Should be in for a sneaky good card... I have bets on a number of plays but will give my 2 cents on every fight.
Lins vs Grishin
FGTD... 2 aging fighters here, both can take hits and keep going.. I don't expect this to be fight of the night maybe sprinkle on winner by Split.
Blackshear vs Lacerda
FDNGTD... both these fighters are new to UFC and in the minors they were Submission machines, I expect both to be working hard all fight to get a sub and expect the 1st to make a mistake gets got.
Reed vs Frey
Frey +125 (an actualbet i made). Oh how I love low level WMMA. And this about as low as UFC gets. Frey is probably literally fighting for her job, is slightly bigger fighter and has more paths to victory. Also trains with Sam Hughes that has a recent KO win over Reed so I sure they working on a plan.
Mullarkey vs Naimov
FGTD... definitely not a fight I playing. Naimov coming in on short notice... Mullarkey is definitely worthy of being the biggest favorite on the board. I don't think either does enough to get a finish.
Castaneda vs Gafurov
Gafurov +110, will probably get to the window with this. don't think Castaneda is very good even though he has more UFC experience... FDNGTD is also a good bet here.
Arlovski vs Mayes
Mayes -135 (big big bet)It's crazy I remember watching Arlovski back in the day when he was on top the mountain and i was just being able to start legally drink in a bar, now he is here collecting a nice check. While I think Mayes is Trash, I think Arlovski has turned that corner in his career, because only father time is undefeated.His last 2 he lost and really the 2 before that were questionable. But Mayes being 13 years younger (Mayes was 14 when Arlovski won his 1st UFC title and 9 when he made his ufc debut) take the younger and at this point their lives the better fighter.
Santos vs Munoz
Santos ITD, also ML in parlays(i bet bot). Don't think Munoz will derail Santos here.. he will press forward and get the win
Nurmagomedov vs Dos Santos
FGTD... Nurmagomedov will probably just win a boaring fight, he is definitely one the weak link soming out of that camp and definitely the worst Nurmagomedov, but trains with killers and knows how to get boaring wins.
Silva vs Souza
Souza ML (+185) (bet it LARGE).. Silva will definitely have a size advantage here, but that's about it... this about an even fight as u can have so yes please I'll take the big + money.
Elliot vs Altamirano
Altamorano ML (+150) also FGTD.. not much to say here.. slightly younger fighter and years younger in fight years and wear and tear on the body.. Elliot has almost as many losses and draws (13) as Altamorano has fights (14) yet only 4 years apart.
Miller vs Butler
Have to take Miller ITD... when he win it's a finish. Short notice fight for his opponent facing a veteran like Miller won't end well.. won't bet it as Miller falls into the Elliot and Arlovski camp, but will start fading him after this weekend.
Caceres vs Pineda
Caceres -175. Don't like Pineda much at all. Should be fairly one sided. Like a Cacese/Santos ML parlay
Kara-France vs Albazi
Albazi -110 (big bet for me) like Kara France alot, fun fighter also comes to put on a fight and a show, his losses are against the top dudes, and While Albazi hasn't fought the same level of competition yet its doesn't mean he isn't ready to step it up. Has gotten a finish in 3 of his 1st 4 ufc fights and 14 of his 16 pro fights have come by finish....so I will also be sprinkling in a ITD bet, except this to be a fun fight for as long as it last.
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