🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

@fubah2

 Been there like now couldnt hit the side of a barn lol

I'm driving ....at high speed..... and my brakes failed 

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

W  Tiggers -146  *BB @pinn

Big FAT LOSER  

BIG FAT LOSER

BIG FAT LOSER

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

W  Mia/AZ ov 9 -105 @pinn

W  Mia/AZ ov 8 -158 @pinn       *BB

W  Marlins +141 @pinn

My Brewskies!  

In this recent month of JUNE, the slumping YANKEES

are a dreadful 7 - 7  as a HEAVY HOME FAV

for **massive** loss on juice!! 

They are HEAVY HOME FAVS again Sunday . . .

  So, it's wise to stay *OFF* the YANKEES, and refuse to **guess** when they might regain consistency.  There is no value in playing that HEAVY HOME FAV with a  7 - 7 June record.....

I made the mistake of thinking they had a SOLID EDGE to win today as a -277 HEAVY HOME FAV and it cost me a winning day....

OTOH, fading them is equally UNWISE!! 

  Tailing me is UNWISE!  Bad losing record!

Sunday, June 29:     (pinnacle overnight lines)

Marlins +1.5 -128 RL   ...my capping says this is almost dead even; I prefer the cushion

Mia/AZ ov 9 -115    ... I have it rated for 10.2+ runs  

Cards -123   *BB     ...supposedly a full run edge; all at the plate (not on the mound)

SF/CWS un 9 -135 alt-line    ... I have it rated for 7.2 total runs;  8.5 too risky imo

Cubbies +132    ...I have this rated dead even; and SP Valdez on risky hot streak could struggle!

Brewskies -253 *BB   ...HEAVY HOME FAV caution! ...but I think a 2.0 run edge

. Sunday, June 29

  HOT STREAK WARNING!

                                Valdez,  Astros

             This STARTER is riding a tenuous  9-game  HOT STREAK, 

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

       ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!             

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe

Saturday results:

 L   Yankees -277           *BB loss
 L   LIVE BET: NYY -116     *BB loss
W Tiggers -146                    *BB
 L   Cinci  -145
W Pitts  +126
W Brewskies -256                *BB
W Mia/AZ ov 9 -105
W Mia/AZ ov 8 -158 alt-line    *BB
W Marlins +141
W Wash/LAA ov 9 -108
W Wash/LAA ov 8 -164 alt-line *BB

= 8 - 3     [4 - 2 *BB]

TREMENDOUS