Yankees bats have definitely returned to normal past 9 games!
Scored: 12 4 5 9 5 5 6 6 10
..... yet still lost 6 of these 9 games!!
Yes, they won their last two. But is this a true sign they have turned the corner? Or is it a way to juice up their lines and set a trap for unsuspecting bettors?
I am avoiding the stress. Other games to cap...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Yankees bats have definitely returned to normal past 9 games!
Scored: 12 4 5 9 5 5 6 6 10
..... yet still lost 6 of these 9 games!!
Yes, they won their last two. But is this a true sign they have turned the corner? Or is it a way to juice up their lines and set a trap for unsuspecting bettors?
Close call on CUBBIES with miniscule edge in their favor (probably)....I need to see the line on them as a fav disappear to have a decent shot at a "value" bet (ie, no significant edges but plus money in coin-flipper)
Close call on CUBBIES with miniscule edge in their favor (probably)....I need to see the line on them as a fav disappear to have a decent shot at a "value" bet (ie, no significant edges but plus money in coin-flipper)
I on them as well Brewskies! Jumped on them soon as i seen the line and at home worth a try!. You looking at my card i have same one except i put T.O m.l as well.
G.L
Mr Evil.
@fubah2
I on them as well Brewskies! Jumped on them soon as i seen the line and at home worth a try!. You looking at my card i have same one except i put T.O m.l as well.
@fubah2 I on them as well Brewskies! Jumped on them soon as i seen the line and at home worth a try!. You looking at my card i have same one except i put T.O m.l as well. G.L
Ultimately I backed off. I see now it is a tight struggle that can go either way so it might well have been wise to make the "value" bet on the Brewskies......
Quote Originally Posted by trust-me:
@fubah2 I on them as well Brewskies! Jumped on them soon as i seen the line and at home worth a try!. You looking at my card i have same one except i put T.O m.l as well. G.L
Ultimately I backed off. I see now it is a tight struggle that can go either way so it might well have been wise to make the "value" bet on the Brewskies......
@fubah2 Mr Fubah, just a general question if you have the time…. What are your thoughts/experience on wagering First 5 vs Full game if your numbers support the Starting pitching? And secondly on Sunday you supported 3 ML’s that were -241, -215, -197 with Bosox, Philthies, and baby bears respectively….and naturally all 3 hit. My question as I’m continuing to tweak my MLB approach, Is there a general rule of thumb you use for “too expensive” or is it case by case game to game? I used to 100% pass on anything over -149 before I met your approach… Now I’ve seen the value in the probabilities, and having the confidence & also bank roll to go with a marathon vs sprint approach. Losing heavy chalk will happen inevitably…however I was also guilty of laying ML parlays with a pair of Faves -200 or more and also selecting a RL to get closer to -110 regardless of who was home team etc… Doing much better this season, thank you very much.
Part 1...... I used to try half game bets (4.5 or 5 innings) But after tracking my results for an extended period of time (spread over 2 seasons) I was a bit less than break even and decided to give up on it.....So I have no opinion of any real value on it.
Part 2...... I have constructed a chart (Go /no go) which I use based on my assessment of the "edge" in runs a team may have. There are other factors as well that can tilt my chart a little either way though so it's not rock solid such as +2.0 runs = up to -250 or some such. There is wiggle room to the chart, but I consult it daily, and have tweaked it a little over the years.
It's top secret though, as you might imagine. If I told you, I would have to terminate your existence immediately, and frankly I don't want to go through all the post-mortem hassle and paperwork again.
Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:
@fubah2 Mr Fubah, just a general question if you have the time…. What are your thoughts/experience on wagering First 5 vs Full game if your numbers support the Starting pitching? And secondly on Sunday you supported 3 ML’s that were -241, -215, -197 with Bosox, Philthies, and baby bears respectively….and naturally all 3 hit. My question as I’m continuing to tweak my MLB approach, Is there a general rule of thumb you use for “too expensive” or is it case by case game to game? I used to 100% pass on anything over -149 before I met your approach… Now I’ve seen the value in the probabilities, and having the confidence & also bank roll to go with a marathon vs sprint approach. Losing heavy chalk will happen inevitably…however I was also guilty of laying ML parlays with a pair of Faves -200 or more and also selecting a RL to get closer to -110 regardless of who was home team etc… Doing much better this season, thank you very much.
Part 1...... I used to try half game bets (4.5 or 5 innings) But after tracking my results for an extended period of time (spread over 2 seasons) I was a bit less than break even and decided to give up on it.....So I have no opinion of any real value on it.
Part 2...... I have constructed a chart (Go /no go) which I use based on my assessment of the "edge" in runs a team may have. There are other factors as well that can tilt my chart a little either way though so it's not rock solid such as +2.0 runs = up to -250 or some such. There is wiggle room to the chart, but I consult it daily, and have tweaked it a little over the years.
It's top secret though, as you might imagine. If I told you, I would have to terminate your existence immediately, and frankly I don't want to go through all the post-mortem hassle and paperwork again.
Ultimately I backed off. I see now it is a tight struggle that can go either way so it might well have been wise to make the "value" bet on the Brewskies......
It worked out!!!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
@fubah2 I on them as well Brewskies!
Ultimately I backed off. I see now it is a tight struggle that can go either way so it might well have been wise to make the "value" bet on the Brewskies......
Know went to fold em…know when to hold em. Know when to walk away and know when to run…
AWESOME recent run and moving into the black..hope it continues for you and I’m always following along and rooting for ya. You made me some nice bank during that run and thank you kindly.
Never told why I was banned and gave my best always to the forums
@fubah2
Know went to fold em…know when to hold em. Know when to walk away and know when to run…
AWESOME recent run and moving into the black..hope it continues for you and I’m always following along and rooting for ya. You made me some nice bank during that run and thank you kindly.
Interesting......and I'm getting PLUS MONEY on them too! 
I can’t have my existence terminated and have forgotten I’ve ever heard of Fubah2.. 
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