UFC JACKSONVILLE

Alright boys back for another live event! Will be second event in the past 2 months. 

Starting off with the main event

Ilia Topuria ML / ITD finish prop 

Favor U2.5 rounds here for Topuria. Ilia has all the tools to become champ in the division and will show off here against Josh Emmett. Favor the KO/TKO prop via ground n pound but also very live for a submission, hence the ITD play

Trevor Peek ML -110 / By KO/TKO

My hammer play of the card. Peek is fighting out of my hometown, Chattanooga TN. Coming off consecutive early finishes, I expect Peek to continue the trend here. Chepe is a late notice opponent and is his ufc debut. I see nothing other than an early brutal KO for Peek. Playing this with confidence. Sprinkle the R1 KO prop 

Justin Tafa ML / By KO/TKO prop 

Favor U1.5 rounds here. This is a layup of a matchup for Tafa. Lane is the hometown Jville boy, playing in the NFL for the Jags. The crowd will be behind him but it won’t matter. I see a R1 KO for Tafa

Randy Brown ML 

Love this matchup for Brown. Will have a big advantage in the standup and I fully expect for Brown to find the finish against Turman. Playing the KO/TKO prop and small sprinkle on R2/R3 finish 

David Onama ML

Risky play here but I really like Onama in this matchup. He had so much hype before the Nate fight and got absolutely out hustled. I like Onama to have a bounce back here and a small play on the ML and the KO/TKO finish as well

Bruno Silva ML / By KO/TKO prop 

Big Bruno. Coming off the quick finish of Brad Tavares, I like Bruno to continue the momentum here. The hedge is Allen by submission and will be played here. I can see Silva absolutely blasting Allen, but if he gets taken down it could be game over. Playing Silva small here

Jack Jenkins ML +175 

All aboard the Jenkins train here. Emmers is talented but has absolutely awful fight IQ, always seeming to make a mistake. I expect Jack to take advantage and fight the smart fight here. Favor the O2.5 rounds but Jack is live for a late finish. Playing the ML with confidence here. Small hedge on Emmers by decision 

Brundage/Dumas U1.5 rounds 

Both these guys are all gas no brake, and I see no other option than this fight ending early. Brundage has an absolutely clear path to victory here with the wresting and I expect him to get Dumas down early. Playing a very small sprinkle on Brundage By KO/TKO via ground n pound but could also see a Dumas finish early if Brundage rushes in with his chin up high. The U1.5 is absolutely the side here

Zhalgas Zhumagulov ML

Man has ZZ had some back luck in the octagon. I like him to turn it around here and take advantage of the very green  Joshua Van. ZZ has the advantage in striking, grappling, and TD defense on the metrics. I favor him to win by decision and would play the KO/DEC double chance if I could. Lean O2.5 rounds x ML for Zhalgas and will have some parlays with those pieces. Hedge with Van ITD or ML x U2.5

Now playing the Cody Brundage ML

After looking into this fight more, I see a dominant win for Brundage. By submission is most likely but I will have a play on the KO/TKO prop at +500 for the value. I could very well see a gnp finish for Cody and am playing the ML / U1.5 rounds parlay as well

Small play on Gillian Robertson ML

And let’s roll with the play of Gillian by submission and ML / U2.5 rounds combo as well. Could very well see a Ricci decision win here and will have a small hedge on that outcome but I love GR here. She will be the bigger woman in the octagon and have a size advantage. Look for Robertson to sink in a choke and cash that underdog ticket today 

It’s been a minute. Bounce back day from your 6-32 last performance. LFGGGG

Way kick it off like you never left with an 0-4 start. Keep ‘em coming!