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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    06/14/2017 SEA vs MIN Thread

    RussVentimiglia
    fadeaway123
    meeturmaker113
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 667
    Posts: 8
     
    RussVentimiglia
    RussVentimiglia
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 65
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 4:47 PM ET #1

    O/U 10.5

    Sam Gaviglio (2-1)
    IP: 29
    ERA: 2.79
    XFIP: 4.25
    SIERA: 4.48
    K/9: 5.90
    BB/9: 2.48
    HR/9: 1.86
    GB%: 52.9%
    WHIP: 1.21

    Ervin Santana (8-3)
    IP: 90
    ERA: 2.20
    XFIP: 4.48
    SIERA: 4.91
    K/9: 6.30
    BB/9: 3.30
    HR/9: 1.10
    GB%: 44.2%
    WHIP: 0.89

    The reason this total is so high is because these pitchers are due to regress. Yes, their ERA's look good but look at their XFIP and SIERA. Both pitchers walk a lot of batters and give up homers. Not a lot of strikeouts between these two pitchers either. Mariners have the bullpen advantage but both bullpens can be shaky if they don't have the lead and they're forced to throw their weaker pitchers out there. If I find a 10 out there, I'll play the over.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    O/U 10.5

    Sam Gaviglio (2-1)
    IP: 29
    ERA: 2.79
    XFIP: 4.25
    SIERA: 4.48
    K/9: 5.90
    BB/9: 2.48
    HR/9: 1.86
    GB%: 52.9%
    WHIP: 1.21

    Ervin Santana (8-3)
    IP: 90
    ERA: 2.20
    XFIP: 4.48
    SIERA: 4.91
    K/9: 6.30
    BB/9: 3.30
    HR/9: 1.10
    GB%: 44.2%
    WHIP: 0.89

    The reason this total is so high is because these pitchers are due to regress. Yes, their ERA's look good but look at their XFIP and SIERA. Both pitchers walk a lot of batters and give up homers. Not a lot of strikeouts between these two pitchers either. Mariners have the bullpen advantage but both bullpens can be shaky if they don't have the lead and they're forced to throw their weaker pitchers out there. If I find a 10 out there, I'll play the over.
     
    RussVentimiglia
    RussVentimiglia
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 65
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 4:55 PM ET #2

    Maybe might take the Mariners ML once I see the lineups. I could set myself up for a hedge if it's a close game.
    Reply
    Maybe might take the Mariners ML once I see the lineups. I could set myself up for a hedge if it's a close game.
     
    RussVentimiglia
    RussVentimiglia
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 65
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 5:14 PM ET #3

    Mariners vs Santana
    Cano 14 for 42
    Cruz 13 for 43
    Dyson 4 for 15
    Ruiz 1 for 6
    Seager 5 for 23
    Segura 1 for 4
    Valencia 2 for 9
    Zunino 2 for 4



    Twins first time seeing Gaviglio.
    Reply
    Mariners vs Santana
    Cano 14 for 42
    Cruz 13 for 43
    Dyson 4 for 15
    Ruiz 1 for 6
    Seager 5 for 23
    Segura 1 for 4
    Valencia 2 for 9
    Zunino 2 for 4



    Twins first time seeing Gaviglio.
     
    fadeaway123
    fadeaway123
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 3686
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 5:16 PM ET #4

    Yeah definitely wait to see what it looks like closer to game time.  Looks borderline win/lose for the Ms right now 
    Reply
    Yeah definitely wait to see what it looks like closer to game time.  Looks borderline win/lose for the Ms right now 
     
    RussVentimiglia
    RussVentimiglia
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 65
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 5:39 PM ET #5

    Twins lineup
    Dozier 2B
    Mauer 1B
    Sano 3B
    Kepler RF
    Vargas DH
    Escobar SS
    Castro C
    Buxton LF

    Mariners lineup
    Gamel LF
    Haniger RF
    Cano 2B
    Cruz DH
    Seager 3B
    Valencia 1B
    Dyson CF
    Zunino C
    Motter SS
    Reply
    Twins lineup
    Dozier 2B
    Mauer 1B
    Sano 3B
    Kepler RF
    Vargas DH
    Escobar SS
    Castro C
    Buxton LF

    Mariners lineup
    Gamel LF
    Haniger RF
    Cano 2B
    Cruz DH
    Seager 3B
    Valencia 1B
    Dyson CF
    Zunino C
    Motter SS
     
    RussVentimiglia
    RussVentimiglia
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 65
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 9:15 PM ET #6

    Nobody reads my threads. So this will be my last post.
    Reply
    Nobody reads my threads. So this will be my last post.
     
    meeturmaker113
    meeturmaker113
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2016
    Posts: 555
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 11:31 PM ET #7

    My under hit woohoo 
    Reply
    My under hit woohoo 
     
     
    RussVentimiglia
    RussVentimiglia
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 65
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 11:56 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by meeturmaker113:

    My under hit woohoo 
    There were no 10's left. Over seemed like a good play if there were 10's left.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by meeturmaker113:

    My under hit woohoo 
    There were no 10's left. Over seemed like a good play if there were 10's left.
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