UFC play of the year

Gonna keep it short and simple.  Yes I'm a homer for this pick being from south fla, but listen to me.

Vagner Rocha moneyline +300  risking 500 to win 1500

Biggest bet of the entire year for me. People are seriously underestimating Vagner in this spot.  He is a grappling freak and has been focusing on his standup for the past 3 years.  His wrestling and his striking are far greater than it has ever been, and it truly will show.  Matthews never has had the pleasure of stepping in the cage someone the same caliber as Vagner, and he will be overwhelmed imo, this guy is so underestimated...

Tail/Fade do whatever u want.  Lets get this paper.

I almost think the books are making a big mistake on this one, rather than begging for value action, there is a lot of hype around this kid and its a home fight for him, and a lot of people don't realize how in form vagner is, I do.  It's a fight so whatever happens happens, but vagner is so much better than any average ufc fan knows, trust me, he will surprise people...

haha I agree bro, hey if it loses ill take the heat for it, I feel pretty confident about this one, I usually hit a lot of dogs in mma, phil davis fight I bet 200 he was over +200, I never post here, ever, but figured this was worth it

watching his old fights wont help, he looked like crap in the past, totally revamped, motivated, all around mma fighter now, no longer a  BJJ only type of arsenal..

That's not how I saw this going when I capped that fight. and I saw rocha fight since his leaving of the ufc. Jake has far superior striking, and his a better fighter, I saw all of tuf can vs aus and jake his really good and so freaking young, only getting better each fight. rocha only fight his a sub which aint imposible, rookie mistakes happens, he did try to take Olivier aubin mercier to the ground when he was dominating him on his feet, but I doubt he will do this here and I see a clear win. but GL to you all