Posted:
#26
Does this indicate increased wagers on pitt and sox? or lineup adjustements?
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Bob's MLB Monday *** 4.13.15 ***
Posted:
#28
Quote Originally Posted by MOCKY444:
Does this indicate increased wagers on pitt and sox? or lineup adjustements?
Does this indicate increased wagers on pitt and sox? or lineup adjustements?
no victor martinez for the Tigers... he is not worth 25 points
I would love to grab this line at +124. I am tempted to grab F5 at 0.50% of bankroll and make this a POD.
possible I do it actually
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Posted:
#29
You're doing great, very organized and professional. When looking at the Washington/Philadelphia game, the first thing I looked at was the high potential for the game to go Under 7, that wasn't the play and it pushed. The high potential was that Washington would Win the game, but they were laying -200, not the right money risk. So that left the only sensible play which was Philadelphia RL +1.5 +105, that's what I played and it was a Winner. Could of's, should of's, came into play the top of the ninth when Philadelphia couldn't get the third out and gave up the run, making the score 4-2 and Philly getting the 3rd run in the bottom of the 9th, producing the Winner. Food for thought, keep up the good work!!! 
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Posted:
#30
OK - I am laying down F5 on the Tigers as well.
Detroit Tigers (A. Sanchez) F5, +115 --- Risk 0.50% of Bankroll
Note: This is will be graded as a split wager in my W/L record. If both win (FG/F5) then it will count as 1 win... if both lose it will count as 1 loss... if I split, it will be a wash. P/L will be counted net of the wagers of course
Detroit Tigers (A. Sanchez) F5, +115 --- Risk 0.50% of Bankroll
Note: This is will be graded as a split wager in my W/L record. If both win (FG/F5) then it will count as 1 win... if both lose it will count as 1 loss... if I split, it will be a wash. P/L will be counted net of the wagers of course
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Posted:
#31
Quote Originally Posted by JimmyTheLegend:
You're doing great, very organized and professional. When looking at the Washington/Philadelphia game, the first thing I looked at was the high potential for the game to go Under 7, that wasn't the play and it pushed. The high potential was that Washington would Win the game, but they were laying -200, not the right money risk. So that left the only sensible play which was Philadelphia RL +1.5 +105, that's what I played and it was a Winner. Could of's, should of's, came into play the top of the ninth when Philadelphia couldn't get the third out and gave up the run, making the score 4-2 and Philly getting the 3rd run in the bottom of the 9th, producing the Winner. Food for thought, keep up the good work!!!
You're doing great, very organized and professional. When looking at the Washington/Philadelphia game, the first thing I looked at was the high potential for the game to go Under 7, that wasn't the play and it pushed. The high potential was that Washington would Win the game, but they were laying -200, not the right money risk. So that left the only sensible play which was Philadelphia RL +1.5 +105, that's what I played and it was a Winner. Could of's, should of's, came into play the top of the ninth when Philadelphia couldn't get the third out and gave up the run, making the score 4-2 and Philly getting the 3rd run in the bottom of the 9th, producing the Winner. Food for thought, keep up the good work!!!
I looked at this game earlier. I didnt see what the +2.5 line was, but if it was inside of -250, then I would have really like that. Phillies offense makes me nervous, but I think the under was the best play on this one.
Good luck and thanks for the kind words.
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Posted:
#33
OK - I am going to bite on the line movement in the A's/Astros game.
Oakland A's (S. Kazmir) FG, -109 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
I sure got my butt kicked in that Nationals game. Ouch. Another 1-run loss in the Tigers game!!!! Although, it took a big 9th to make it a 1-run game. Long season boys. Gonna be tough stretches in there. Feels like I am in one right now.
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Posted:
#38
peeping tomorrow's lines and like the following so far:
Detroit Tigers (S. Greene) +116 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
Call me crazy after today's game, but I calc about 30 points in line value here (Tigers -115). That is a differential of 7 percentage points in probability with lines so close to even money.
Possible Plays
Cubs (Arrieta) -147 (I would like to play -1 here, but no RL yet)… POD possibly
Phillies/Mets Under 6.5
Orioles (Gonzalez) -124
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Posted:
#41
Quote Originally Posted by brambles75:
1-3 for me because of a last minute A's bet that many of us didn't get ......2-3 for you....need to find a way to get your last minutes plays out on the main board and not buried 4 pages back in the Thread!
1-3 for me because of a last minute A's bet that many of us didn't get ......2-3 for you....need to find a way to get your last minutes plays out on the main board and not buried 4 pages back in the Thread!
yeah - I don't normally add many plays (1 or 2 max) from my original card. Not a good day today. Sometimes it's hard to come back the next day after a bad day of bets, but we hit streaks (both good and bad). It's like going 1-9 in a series and then racking up the hits in the following series. I feel good in my approach and expect the results to speak to it when all is said and done. Back at it tomorrow.
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