Posted:
#1
Seeing big bets always has me thinking of big parlays. On this card there seem like a few can't misses. Khabib -1000 is a big one, the guy has beaten the current champ easily and comes from a great camp. Even if his leg falls off during the fight it's hard to see him losing.
I also really like Khabib's brother from another mother Islam vs Dober. I find I put a little too much credit on fighter's wrestling, being an old one myself, but Islam should be able to out wrestle Dober easiliy. Islam has patient standup too, so I don't see him getting stunned on the feet. Dober is one of those athletic guys come late to wrestling. He can explode into great position, but doesn't have finishing chops in advantageous positions. Islams around -180.
John Dodson just outclasses Manny doesn't he? it's amazing to me one of these guys is 18-7, other 18-9. Dodson will be going up in weight here and Manny has fought plenty at 145 so there is a size disparity for sure, but Dodson is so fast, he doesn't get knocked out, he's got plenty of power for the weight class. Like Lineker recently I believe the smaller 135lber makes a splash in this debut.
Dodson -500
Glover vs Rashad. This is the main event so i suppose more scrutiny is expected, but I feel Glover is just better, more technical, tougher, better chin, good enough takedown defense, not only the he won't get taken down, but he doesn't allow it to limit his offense. Glover all the way. -200
-180, -500, -200 @ 100 gets you 280, 180 profit.
-180, -500, -200, -150, 105, -220 @ 100 gets you 1391, 1291 profit
I've got a few more leans. The Ponz -150 over McGee (similar fighters, but Ponz better camp, more athleticism), Hacran +105 vs Cub (uneasy about this given Cub's camp, but Hacran's quicker. I don't know if he'll wear Cub down enough for finish, but for win.), Rose -220 vs Tecia (line has moved big for Rose even though she lost the first fight. She was pretty young then and has improved more then Tecia even tho both come from great camps. Rose wins the rematch.)
I've been so/so with betting mma. I pay a decent amount of attention and bet a good amount of money, lol. Really need to get away from the parlay mindset; always batting for homeruns when I'm decent at hitting singles.
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