If you're going to bet on Cleveland, bet the first 5 innings only. Not the full game. They have the worst bullpen in baseball. I mean really their bullpen is like a double A squad this year. Way different from last year where they had one of the top 3 pens. If you bet the first 5 innings, you would have won tonight AND Saturday where they blew a lead to Oakland soon as Kluber left the game. Trust me that one hurt as I had Cle -1.5 and had they won I'd have hit a parlay for 75k. In general, teams with bad pens you should only bet the first 5 innings. Most good teams this year do have solid though. The other time where I recommend first 5 innings betting is on some lines where you got home favs like -180 for the game, but -125 or -130 on the run line for the first five. Depends on the pitching matchup and situation though. Keep in mind usually a team -180 for the game that wins is leading after 5 which is why that play makes sense. Not always obv. You could have a team like Toronto that hangs around for 5 and destructs later because their bullpen sucks so you can lose on the first 5, but win for the game. In general though, it doesn't happen that much. That's for lines 160ish to -200ish though. If you got like -140 or less you should just always bet the game and not the first 5. The little bit extra payout usually isn't worth the risk in my opinion.
Hot Forum Topics
