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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    7 Days / 15-4 / +1,274 / BOL2U

    KeyElement
    --phillyfan--
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    capskip
    brent0887
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2422
    Posts: 22
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:22 PM ET #1

    15-4, +1,273.80 in 7 days is a heck of a run, but that does not mean it has to end. There is no way to know when streaks will end and the only way to protect it is to be very, very careful. People that press or think they are playing with “house money” usually find the end of the streak sooner than those that go conservative. JMHO.

    15-4, +1273.80 Sunday Through Saturday

    5 Inning POD  

    Phillies -.5, +115 (Cobb / Lee)

    The Rays are still my pick to win the A.L. East but they sure need to get healthy. They have gone about as far and as long as they can on outstanding pitching and offense that depends on who is hot today. There is no better cripple shooter in MLB than Cliff Lee and he won’t fool around today. Watch him. First strike on every batter and first man out every inning. OBP baseball does not work on Cliff Lee. Meanwhile the Phillies offense is coming around, with a 5.94 median era their last 15 versus righty starters. They have a hell of a hill to climb to get back into the race, but it is too early to count out a team of veterans with that pitching staff.        

    Full game plays

    Athletics +135, (Cain / McCarthy)

    Cain is Cain, outstanding home or away, but undefeatable? No, that’s just not true and the better the opponent pitcher and offense, the higher the probability he can be had. The A’s have surrendered nothing as far as giving in and still lead MLB over the course of the last 15 games versus righty with a 7.92 median offensive era, even better than when the series started. There is no quit in this team and the game is a tossup, but the A’s pay 136 cents on the dollar and the Giants pay 68.5, just a touch over 50% for the very same dollar of risk.

    Cubs-Diamondbacks, Under 8.5, -109, (Garza / Miley)

    Miley versus the Cubs offense is a case of a man versus a boy. One of the best lefties in the major leagues this year versus the worst offense in MLB by any standard of measurement, and even worse and more futile versus lefties. They don’t hit, they don’t score, and they don’t act like they even care. If the name on the shirt was Cliff Lee or Cole Hamels or Clayton Kershaw and he was at home the line would be well over -200. Garza is equally solid and we know the Diamondbacks don’t hit every day either, and with Scott Barry behind the plate and the roof closed we really have the potential of a very low scoring game here, even by Chase Field standards.  

    Phillies -121 (Cobb / Lee)

    You know the drill. See above.

    BOL

    All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post

    5 Inning YTD: 47-61-13, -1,040.38 9 Inning YTD: 76-70, +1,883.20 NET. +842.82 (+3.318% RoR)

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    15-4, +1,273.80 in 7 days is a heck of a run, but that does not mean it has to end. There is no way to know when streaks will end and the only way to protect it is to be very, very careful. People that press or think they are playing with “house money” usually find the end of the streak sooner than those that go conservative. JMHO.

    15-4, +1273.80 Sunday Through Saturday

    5 Inning POD  

    Phillies -.5, +115 (Cobb / Lee)

    The Rays are still my pick to win the A.L. East but they sure need to get healthy. They have gone about as far and as long as they can on outstanding pitching and offense that depends on who is hot today. There is no better cripple shooter in MLB than Cliff Lee and he won’t fool around today. Watch him. First strike on every batter and first man out every inning. OBP baseball does not work on Cliff Lee. Meanwhile the Phillies offense is coming around, with a 5.94 median era their last 15 versus righty starters. They have a hell of a hill to climb to get back into the race, but it is too early to count out a team of veterans with that pitching staff.        

    Full game plays

    Athletics +135, (Cain / McCarthy)

    Cain is Cain, outstanding home or away, but undefeatable? No, that’s just not true and the better the opponent pitcher and offense, the higher the probability he can be had. The A’s have surrendered nothing as far as giving in and still lead MLB over the course of the last 15 games versus righty with a 7.92 median offensive era, even better than when the series started. There is no quit in this team and the game is a tossup, but the A’s pay 136 cents on the dollar and the Giants pay 68.5, just a touch over 50% for the very same dollar of risk.

    Cubs-Diamondbacks, Under 8.5, -109, (Garza / Miley)

    Miley versus the Cubs offense is a case of a man versus a boy. One of the best lefties in the major leagues this year versus the worst offense in MLB by any standard of measurement, and even worse and more futile versus lefties. They don’t hit, they don’t score, and they don’t act like they even care. If the name on the shirt was Cliff Lee or Cole Hamels or Clayton Kershaw and he was at home the line would be well over -200. Garza is equally solid and we know the Diamondbacks don’t hit every day either, and with Scott Barry behind the plate and the roof closed we really have the potential of a very low scoring game here, even by Chase Field standards.  

    Phillies -121 (Cobb / Lee)

    You know the drill. See above.

    BOL

    All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post

    5 Inning YTD: 47-61-13, -1,040.38 9 Inning YTD: 76-70, +1,883.20 NET. +842.82 (+3.318% RoR)

     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:26 PM ET #2

    Hold up on Oakland, I have to reassess the pitching change. NO PLAY.
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Hold up on Oakland, I have to reassess the pitching change. NO PLAY.
     
    --phillyfan--
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:27 PM ET #3

    Key, McCarthy is out and Griffin is starting for Oakland


    noticed your 5 inning ytd is -1,040 while your 9 inning ytd is +1800 so why not bag the 1st 5's and stick with the FG plays

    GL

    Reply

    Key, McCarthy is out and Griffin is starting for Oakland


    noticed your 5 inning ytd is -1,040 while your 9 inning ytd is +1800 so why not bag the 1st 5's and stick with the FG plays

    GL

     
    --phillyfan--
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:27 PM ET #4

    u posted while i was typing 
    Reply
    u posted while i was typing 
     
    player
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:29 PM ET #5

    no Mc Carthy today
    Reply
    no Mc Carthy today
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:33 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by --phillyfan--:

    Key, McCarthy is out and Griffin is starting for Oakland


    noticed your 5 inning ytd is -1,040 while your 9 inning ytd is +1800 so why not bag the 1st 5's and stick with the FG plays

    GL

    Because I will stand accountable for everything I have posted all season. I will also wipe out that deficit and make it profitable. My current run is 6-0 on 5 inning POD's, and I am playing only the very best I see. If it takes a while, so be it.

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by --phillyfan--:

    Key, McCarthy is out and Griffin is starting for Oakland


    noticed your 5 inning ytd is -1,040 while your 9 inning ytd is +1800 so why not bag the 1st 5's and stick with the FG plays

    GL

    Because I will stand accountable for everything I have posted all season. I will also wipe out that deficit and make it profitable. My current run is 6-0 on 5 inning POD's, and I am playing only the very best I see. If it takes a while, so be it.

     
    capskip
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:34 PM ET #7

    Best of Luck today....
    Reply
    Best of Luck today....
     
    brent0887
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:50 PM ET #8

    Reply
     
    Tone10
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:55 PM ET #9

    Just an FYI, it appears Cobb is being pushed back to Monday and won't start tonight.

    LINK

    Reply

    Just an FYI, it appears Cobb is being pushed back to Monday and won't start tonight.

    LINK

     
    onlybeststuff
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 12:58 PM ET #10

    Thank god u had no pay on oakland, pounded the SF... also the guy with the streak at 19 took them too lol.

    weeeee good luck.. glad my seattle team total over 3 1/2 +100 hit yesterday, tnx to u!

    Reply
    Thank god u had no pay on oakland, pounded the SF... also the guy with the streak at 19 took them too lol.

    weeeee good luck.. glad my seattle team total over 3 1/2 +100 hit yesterday, tnx to u!

     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 1:13 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Tone10:

    Just an FYI, it appears Cobb is being pushed back to Monday and won't start tonight.

    LINK

    That's why I ALWAYS specify pitchers, no exceptions. Thx.

    onlybeststuff: Even with McCarthy out I don't see Cain as a "lock".

    I am going to pass on that game and will have to reassess the TB-Phil game if the change occurs. I will try to get back but most regulars know church and family are my Sundays and if I don't, well,
    BOL
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Tone10:

    Just an FYI, it appears Cobb is being pushed back to Monday and won't start tonight.

    LINK

    That's why I ALWAYS specify pitchers, no exceptions. Thx.

    onlybeststuff: Even with McCarthy out I don't see Cain as a "lock".

    I am going to pass on that game and will have to reassess the TB-Phil game if the change occurs. I will try to get back but most regulars know church and family are my Sundays and if I don't, well,
    BOL
     
    onlybeststuff
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 1:27 PM ET #12

    oh i know its not a lock... nothing is.. check out how i lost yesterday's parlay :

    $40.00$397.26$0.00Loss4 Team Parlay
    Win6/23/12 1:10pm  MLB Baseball  953 Toronto Blue Jays +145* vs Miami Marlins  (B Cecil - L - Action   J Johnson - R - Action)
    Win6/23/12 2:10pm  MLB Baseball  955 St. Louis Cardinals/Kansas City Royals Over 9 -115*  (A Wainwright - R must Start   L Mendoza - R must Start)
    Loss6/23/12 3:05pm  MLB Baseball  958 Texas Rangers -255* vs Colorado Rockies  (J Outman - L - Action   C Lewis - R - Action)
    Win6/23/12 4:05pm  MLB Baseball  964 Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -140* vs Detroit Tigers  (M Scherzer - R must Start   B Lincoln - R must Start)
    Reply
    oh i know its not a lock... nothing is.. check out how i lost yesterday's parlay :

    $40.00$397.26$0.00Loss4 Team Parlay
    Win6/23/12 1:10pm  MLB Baseball  953 Toronto Blue Jays +145* vs Miami Marlins  (B Cecil - L - Action   J Johnson - R - Action)
    Win6/23/12 2:10pm  MLB Baseball  955 St. Louis Cardinals/Kansas City Royals Over 9 -115*  (A Wainwright - R must Start   L Mendoza - R must Start)
    Loss6/23/12 3:05pm  MLB Baseball  958 Texas Rangers -255* vs Colorado Rockies  (J Outman - L - Action   C Lewis - R - Action)
    Win6/23/12 4:05pm  MLB Baseball  964 Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -140* vs Detroit Tigers  (M Scherzer - R must Start   B Lincoln - R must Start)
     
    Lar1212
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 1:37 PM ET #13

    Reply
     
    kinggeorge27
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 1:41 PM ET #14

    Have a good one Key, hope you bring in the  today. 
    Reply
    Have a good one Key, hope you bring in the  today. 
     
    MrSquare
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 2:04 PM ET #15



    Hoping for a good line on game 2 for Lee .Hammells looks unhittable , so I fear a bad line .I am with you . Good insights . All over the snakes under .Good luck .
    Reply


    Hoping for a good line on game 2 for Lee .Hammells looks unhittable , so I fear a bad line .I am with you . Good insights . All over the snakes under .Good luck .
     
    switchwalk
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 2:17 PM ET #16

    GL today Key 
    Reply
    GL today Key 
     
    LanceLogan
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 2:38 PM ET #17

    Griffen has dominating stats in the minors so far this year.

    https://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2012/#list=oak

    Reply

    Griffen has dominating stats in the minors so far this year.

    https://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2012/#list=oak

     
    youessee
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 2:45 PM ET #18

    Really like the Under 8.5 Cubs/D-Backs. Let's get this 
    Reply
    Really like the Under 8.5 Cubs/D-Backs. Let's get this 
     
    CoverLane
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 4:59 PM ET #19

    Tampa is putting out Ramos on the mound, still like the Phillies?

    I see them -185 and I hate eating that much juice
    Reply
    Tampa is putting out Ramos on the mound, still like the Phillies?

    I see them -185 and I hate eating that much juice
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 7:07 PM ET #20

    Sorry I never made it back today but Oak and Phillie both wind up as NO PLAY. 1-0 with the D-backs under. See you tomorrow. BOL
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Sorry I never made it back today but Oak and Phillie both wind up as NO PLAY. 1-0 with the D-backs under. See you tomorrow. BOL
     
    CoverLane
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 7:10 PM ET #21

    KE it's too bad you didn't stick with oakland...full count, 2 out, down 1..walk off home run for the win.
    Reply
    KE it's too bad you didn't stick with oakland...full count, 2 out, down 1..walk off home run for the win.
     
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2012 - 7:27 PM ET #22

    That would have been good luck. Strike out, bad luck. No thanx.
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    That would have been good luck. Strike out, bad luck. No thanx.
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