Guardians ML +132
Interesting strategy for both teams here; Vogt not deploying Gavin Williams in a must win game - are they expecting a game 7 for them? have they figured out how to hit fast balls? Kevin Cash is sitting on Freddy Peralta's lap. Peralta recorded a win in Game 2 pitching 6 scoreless innings can he do it again tonight or the Guardians figured out a way to get to his pitch count early? Either way, I dont see any value on Rays -150 to -160 ML. Too overpriced imo in a game that is too volatile to declare a lock.
I also put in 1u on Guardians to win series at +350. If they win tonight I am getting a Guardians ML with well rested Gavin Williams on a good price.
Last week's streak ended at 10 wins, 2 losses and 1 push. Made a lot of profit from grown men swinging sticks to hit a ball! 
Let's see if we can do it again this week. Good luck!
ALCS Game 6
@OtisR
if my math is correct, for us to get a better line between +310 to +350 for a game 7 if we are backing Cleveland it has to be between -104 or +100 or better. Now, how can we apply the actual circumstances on this? If Gavin Williams will pitch game 7 and considering the Rays and their pitching management and rotation since game 5, the most probable pitcher to start game 7 is Shane Baz and I dont think Baz is better than Williams for Cleveland to get a line of +100.
My projection is if Williams will start game 7, Cleveland will be priced -115 and Rays at -105, all factored in including home and away pricing factors. Books might price it for Rays +100 or better to take more action on the Rays. So yes cashing out game 7 can be a good option but you will just be losing juice instead when you already took advantage of it.
@OtisR
for you to hedge a +310 or +350 in game 7 means you need to capture a Rays line at -130 or better to breakeven. If you can get Tampa at +120 in a game 7 and assuming your per unit bet is $1000 you will have a guaranteed profit of $250 (scale it depending on your unit site, if playing $100 then guaranteed profit is $25). Hedging can be a "wise" move in betting thus you will secure your profits but you are disregarding your edge on a game 7 - which is in this case is Gavin Williams' pitching advantage over a bullpen starter of Tampa.
My take is, it will be very unlikely for Tampa to be priced at +120 or better for a game 7 at home so the value on hedging will not make sense regardless of unit size. If you ride with Guardians ML for game 6 and in for Gavin Williams pitching game 7, go for the full ride on the series bet to maximize the full value of your money. otherwise, play it per game.
Just my 2 cents brother. Your money, your rules. I just perceive my bets as how I can maximize every flip and minimize any loss and not on "predicting" who will really win which can be a tough job on any given day. good luck I hope I was able to help in any way.
I did pick up some Cleve winning the WS. Today Kalshi has the 3, :teams at: Milw 63%, Tampa 31.5 and Cleveland at 6.4.
If Cleveland wins this series then I don't think Milw will drop much.
But I hope that Cleve moves to 37,% or higher or the betting crowd may not even give them a 37% chance. But they would have to rethink as Cleve just took out a powerful Tampa team
Then I could cash out early before the series if I want with a 469% gain for just 2 games.
@Way2Good
Peralta s fastball is good but he knows he has to keep it out of the strike zone occasionally or he will get barreled up. When you keep on not throwing strikes the batter will take on or two on you and not bailing out the pitcher can lead to walks.
In any sport the second you get predictable is the second you lose.
Cleve has seen Peralta plenty and his inability to reinvent himself with other pitches may be his demise.
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