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    All Forums | Mixed Martial Arts

    UFC Fight Night 10-1-22

    BigMick87
    The_Fist
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    BigMick87
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2022 - 12:49 AM ET #1

    Let's get this started

    Cannetti vs. Costa - Interesting fight, odds are Costa wipes him out by KO/TKO in 1st round.  Thing is, Costa has been 1st round or bust his entire career.  He throws everything at his opponent in 1st round, then either gasses or quits if he hasn't finished it by then, and ends up getting finished himself. PICK - Not sure what i'm doing here yet, but Cannetti to win in Round 2 (+1300) and to win in Round 3 (+1900) are tempting.  If Cannetti survives Round 1, history has shown it's anyone's fight.

    Chandler vs. Stoliarenko - Last time Stoliarenko fought her odds skyrocketed 10 minutes before her fight, and for good reason as she got an easy 1st round submission win.  Stoliarenko is another 1st round or bust fighter.  Chandler is making her debut and is a big strong women who is at home on the mat.  She is a member of Cesar Gracie Jiu Jitsu and i'm banking on them having her prepared for Stoliarenko's armbar. PICK - Chandler ML (-105)

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Let's get this started

    Cannetti vs. Costa - Interesting fight, odds are Costa wipes him out by KO/TKO in 1st round.  Thing is, Costa has been 1st round or bust his entire career.  He throws everything at his opponent in 1st round, then either gasses or quits if he hasn't finished it by then, and ends up getting finished himself. PICK - Not sure what i'm doing here yet, but Cannetti to win in Round 2 (+1300) and to win in Round 3 (+1900) are tempting.  If Cannetti survives Round 1, history has shown it's anyone's fight.

    Chandler vs. Stoliarenko - Last time Stoliarenko fought her odds skyrocketed 10 minutes before her fight, and for good reason as she got an easy 1st round submission win.  Stoliarenko is another 1st round or bust fighter.  Chandler is making her debut and is a big strong women who is at home on the mat.  She is a member of Cesar Gracie Jiu Jitsu and i'm banking on them having her prepared for Stoliarenko's armbar. PICK - Chandler ML (-105)

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2022 - 1:15 AM ET #2

    Lins vs. Grishin - NO PLAY

    Allen vs. Jotko - Allen is 26, and should be looking to make a move into the Top 15.  I took him last time out vs. Malkoun and thought he escaped with a win by skin of his teeth.  Not unusual to hear booing during Jotko's fights, he is content to land a few jabs/leg kicks and then grapple against the cage and fight for dominant position.  PICK - been going back and forth,might be a live bet if i play it at all

    Silva vs. Ronson - Does NOT go distance...might include in a parlay

    Ricci vs. Penne - Ricci will be shooting double legs trying to get this fight to the ground.  Penne has those longish legs and it's not always easy to get her down.  Penne is 39 years old though and Ricci is just entering her prime.  PICK - Ricci ML (-210) might include this in parlay w/ silva/ronson

     

    finish these tomorrow

    Reply

    Lins vs. Grishin - NO PLAY

    Allen vs. Jotko - Allen is 26, and should be looking to make a move into the Top 15.  I took him last time out vs. Malkoun and thought he escaped with a win by skin of his teeth.  Not unusual to hear booing during Jotko's fights, he is content to land a few jabs/leg kicks and then grapple against the cage and fight for dominant position.  PICK - been going back and forth,might be a live bet if i play it at all

    Silva vs. Ronson - Does NOT go distance...might include in a parlay

    Ricci vs. Penne - Ricci will be shooting double legs trying to get this fight to the ground.  Penne has those longish legs and it's not always easy to get her down.  Penne is 39 years old though and Ricci is just entering her prime.  PICK - Ricci ML (-210) might include this in parlay w/ silva/ronson

     

    finish these tomorrow

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2022 - 10:00 PM ET #3

    Watching ONE on firestick....consider this company to be the next best thing after UFC.  They have MMA, but also muay thai and kickboxing fights too.

    Anyone who actually enjoys watching this stuff and not just betting on it should check it out, if they haven't already.  Anyway....

     

    Oleinik vs. Latifi -  This fight may finally happen.  In the past i've picked Latifi by TKO/KO, but something is giving me pause now.  NO PLAY

    Davis vs. Boreschev - Feel like Davis should be an even bigger favorite, his only losses were to 2 top contenders.  I really don't care for Boreschev, he has some power in his hands, but he gasses real easily. PICK - Davis by finish +140

    NO PLAY on Castenada/Santos & Yusuff fights

    Barcelos vs. Jones - Barcelos is known for his boxing prowess and he does have good movement and excellent timing on his boxing combos.  Jones is a great athlete who also has solid power.  Barcelos has been in some brawls and at 35 he may be on a downturn evidenced in his last when he was sucking wind with a minute left in 1st round. Pick - Jones ML +200....certainly a chance Barcelos just out-boxes him, but i didn't like what i saw in his last fight, even got hurt a few times by Victor Henry who isn't a power puncher.

    Reply

    Watching ONE on firestick....consider this company to be the next best thing after UFC.  They have MMA, but also muay thai and kickboxing fights too.

    Anyone who actually enjoys watching this stuff and not just betting on it should check it out, if they haven't already.  Anyway....

     

    Oleinik vs. Latifi -  This fight may finally happen.  In the past i've picked Latifi by TKO/KO, but something is giving me pause now.  NO PLAY

    Davis vs. Boreschev - Feel like Davis should be an even bigger favorite, his only losses were to 2 top contenders.  I really don't care for Boreschev, he has some power in his hands, but he gasses real easily. PICK - Davis by finish +140

    NO PLAY on Castenada/Santos & Yusuff fights

    Barcelos vs. Jones - Barcelos is known for his boxing prowess and he does have good movement and excellent timing on his boxing combos.  Jones is a great athlete who also has solid power.  Barcelos has been in some brawls and at 35 he may be on a downturn evidenced in his last when he was sucking wind with a minute left in 1st round. Pick - Jones ML +200....certainly a chance Barcelos just out-boxes him, but i didn't like what i saw in his last fight, even got hurt a few times by Victor Henry who isn't a power puncher.

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2022 - 10:45 PM ET #4

    Brown vs. Trinaldo - Trinaldo is 44 yo but has been the man who seems to always have more energy in the 3rd round.  If Rudeboy Brown gets a win here he should face a ranked opponent so there should be plenty to fight for.  Trinaldo has never been Ko'd but has been submitted and Brown's Jiu-Jitsu has looked great of late and he has those long limbs to get it done.  PICK - Brown by sub +550......Trinaldo's body has to give out some point. May just play this Brown by finish (+140) but i like Brown to hurt him on the feet and then get a choke, like Kevin Holland did a few months ago to Tim Means

    Dern vs. Yan - I admittedly wasn't a fan of Dern when she first came in because i didn't trust her being able to go far with zero stand-up.  She says she has been making improvements there and it's showed in her recent fights.  Her improvement in the stand up will give her just enough opportunity to get this fight to the ground where she has a massive advantage. Pick - Dern ML......may combine this with a few other bets into a parlay

     

    As usual i'll post my plays during the show tomorrow

    Reply

    Brown vs. Trinaldo - Trinaldo is 44 yo but has been the man who seems to always have more energy in the 3rd round.  If Rudeboy Brown gets a win here he should face a ranked opponent so there should be plenty to fight for.  Trinaldo has never been Ko'd but has been submitted and Brown's Jiu-Jitsu has looked great of late and he has those long limbs to get it done.  PICK - Brown by sub +550......Trinaldo's body has to give out some point. May just play this Brown by finish (+140) but i like Brown to hurt him on the feet and then get a choke, like Kevin Holland did a few months ago to Tim Means

    Dern vs. Yan - I admittedly wasn't a fan of Dern when she first came in because i didn't trust her being able to go far with zero stand-up.  She says she has been making improvements there and it's showed in her recent fights.  Her improvement in the stand up will give her just enough opportunity to get this fight to the ground where she has a massive advantage. Pick - Dern ML......may combine this with a few other bets into a parlay

     

    As usual i'll post my plays during the show tomorrow

     
    The_Fist
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 9:58 AM ET #5

    GL this weekend Mickclover

    Reply

    GL this weekend Mickclover

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 1:35 PM ET #6

     

    @The_Fist

     an_cheers

     

    Parlay:  Ronson/Silva does NOT go distance - Mike Davis ML - Dern ML = +216

    Reply

     

    @The_Fist

     an_cheers

     

    Parlay:  Ronson/Silva does NOT go distance - Mike Davis ML - Dern ML = +216

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 3:40 PM ET #7

    Took Canetti to win in Round 2 and Round 3

    .25 unit each +1300 and +1900 respectively 

     

    likely costa wipes him out, but sometimes some wild shit happens in opening fight

    Reply

    Took Canetti to win in Round 2 and Round 3

    .25 unit each +1300 and +1900 respectively 

     

    likely costa wipes him out, but sometimes some wild shit happens in opening fight

     
    paletta007
    paletta007
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 3:55 PM ET #8

    clover

    Reply

    clover

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 4:19 PM ET #9

    @paletta007

     an_cheers

    Let's do this my friend!

    Reply

    @paletta007

     an_cheers

    Let's do this my friend!

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 4:22 PM ET #10

    YIKES  angry

     

    sometimes you just can't get too specific with these things lol

    Reply

    YIKES  angry

     

    sometimes you just can't get too specific with these things lol

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 4:28 PM ET #11

    Chelsea Chandler ML ( +100 )

    Reply

    Chelsea Chandler ML ( +100 )

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 4:47 PM ET #12

    moneybag Chandler is a Beast

    Think i'm laying off these next couple fights

    Reply

    moneybag Chandler is a Beast

    Think i'm laying off these next couple fights

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 5:40 PM ET #13

    Ronson and Silva being more cautious than i expected

    Reply

    Ronson and Silva being more cautious than i expected

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 5:42 PM ET #14

    of course someone gets hurt with 5 seconds left in round 

     

    Let's get a finish here somebody!!!!

    Reply

    of course someone gets hurt with 5 seconds left in round 

     

    Let's get a finish here somebody!!!!

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 5:54 PM ET #15

    Nice job Silva

    no play on HW fight

    Reply

    Nice job Silva

    no play on HW fight

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 6:46 PM ET #16

    Santos LIVE ML +310

    Reply

    Santos LIVE ML +310

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 6:53 PM ET #17

    an_dancean_boggienightmoneybag

    This makes up for the dummies in Cal / Wash St. game

    Reply

    an_dancean_boggienightmoneybag

    This makes up for the dummies in Cal / Wash St. game

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 7:02 PM ET #18

    Let's go Beast Boy!!!!!

    Reply

    Let's go Beast Boy!!!!!

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 7:07 PM ET #19

    I also took Davis by finish +175....

    Reply

    I also took Davis by finish +175....

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 7:14 PM ET #20

    smart by Davis to take him down....Boreschev gassed out when he had to wrestle with Diekesse in his last fght

    Reply

    smart by Davis to take him down....Boreschev gassed out when he had to wrestle with Diekesse in his last fght

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 7:31 PM ET #21

    damn no finish, but should be another leg of the parlay competed

     

    for anyone new around here: Dern ML is the last leg of my parlay, so you should be jumping all over her opponent right now

    Reply

    damn no finish, but should be another leg of the parlay competed

     

    for anyone new around here: Dern ML is the last leg of my parlay, so you should be jumping all over her opponent right now

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 7:47 PM ET #22

    no play on yusuff

    Reply

    no play on yusuff

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 7:56 PM ET #23

    Jones ML +210

    Reply

    Jones ML +210

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 8:16 PM ET #24

    Jones should be cut....inexcusable performance

    Reply

    Jones should be cut....inexcusable performance

     
     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2022 - 8:26 PM ET #25

    Rudeboy by finish +155

    Reply

    Rudeboy by finish +155

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