UFC Fight Night 86

Events 6-2
YTD 40-38(-561.40)
O/U 16-18(-4.75)
FFD 2-6(-3.05)

Starting off this week with Iron Maiden in Detroit Rock City, should be awesome!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! As far as this card goes, with only two lines out and a bunch of newbies fighting, this could be a minefield!!!!!!!! Five HW fights does add a interesting twist though.

I think Dos Santos time has passed and Rothwell rocks him this weekend. The line was -130 Rothwell originally and now it's at -105, I think by fight night it will go back up so it's a good time to hit it now if you like Rothwell.

I have no clue on Zak Cummings/Nicolas Dalby and I sorta lean Derrick Lewis over Gonzaga but that could go either way too.

I think there's dog value on Gonzaga over Lewis at +160 where I bet him before the line dropped and on Cummings over Dalby at +150. 

I just think Lewis possesses brutal punching power and Gonzaga's been knocked out a lot in his career and is 5 years older if I'm not mistaken.

The line has dropped to -145 Lewis this morning which is where I may feel comfortable wagering on him now.

The best bet in this one though is probably take the under in rounds, I have strong doubts this one goes the distance.

Lewis should smoke him, BUT Gonzaga is a crafty vet.

MMA junkies staff picks are 10/10 for Lewis and I'm seeing a lot of support here.  Ive just seen way too many easy takedowns on Lewis.  I think a patient Gonzaga puts him in some jits garbage.  

What's up Ferrari? Looks like everyone likes Rothwell but I think Jr can win on his feet.

Hey Tim, I've been on the Rothwell bandwagon since he lost to Hunt so I see no reason to get off yet. Not sure what Junior has left in the tank and even though he is a better striker, Rothwell I think and hope is better at angles and pushing guys to the fence. Besides I wanna see Big Ben do his goofy dance after winning too.

From the top Boys, nothing crazy this weekend with these bets!!!!!!!

Rothwell(+105) 4 gets me 4.20.
Under 1.5 Dos Santos/Rothwell fight 1 gets me 1.25.
Lewis(-145) 4.35 gets me 3.
Under 1.5 Lewis/Gonzaga fight 1.50 gets me 1.
Blaydes(-145) 1.45 gets me 1.
Under 1.5 Blaydes/Ngannou fight 1 gets me 1.10.
Johnson(+130) 1 gets me 1.30.
Under Tybara/Johnson fight 1 gets me 1.25.
Under 1.5 Blachowicz/Pokrajac fight 1 gets me 1.20.
Under 1.5 Moroz/Stanciu fight 1 gets me 1.65.
Dalby(-125) 1.25 gets me 1.
Entwistle(-145) 1.45 gets me 1.
Under 1.5 Entwistle/Perez fight 1.35 gets me 1.
Pejic(+105) 2 gets me 2.10.
Martins(-130) 1.30 gets me 1.
Under 1.5 Cannonier/Asker fight 1 gets me 1.10.
FFD DiChirico(+165) 1 gets me 1.65.

$26.65 in action. With alot of new fighters, five HW fights, and the early start time I felt no reason to push money around. I do have a wheel going with Blackowicz as my main wheel with Rothwell,
Lewis,  Ngannou,Tybura, Moroz, Cummings, Taisumov, Entwistle, Pejic, Martins, Cannonier, Velickovic to hopefully make $15.24. Good luck to everybody and quietly bet up the books!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wanted to add that thus far my Wheel plays are 14-32(-13.21).

BOL FERRARI!  

Thanks Mister219. Think I missed out on some home cooking on that first fight but that Martins made up for it.

Today's record
3-5(-4.85)
O/U 3-5(-1.90)
FFD 0-1(-1.00)
Wheel 8-4(+5.76)

Knew this was a tough card and I was proven correct. I still find it amazing how fighters have corner guys or girls yet never listen to them!!!!!!!!! Oh well short week with Khabib fighting a slug.