Posted:
#1
L39 UFC cards: +61.57 Units (Avg +1.57 Units per Card)
UFC on ESPN+ 1 (Cejudo vs Dillashaw)
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Views: 2787
Posts: 22
Posted:
#3
I don't think dillashaw loses this fight. He doesn't cut much for bantamweight so I don't think the weight cut to flyweight will be as bad as people think.
I see this similar to the Holloway/Ortega fight...too much emphasis on one fighter missing weight or having a bad performance by the weight cut but when the bell rings it's just total domination (by dillashaw)
Anyway good luck on the first card of 2019! :)
Posted:
#4
Quote Originally Posted by Matt8823:
I don't think dillashaw loses this fight. He doesn't cut much for bantamweight so I don't think the weight cut to flyweight will be as bad as people think.
I don't think dillashaw loses this fight. He doesn't cut much for bantamweight so I don't think the weight cut to flyweight will be as bad as people think.
I see this similar to the Holloway/Ortega fight...too much emphasis on one fighter missing weight or having a bad performance by the weight cut but when the bell rings it's just total domination (by dillashaw)
Anyway good luck on the first card of 2019! :)
Cejudo just beat the greatest flyweight ever pretty convincingly in a 5 round fight. You think he should be an underdog to anyone, especially someone coming down 10 lbs who already looks insanely sucked in and shredded at bantamweight weigh ins.
Everyone seems to forget that TJ was on the brink of being finished both fights vs Garbrandt. Another 10 lbs cut, he may not have survived either of those fights. Cejudo striking, while not on the level of TJ, is damn close. And Cejudo has the wrestling and will have the cardio advantages against TJ.
People are severely underrating Cejudo in this fight as shown in these insane odds. I think Cejudo is hitting his prime, this is his natural division, and he will defend his championship. Early on I thought that Cejudo will grind him to a decision. The more I think about it, the more I think Cejudo will finish TJ.
This will almost be like a Khabib/Conor type fight. TJ is going to try to defend the takedown, while trying to KO Cejudo on the feet, but I think TJ could get caught and knocked down like Khabib did to Conor. TJ hasn't had to face a wrestler near the level of Cejudo
I will be at this fight and will have a lot of $ on Cejudo. Not just because I think he will win, but because of how ridiculous these odds are. 
If and when they fight at 135, my assessment could be different based on how this fight looks, but at 125 and as an underdog, especially at +180, I can't pass this up. Have to slam Cejudo.
Posted:
#5
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:
Cejudo just beat the greatest flyweight ever pretty convincingly in a 5 round fight. You think he should be an underdog to anyone, especially someone coming down 10 lbs who already looks insanely sucked in and shredded at bantamweight weigh ins. Everyone seems to forget that TJ was on the brink of being finished both fights vs Garbrandt. Another 10 lbs cut, he may not have survived either of those fights. Cejudo striking, while not on the level of TJ, is damn close. And Cejudo has the wrestling and will have the cardio advantages against TJ. People are severely underrating Cejudo in this fight as shown in these insane odds. I think Cejudo is hitting his prime, this is his natural division, and he will defend his championship. Early on I thought that Cejudo will grind him to a decision. The more I think about it, the more I think Cejudo will finish TJ. This will almost be like a Khabib/Conor type fight. TJ is going to try to defend the takedown, while trying to KO Cejudo on the feet, but I think TJ could get caught and knocked down like Khabib did to Conor. TJ hasn't had to face a wrestler near the level of CejudoI will be at this fight and will have a lot of $ on Cejudo. Not just because I think he will win, but because of how ridiculous these odds are. If and when they fight at 135, my assessment could be different based on how this fight looks, but at 125 and as an underdog, especially at +180, I can't pass this up. Have to slam Cejudo.
Cejudo just beat the greatest flyweight ever pretty convincingly in a 5 round fight. You think he should be an underdog to anyone, especially someone coming down 10 lbs who already looks insanely sucked in and shredded at bantamweight weigh ins. Everyone seems to forget that TJ was on the brink of being finished both fights vs Garbrandt. Another 10 lbs cut, he may not have survived either of those fights. Cejudo striking, while not on the level of TJ, is damn close. And Cejudo has the wrestling and will have the cardio advantages against TJ. People are severely underrating Cejudo in this fight as shown in these insane odds. I think Cejudo is hitting his prime, this is his natural division, and he will defend his championship. Early on I thought that Cejudo will grind him to a decision. The more I think about it, the more I think Cejudo will finish TJ. This will almost be like a Khabib/Conor type fight. TJ is going to try to defend the takedown, while trying to KO Cejudo on the feet, but I think TJ could get caught and knocked down like Khabib did to Conor. TJ hasn't had to face a wrestler near the level of CejudoI will be at this fight and will have a lot of $ on Cejudo. Not just because I think he will win, but because of how ridiculous these odds are. If and when they fight at 135, my assessment could be different based on how this fight looks, but at 125 and as an underdog, especially at +180, I can't pass this up. Have to slam Cejudo.
I do agree Cejudo is being underestimated and is a good value bet here, not sure how someone could be extremely confident in TJ @ -200 with the unknowns vs. this wrasslin' matchup and the weight cut(he looks terrible IMO)...but Cmon man! A 48-47 on all 3 cards that could've gone either way...his win vs. DJ was controversial at best not convincing. Personally thought DJ should've retained the title. Now their 1st fight where Johnson KO'd him in the 1st that was convincing. Not a big conspiracy guy but Dana and co. have never been fans of DJ because he couldn't pull PPV numbers and always wanted a fresh face as champ.
Cejudo just hasn't impressed me. I don't get the hype. Fights are strange in a way that one little thing can change the way the fight plays out and unless the losing fighter says anything no one will ever know and make their own assumptions.
Everyone also seem to forget TJ is a questionable decision to Cruz(back from multiple injuries/feel good story) away from being talked about as a pound for pound great. His style/fight IQ and coaching edge vs most fighters is what seperates him from other 135'ers. 
Crazy how inactive these fighters have been after looking up there recent fights
Also TJ was never hurt in that 2nd fight vs Cody and to say Cejudos striking is close to TJ's is just irresponsible
And the cardio and strength advantage all comes down to the weight cut IMO. Could be a staring contest in the beggining
but definitely don't see this playing out anything like conor getting mauled by Khabib
Enjoy the event
I'm kind of jealous
Posted:
#6
Cejudo has a legit chance but some stuff said if just delusional info you spreading. Had him against scared mouse but.
It was a close good fight he got the nod like he should have but it wasn't not dominate as you should little mouse striking was clealry sharper.
Tj was nowhere close to in danger in the second fight the fight is in UFC YouTube channel pls show what time frame Cody came and swinfins and tj countered til he finished him. And you're comparing his striking is laughable tj striking stance switching level changes in it self is a thing of beauty tj is hands down one of in not the best complete striker in the UFC cejudo has power but his steiking is very plain. Cody is orobapro the hardest hitting 135er if not liniker so that chin held good cejduo doesn't have that kind of power. Tj is better in clinch , gappling so shown with majority of power wrestlers simple. And you're scrazy saying he has the cardio edge . Tj looked great in at end of Cruz fight and both renan beatings never been tired with his relentless pace ever where as cejudo has in the fight in mouse of against benevidez.
Conor is amazing striker but even before 2 year layoff and coked up his was always suspect on the ground (Mendes fight) . Cejudo has fight two legit high end fighter in mighty mouse and benezides and didn't take them down like khabib. Tj is completely well rounded everywhere . Tj is not going to head hunt . He can wrestler too. Wrestling liniker .
It will be interesting to see on fight night , the weight cut and how he went about was never the question but him on fight night but he's looked great and good and been at weight for over a week now .
Posted:
#7
Early Prelims (ESPN+1)
Rencountre +150 (1 Unit)
Muhammad +170 (1 Unit)
Muhammad Wins by Decision +415 (1 Unit)
Muhammad Wins in Round 2 +830 (0.3 Units)
Muhammad Wins in Round 3 +1450 (0.2 Units)
Edwards Wins in Round 1 +375 (1 Unit)
Edwards Wins in Round 2 +600 (0.3 Units)
Bermudez Wins by Decision +320 (0.7 Units)
Posted:
#8
Prelims (ESPN)
Sandhagen Wins Inside Distance -150 (2 Units)
Menifield Wins in Round 1 +125 (1 Unit)
Menifield Wins in Round 2 +500 (0.2 Units)
Moreira Wins in Round 2 +850 (0.5 Units)
Moreira Wins in Round 3 +1450 (0.3 Units)
Calderwood +170 (1 Unit)
Hernandez Wins Inside Distance +135 (2 Units)
Hernandez Wins in Round 1 +300 (0.5 Unit)
Hernandez Wins in Round 2 +500 (0.5 Unit)
Cerrone Wins by Submission +470 (0.5 Units)
Cerrone Wins in Round 2 +730 (0.3 Units)
Cerrone Wins in Round 3 +1350 (0.2 Units)
Cerrone/Hernandez Won't Start Round 3 -130 (1 Unit)
Posted:
#9
Main Card (ESPN+)
Roberson/Teixeira Under 1.5 -105 (1 Unit)
Roberson/Teixeira Won't Start Round 2 +145 (1 Unit)
Ostovich +150 (1 Unit)
Ostovich Wins by Submission +680 (0.5 Units)
Benavidez Wins Inside Distance +400 (1 Unit)
Benavidez Wins in Round 1 +700 (0.3 Units)
Benavidez Wins in Round 2 +1000 (0.2 Units)
Gillespie Wins in Round +175 (1 Units)
Gillespie Wins in Round 2 +350 (1 Unit)
Gillespie Wins in Round 3 +1000 (0.5 Units)
Hardy Wins in Round 2 +650 (0.5 Units)
Cejudo +180 (5 Units)
Cejudo Wins by Decision +320 (2 Units)
Cejudo Wins in Round 1 +1500 (0.2 Units)
Cejudo Wins in Round 2 +1650 (0.3 Units)
Cejudo Wins in Round 3 +1800 (0.5 Units)
Cejudo Wins in Round 4 +2400 (0.5 Units)
Cejudo Wins in Round 5 +3200 (0.5 Units)
Posted:
#15
I will add though if there is a rematch at 135. I'd still pick dillashaw. I really believe he is the better fighter. Some people will say he lost because of the weight cut. I don't think that was a factor.
Henry just landed a precise shot that stunned TJ and jumped all over him and it was a bit too quick of a stoppage.
I can see why the ref stopped it because TJ wasn't defending himself well, most punches cejudo threw were landing but I still thought TJ was in the fight. He got hurt against garbrandt in the first fight and then came back the next round and knocked him out. Some people say his legs were wobbly? Kevin Lee will always be the King of the chicken dance after getting kicked in the head but he recovered fairly quickly and won..many fighters have been stunned or looked out of it and have comeback.
I would have lost money but my book didn't even have the fight odds whenever I checked so happy I saved money but I did tail you on sandhagan..even though he was a big favorite :)
Posted:
#20
MMA is such an unforgiving sport. One miss step and all the hard work of your 8-12 week training camp is voided. Imagine how that must feel to go thru hell with the weight cut and training camp to show up and get TKO'd in under a minute
I get TJ's frustration and agree the ref should've let him get hit a few more times but he's giving his haters alot of fuel by saying dumb stuff like "I didn't lose, Henry didn't beat me"
*correction* TJ got mauled WORSE than conor
Wasn't even that clean of a shot. Maybe the weight cut does affect your ability to take a shot like "they" say idk. Might as well do a rematch at 135 no other matchup to get excited about. Kill that 125 division
And just stop with the Cejudo being the "greatest combat sports athlete" talk...he fights in a division where you have to weigh 125#'s at weigh ins c'mon man!
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