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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Bodio's MLB Mon 04/18

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    Barbosa212
    kkkwinner
    buxwin
    LawsonJames
    Kranky
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 27109
    Posts: 119
    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
     
    Barbosa212
    Barbosa212
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:39 PM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

    I keep asking this question but is 60% really that good?  I mean it's slightly better than a coin flip but in 3 months he's peaked at 60%... meaning there's no guarantee that he'll continue at this mediocre pace.


    Grow some nads and fade him then bud...After you do show us all the ticket!!  With that being said, I am getting hammered right now for tailing Bo, but that is nobody's fault but MY OWN stupid ass!  Don't know why I bet against Price at home, and laid so much juice on Cincy.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

    I keep asking this question but is 60% really that good?  I mean it's slightly better than a coin flip but in 3 months he's peaked at 60%... meaning there's no guarantee that he'll continue at this mediocre pace.


    Grow some nads and fade him then bud...After you do show us all the ticket!!  With that being said, I am getting hammered right now for tailing Bo, but that is nobody's fault but MY OWN stupid ass!  Don't know why I bet against Price at home, and laid so much juice on Cincy.  
     
    kkkwinner
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:42 PM ET #77

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry
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    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry
     
    buxwin
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:44 PM ET #78

    Cincy
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    Cincy
     
    LawsonJames
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:45 PM ET #79

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    Kranky
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:49 PM ET #80

    Yesterday you went against Dan Haren yesterday. Today it's David Price.
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    Yesterday you went against Dan Haren yesterday. Today it's David Price.
     
    trehoops
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:58 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


    You are incorrect in your assumptions.  You're forgetting to account for the 30% of wagers that you do NOT win when doing what you're suggesting. From the article that Patriots sent, 30% of all the wins are by 1 run.  To say that you've reduced your juice to -103, without properly accounting for the opportunity cost you've lost on 30% of all the wins, is incorrect.  I understand what you're trying to do, but your thinking about it is flawed. You just can't completely discount that 30% "PUSH-wagers" factor, and not include that in your odds.  
       30% is right.  and, for the hell of it, in 50% of MLB GAMES, THE WINNING TEAM SCORES MORE RUNS IN 1 INNING THAN LOSER DOES IN GAME.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


    You are incorrect in your assumptions.  You're forgetting to account for the 30% of wagers that you do NOT win when doing what you're suggesting. From the article that Patriots sent, 30% of all the wins are by 1 run.  To say that you've reduced your juice to -103, without properly accounting for the opportunity cost you've lost on 30% of all the wins, is incorrect.  I understand what you're trying to do, but your thinking about it is flawed. You just can't completely discount that 30% "PUSH-wagers" factor, and not include that in your odds.  
       30% is right.  and, for the hell of it, in 50% of MLB GAMES, THE WINNING TEAM SCORES MORE RUNS IN 1 INNING THAN LOSER DOES IN GAME.  
     
    nepatriots_12
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:00 PM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry



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    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry



     
    publicblows
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:17 PM ET #83

    NEPATRIOTS_12 - you always seem to back Bodio.  Just out of curiosity how much have you profited since tailing him? 
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    NEPATRIOTS_12 - you always seem to back Bodio.  Just out of curiosity how much have you profited since tailing him? 
     
    Matador0927
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:21 PM ET #84

    BODIO - we are not too happy this evening . . . . .you disappointed us......
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    BODIO - we are not too happy this evening . . . . .you disappointed us......
     
    Tetraedar
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:23 PM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by Matador0927:

    BODIO - we are not too happy this evening . . . . .you disappointed us......
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matador0927:

    BODIO - we are not too happy this evening . . . . .you disappointed us......
     
    VegasVandal
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:29 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry

    Down 8 nothing. I'll give you +300 on the rockies right now if you want for any amount of money


    kkkwinner
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    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry

    Down 8 nothing. I'll give you +300 on the rockies right now if you want for any amount of money


    kkkwinner
     
    Barbosa212
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:29 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by Matador0927:

    BODIO - we are not too happy this evening . . . . .you disappointed us......

    you disappointed yourself buddy ol' pal.  SF was a GREAT pic.  Now watch the UNDA NEATH hit in this Chicago game and we are in the 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matador0927:

    BODIO - we are not too happy this evening . . . . .you disappointed us......

    you disappointed yourself buddy ol' pal.  SF was a GREAT pic.  Now watch the UNDA NEATH hit in this Chicago game and we are in the 
     
    Barbosa212
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:30 PM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry

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    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry

     
    LawsonJames
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:34 PM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry





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    Quote Originally Posted by kkkwinner:

    rockies is the winner you watch 0-3 for you sorry





     
    supadame
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 9:38 PM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

    I keep asking this question but is 60% really that good?  I mean it's slightly better than a coin flip but in 3 months he's peaked at 60%... meaning there's no guarantee that he'll continue at this mediocre pace.

    Example A as to why this forum is in the toilet.

    Douchebags that don't contribute anything continually bashing people that are productive, do contribute and are respected members of the forum.

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    Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

    I keep asking this question but is 60% really that good?  I mean it's slightly better than a coin flip but in 3 months he's peaked at 60%... meaning there's no guarantee that he'll continue at this mediocre pace.

    Example A as to why this forum is in the toilet.

    Douchebags that don't contribute anything continually bashing people that are productive, do contribute and are respected members of the forum.

     
    5t4r5align
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 10:06 PM ET #91

    another rough night on the bases

    NBA looking good though 
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    another rough night on the bases

    NBA looking good though 
     
    illmaticalones
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 10:15 PM ET #92

    is bodio charging you fools a fee for his picks cause if not than quit bitchin and suck a dick.pick your own noses.he dont gotta pick em for you...
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    is bodio charging you fools a fee for his picks cause if not than quit bitchin and suck a dick.pick your own noses.he dont gotta pick em for you...
     
    Matador0927
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 10:34 PM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbosa212:


    you disappointed yourself buddy ol' pal.  SF was a GREAT pic.  Now watch the UNDA NEATH hit in this Chicago game and we are in the 

     

     

    Yes Giants was good pick - game isnt over yet . . . What about the 2 finals?  Reds and WSox- both blowing ass......

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    Quote Originally Posted by Barbosa212:


    you disappointed yourself buddy ol' pal.  SF was a GREAT pic.  Now watch the UNDA NEATH hit in this Chicago game and we are in the 

     

     

    Yes Giants was good pick - game isnt over yet . . . What about the 2 finals?  Reds and WSox- both blowing ass......

     
    hannibalman
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 10:38 PM ET #94

    I loaded up on  CINN'Y  mysself.......Pitt is my thorn  
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    I loaded up on  CINN'Y  mysself.......Pitt is my thorn  
     
    hannibalman
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 10:45 PM ET #95

    CINNC'Y  COST ME BIG TIME TONIGHT....
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    CINNC'Y  COST ME BIG TIME TONIGHT....
     
    hannibalman
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 10:47 PM ET #96

       me to.....
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       me to.....
     
    boxingking09
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 11:19 PM ET #97

    Bodio You are a Excellent Capper, Please ignore the Haters..
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    Bodio You are a Excellent Capper, Please ignore the Haters..
     
    kinggeorge27
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 11:21 PM ET #98

    Keep it going Bodio. Always like reading your write-ups, and appreciate you taking the time to post it.  
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    Keep it going Bodio. Always like reading your write-ups, and appreciate you taking the time to post it.  
     
    bsandersss
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 11:37 PM ET #99

    I'll give a prediction better than any of bodio's predictions:

    I predict bodio has a losing mlb season.
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    I'll give a prediction better than any of bodio's predictions:

    I predict bodio has a losing mlb season.
     
     
    canesfan11
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 11:39 PM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by bsandersss:

    I'll give a prediction better than any of bodio's predictions:

    I predict bodio has a losing mlb season.

    How much $$$ you willing to bet on that?
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    Quote Originally Posted by bsandersss:

    I'll give a prediction better than any of bodio's predictions:

    I predict bodio has a losing mlb season.

    How much $$$ you willing to bet on that?
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