Interesting stat . . .
While I only give modest weighting to a pitcher's ERA stat (WHIP, frequency, venue, and quality of opponent are more important imho) nevertheless I keep a record of each starter's ERA each day (if a one-inning reliever starts in front of a the main BULK inning pitcher, I use the bulk inning dude's ERA stat)
At the end of the night I tally the wins by the teams with SPs who had a significantly better ERA than his counterpart (disregarding AAA callups or any starters with only 3 starts or less) Usually meaning one SP is about a full run ERA better (like 2.50 vs 3.50 and so on) but it's a subjective call when the numbers are closer, and often I just call it too close and a wash...
But when I have subjectively determined that one SP has a significantly better ERA:
70 - 45
since Monday May 11 thru last night.
You decide for yourself how much meaning/validity this ratio may hold in coming matchups. Keep in mind that in almost all matchups with a significant difference the better ERA is usually laying heavier juice as the fav
Tentatively on tap Saturday (having significant SP margins; current odds from B365):
Cards g1 -115 Pallante
Astros +125 Teng
Pitty -155 Skenes
Philly -185 Wheeler
CWS +100 Fedde (in expected BULK relief) vs Houser
Twins +105 Bradley ....vs Bello in expected BULK relief
Braves -170 Holmes
A's -115 Ginn
Angels +120 Urena (subjective close call)
Dbacks -185 Gallen
Well, not accurate. Earlier I merely posted ERS stats about teams with significant ERA edges, making clear that ERA is 
These are 
REGRESSION cometh!
Hot Forum Topics
