UFC 297

Charles Jourdain ML -210  

Mike Malott ML -350 

These two guys are my most confident picks on the card. Charles “Air” Jourdain is a dynamic fighter who despite the reach disadvantage in this fight, I see finding a dominant W. Malott is the hometown kid fighting in his backyard of Toronto, Canada. Neil Magny is tough but on the way out, I see Malott finding a finish early, most likely by submission. 

BOL this weekend everyone 

Malott inside the distance -225

Lean by sub +115 // U2.5 rounds -180 

Jourdain ML x Malott ML parlay anchors 

Ladies title fight 

Mayra Bueno Silva ML -160

Bueno Silva will be the much more dynamic fighter and will pose the most danger early in the fight. Much of her win equity comes in a finish so lean the inside the distance prop as well as U2.5 and U3.5 rounds if Silva comes out on top. Her opponent, Pennington, is tough and has been in the UFC a long time but poses little to no threat in terms of finishing ability. Look to cash the brazilian here in what will hopefully be an exciting finish 

Prop: Serhey Sidey by KO/TKO +200 sprinkle 

Sidey/Taveres does not go the distance -275 

This fight should be violence and is a rematch from an early stoppage on the contender series this fall. Sidey won via KO/TKO the first time, and I anticipate that happening this time as well. The fight DNGTD is a very solid play at -275 and can be thrown in parlays. Slight lean to U1.5 rounds on the total as an early finish from either side would not be surprising. 

Like the picks. Good luck!

UFC Middleweight Championship

Dricus Du Plessis ML +100 

DDP for the win here. His opponent, Sean Strickland, is coming off the shocking upset victory where he dominated the champ, Israel Adesanya. This is the first title fight not featuring Izzy in nearly 6 years(!). Strickland put on a great performance that night but styles make fights and I see Du Plessis overwhelming Strickland and finding a finish inside the first 3 rounds. 

DDP inside the distance prop (TKO or Sub)  // By submission +500 has value *small sprinkle* // Du Plessis Rds 2/3 finish // ML +100 x U2.5 rounds 

The PPV steam has come in on DDP making him around -110 -115 territory. I would take him up to -140 or so but I don't expect the line to move much more until we get closer to the main event. BOL everyone 

Parlay piece: Jasmine Jasudavicius ML -400 

Adding: Serhey Sidey ML -195 

Risky underdog here but I am taking a stab at Allen. His last fight was a competitive L against Max Holloway and that loss is why this line is what it is. His opponent is an undefeated wrestler at 17-0 in Movsar Evloev who will want to do everything he can to get the fight to the ground. I'm betting on Allen keeping it standing and winning either with a late TKO or a decision if it goes to the judges. The O2.5 is -350 so the books certainly see a decision being likely. 

Tsarvis gl tonight 

Somehow missed the typo but for the above paragraph I wrote: Arnold Allen ML +165

A bet with a lot of value if you can get it on FD, DK, etc is Allen finish only -130. With the over being -350 a sprinkle on Allen by split decision and/or fight ends by split decision isn't a bad idea either. Let's hope Arnold keeps it on the feet 

Lean: Brad Katona ML -210

Hate the price, the line was much closer earlier in the week but Katona is the rightful favorite here and should win r3 and coast to a UD

Robertson vs. Viana U2.5 rounds -160 // FDNGTD

Rooting for violence here for the ladies

@tsarvis12

 ouch

Wow sorry guys that read on the Jourdain fight was way off. I still think he won the fight but clearly the judges aren't on our side tonight 

Wow you are on fire tonight 

All,u bums picked that tired ass bitch siva