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UFC 224: Nunes vs Pennington (5/12/18)

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UFC 224

Venue: Jeunesse Arena
Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Pay Per View - Main Card - 10:00 PM ET
Amanda Nunes vs Raquel Pennington
Ronaldo Souza vs Kelvin Gastelum
Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Cooper
John Lineker vs Brian Kelleher
Vitor Belfort vs Lyoto Machida
 
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FX - Prelims - 8:00 PM ET
Cezar Ferreira vs Karl Roberson
Aleksei Oleinik vs Junior Albini
Davi Ramos vs Nick Hein
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Sean Strickland

UFC Fight Pass - Early Prelims - 6:15 PM ET
Warlley Alves vs Sultan Aliev
Thales Leites vs Jack Hermansson
Alberto Mina vs Ramazan Emeev
 
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Opening odds (5Dimes):
 
Amanda Nunes (-530)
Raquel Pennington (+350)
 
Ronaldo Souza (-135)
Kelvin Gastelum (-105)
 
Mackenzie Dern (-530)
Amanda Cooper (+350)
 
John Lineker (-320)
Brian Kelleher (+240)
 
Vitor Belfort (-120)
Lyoto Machida (-120)
 
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Cezar Ferreira (-110)
Karl Roberson (-130)

Aleksei Oleinik (-120)
Junior Albini (-120)

Davi Ramos (+145)
Nick Hein (-185)

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (-105)
Sean Strickland (-135)
 
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Warlley Alves (-260)
Sultan Aliev (+180)
 
Thales Leites (+160)
Jack Hermansson (-210)
 
Alberto Mina (+160)
Ramazan Emeev (-210)
 
 
 
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Markus Perez vs. James Bochnovic has been added to the card.

 
https://www.mmafighting.com/2018/4/25/17280188/markus-perez-james-bochnovic-ufc-224
 
 
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I can't see Pennington hanging w/Nunes. I think the -948 is a but inflated, so trying to find some parlay material  Maybe Parlaying her, Lomachenko, and Cle series...
 
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Few quick thoughts on tomorrow's Main Event. The line on the Nunes/Pennington fight, currently at (-900)/(+600) on 5Dimes is giving Raquel an implied 14% chance to win. Nunes at (-900) seems too overpriced. 

Even though Amanda has a very aggressive style and is an elite striker who hits incredibly hard, Raquel has fought and beat numerous title challengers and is a very tough match for anyone in the division. Fighting in your home country, defending the belt in the main event in front of some of the most passionate MMA fans in the world, I would think there is a bit more pressure on Amanda Nunes in this fight.

Anyone have any thoughts on this match?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Skanless1:

I can't see Pennington hanging w/Nunes. I think the -948 is a but inflated, so trying to find some parlay material  Maybe Parlaying her, Lomachenko, and Cle series...

Just saw this post Skanless. The big factor is not knowing how much Raquel has progressed in the 18 months since her last fight. The odds just seem to be a bit off to me with Nunes at (-900). Bader over Lawal may be a parlay piece, depending on your thoughts on the match.
 
 
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True.. might parlay her w/Bader as I really think he beats King Mo. The -900 is pretty ridiculous in my opinion. Nunes is good, but should probably be more like -550 or so. 
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