*UFC 296*

Will have all plays listed in this thread over the next day or so 

Starting the card off with the big boys: Shamil Gaziev ML +105

Most of his win equity favors an early finish so I do lean the ITD prop at +185 as well as both U1.5 + U2.5 lines 

Good luck tsarvis 

Main Event: 

Leon Edwards ML -155 

Favor the champ to retain the belt here. Edwards has been more active and has the striking advantage as long as the fight stays on the feet. As long as he can fend off the takedowns, look for Edwards to continue his reign. Personal sprinkle on the KO/TKO prop and ML/U4.5 rounds 

@EzzClap

 Thank you brother! 

@tsarvis12

 You're reasoning is time off? Leon Edward's was Going to lose if not for one of the most amazing clutch kicks eva.....

2nd Fight.... he didn't win convincing...... 

Colby.... I don't care for his deamonor.... Has went to war with Usman. Broke his jaw,  a fluke ending shot.....

COLBY WINS BRAH......

@Bvegas

 Colby's time off is not the only reason.. I think Leon will more than handle Cov on the feet. I hope he puts up a good battle and treats the fans for our last fight of the year. I will certainly be hedging with Colby by Dec // Sub or Dec double chance prop. BOL on your bets tonight 

Some prop action:

Royval vs Pantoja - Fight ends by submission +100

Casey O'neill ITD +255 // sprinkle KO +475 // KO2 + KO3

Main parlay piece and large play for tonight:

Shavkat Rakhmonov ITD -185       

There is a ton of value on the KO/TKO prop at +250 or better as well as Shavkat R2 + R3 finish props 

Cash Gaziev  

Casey o. Is the only fight that stands out. Went big on her. Good luxk

WMMA is volatile so bet with caution but two ladies stick out enough to make a play

Casey O'Neill ML -170 *prop listed above but I do believe that Casey is live for a finish. U2.5 rounds at +142 has value*

Irene Aldana ML - 170 

@handycat

 Let's go 

Paddy Pimblett ITD +100 

I love T Ferguson just as much as the next guy but man this one could get ugly. Paddy should get this one done inside the first two rounds and there is value in the U2.5 rounds on the total as well. Paddy by submission is live. R2/R3 sub potential

Pantoja v Royval Under 2.5 Rounds -245

Lean Pantoja ML / itd especially by submission but playing the fight ends by sub to cover both sides

Bryce Mitchell ML -270       lean by submission prop +375 but a play on the sub/dec double chance would be a good option 

U2.5 rounds at +130 is good value with the potential KO/TKO threat from his opponent Josh Emmett taken into account

Took over 2.5 in Mitchell match. I think we see a decision

Let's go. Edwards speeed... mught be the difference 

Let's go. Edwards speeed... mught be the difference