einyx
    einyx
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 12:07 AM ET #24

    8 hits 1 run, pathetic by the Rockies
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    8 hits 1 run, pathetic by the Rockies
     
     
    CAP-IT
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2014 - 12:09 AM ET #25

    Yup its a lost.  Cashner got luck tonight.
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    Yup its a lost.  Cashner got luck tonight.
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