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The Hot Streak: May 8th, 2012
BRP’s Picks – May 8th,
2012
YTD (27-18) +4.85 Units
7:05 P.M. – Chicago
White Sox (John Danks) @ Cleveland Indians (Justin Masterson)
***Step out game alert***
These teams come into this game going in completely different directions
right now. The Indians come into the
game at 17-11 on the year, and are winners of 6 of their last 7 games. The White Sox come in at 13-17 on the year,
and have lost 6 of their last 7 games.
The Indians have also won the last 4 matchups against the White Sox,
including a 7-5 win for the Indians in this same pitching matchup that took
place in Chicago last time through the rotation.
John Danks comes into this game struggling thus far this
season. His E.R.A. through his first 6
starts this season is nothing to write home about, at 6.51. Danks struggled on the road last season,
posting a 5.05 E.R.A. on the road, and that hasn’t changed yet this year. Danks also for some reason seems to struggle
in May, as he is 3-10 with a 5.95 E.R.A. in the month over the last 3
years. Danks has also struggled in his 2
starts against the Indians already this year, giving up 10 runs to the team he
faces today in 12 and 2/3 innings.
Justin Masterson is the Cleveland Indians ace, he may not
have put up ace type numbers quite yet this season, but I see that
changing. Masterson broke out last
season, posting a 3.21 E.R.A., and showing his overall potential for the Indians. Over the last 3 seasons Masterson has been
much better, posting a 3.28 E.R.A. at home, which is over 1.5 points lower than
his road E.R.A. Masterson also LOVES
pitching against the White Sox, in 10 starts over the last 3 years, Masterson
has posted a very impressive 2.1 E.R.A. against the team he faces today.
Indians are hot, are home, and Masterson is the MUCH better
pitcher, very nice price!!!
Indians RL -1 at +115
(5 units to win 5.75)
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7:05 P.M. – Washington
Nationals (Edwin Jackson) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (A.J. Burnett)
The Nationals have been one of the better teams in baseball
so far this season. They come into this
game at 18-10 on the year, while the Pirates come into this game at 12-16. The Nationals are winners are 4 od their last
5 games, while the Pirates are losers of 4 of their last 6.
Edwin Jackson has been the Nats worst pitcher so far this
season, but with the way the Nats starters have performed, 95% of major league
pitchers would also claim that title.
Jackson hasn’t seemed to settle in to his new home yet, but has done
well on the road thus far with the Nats posting a 2.31 E.R.A. on the road so
far. His overall numbers are pretty good
as well in reality, as he has a 3.69 E.R.A.
in his first 5 starts this year.
Jackson has also never lost to the Pirates in the last 3 years, posting
a 3-0 record, and 3.2 E.R.A. against the team he faces today.
This game is mainly about fading A.J. Burnett and the sad
excuse for a major league pitcher that he has become. Burnett posted an impressive 5.15 E.R.A. last
season, and the combination of him being a head case and having no talent
shouldn’t see those numbers change this season.
Burnett has posted an even better 8.04 E.R.A. so far this season in his
first 3 starts with his new team. The 12
earned runs he gave up in his last start against the Cards (yeah, 12 earned
runs) is about what should be expected from him this season. The only saving grace for the Pirates here is
that the Yankees are still paying most of his salary, the only reason in still
like A.J.
Come ride the A.J. fade train with me, at very decent +
money here, gotta love this game!!!
Nats RL -1 at +130 (3
to win 3.9)
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