UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Dern

YTD 42-61 -7.89 units 

Back again this weekend with more fights 

Will try and get write up's done ASAP if anyone cares. 

GL ALL  

Can’t wait for the write ups!  Not sure if I’ll have any plays for this card around, but your thoughts may sway me! 

@joedotmorales

  GL this weekend if you decide to play anything 

Deron Winn dropped out of fight, so Hawes is now facing Chris Curtis 

Garcia vs Ontiveros 

Opening fight of the prelim card. Both coming of losses last year in their respective UFC debut's, so both guys will look to get back on track here. Ontiveros debut was at 185 pounds against Holland, and this fight is at 155 pounds, so we will see how that shapes up. Ontiveros is a striker by trade, and has a similar stance as Wonderboy. He is always looking for the finish and during that, he does get sloppy and wild at times, which gets him into trouble. All his losses have been by finish. He think's going down in weight will be an advantage, so we will see. Garcia is a solid grappler who will look to mix in takedowns.  If he fight's smart and avoids a striking match with Ontiveros, he has a clear path to victory with his grappling and wrestling. It will be interesting to see how much the size difference makes with Ontiveros coming down from his regular 170 to 155. Will that be an advantage for him? Will he use that size and strength to keep Garcia off of him? At +250 I like the value.  

This fight is now called off altogether, Hawes declined the replacement match.

Crazy last couple day's, and early card so no time for rest of the write ups 

Prelim Picks, 

Ontiveros ML +275 - 0.5 units to win 1.37 units  

Rosa to win inside distance +450 - 0.5 units to win 2.25 units 

Romanov/Vanderaa over 1.5 rounds +125 - 1 unit to win 1.25 units 

Main Card picks, 

Gutierrez/Colares under 2.5 rounds +162 - 1 unit to win 1.62 units 

Rodriguez ML +170 - 1 unit to win 1.70 units 

Parlay, 

Elliot/Brown ML +267 - 1 unit to win 2.67 units