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UFC 223 (Khabib vs Holloway)

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Posted: #1
9-1 L10 UFC cards for a total of +99.69 Units



Prelims (UFC Fight Pass)

Magomedsharipov Wins in Round 1 +200 (1.5 Units)
Magomedsharipov Wins in Round 2 +400 (1 Unit)
Magomedsharipov Wins in Round 3 +550 (0.5 Units)

Rodriguez Wins in Round 1 +375 (1 Unit)
Rodriguez Wins in Round 2 +480 (0.5 Units)
Clark Wins in Round 2 +600 (0.3 Units)
Clark Wins in Round 3 +900 (0.2 Units)

Lobov +130 (2 Units)
Lobov Wins by Decision +190 (1 Unit)
Lobov Wins in Round 2 +1500 (0.2 Units)
Lobov Wins in Round 3 +1800 (0.3 Units)


Prelims (FS1)

Aubin-Mercier +135 (2 Units)
Aubin-Mercier Wins in Round 2 +1400 (0.3 Units)
Aubin-Mercier Wins in Round 3 +2000 (0.2 Units)

Herrig +170 (2 Units)
Herrig Wins in Round 2 +1400 (0.3 Units)
Herrig Wins in Round 3 +1900 (0.3 Units)
 
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Posted: #2
Main Card (PPV)

Felder/Iaquinta Won't Go to Distance -125 (2 Units)

Chiesa/Pettis Won't Go to Distance -120 (2 Units)
Chiesa Wins by Submission +270 (0.5 Units)
Pettis Wins by TKO/KO +500 (0.5 Units)

Namajunas +100 (2 Units)
Namajunas Wins Inside Distance +180 (1 Unit)
Namajunas Wins by Submission +440 (1 Unit)
Jedrzejczyk Wins by Decision +175 (1 Unit)

Khabib Wins by Decision +200 (2 Units)
Khabib Wins in Round 3 +650 (0.5 Units)
Khabib Wins in Round 4 +1100 (0.5 Units)
Khabib Wins in Round 5 +1900 (0.5 Units)
Holloway Wins Inside Distance +500 (0.5 Units)
 
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Posted: #3
 
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Posted: #4
How is Khabib winning inside distance +200 (which includes TKO and KO and DQ) and Khabib winning by decision +500 for a favorite at -470? Isn’t a decision “Not distance”.

I don’t understand that. It seems like that’s Khabib “winning the fight” now betting it at + odds.

What is obvious that I’m missing here?
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

How is Khabib winning inside distance +200 (which includes TKO and KO and DQ) and Khabib winning by decision +500 for a favorite at -470? Isn’t a decision “Not distance”.

I don’t understand that. It seems like that’s Khabib “winning the fight” now betting it at + odds.

What is obvious that I’m missing here?

Winning by decision means you go the distance.  Not going the distance means someone finishes.
 
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Posted: #6
Hey Papa, any Masters pick buddy?
 
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Posted: #7
I've got my girl Thug Rose and that'll probably be my only bet. I've been a huge fan of hers since the first couple episodes of her TUF season and i'm so glad she's getting the accolades she deserves.
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
 
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Posted: #8
MDV
 
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Posted: #9
Updated Card


Prelims (FS1)

Rodriguez Wins in Round 1 +375 (1 Unit)
Rodriguez Wins in Round 2 +480 (0.5 Units)
Clark Wins in Round 2 +600 (0.3 Units)
Clark Wins in Round 3 +900 (0.2 Units)

Aubin-Mercier +135 (2 Units)
Aubin-Mercier Wins in Round 2 +1400 (0.3 Units)
Aubin-Mercier Wins in Round 3 +2000 (0.2 Units)

Herrig +170 (2 Units)
Herrig Wins in Round 2 +1400 (0.3 Units)
Herrig Wins in Round 3 +1900 (0.3 Units)


Main Card (PPV)

Magomedsharipov Wins in Round 1 +200 (1.5 Units)
Magomedsharipov Wins in Round 2 +400 (1 Unit)
Magomedsharipov Wins in Round 3 +550 (0.5 Units)

Namajunas +100 (2 Units)
Namajunas Wins Inside Distance +180 (1 Unit)
Namajunas Wins by Submission +440 (1 Unit)
Jedrzejczyk Wins by Decision +175 (1 Unit)

Khabib Wins in Round 3 +550 (1 Unit)
Khabib Wins in Round 4 +880 (0.5 Units)
Khabib Wins in Round 5 +1300 (0.5 Units)
Khabib Wins by Decision +460 (0.5 Units)
Iaquinta Wins in Round 1 +1400 (0.3 Units)
Iaquinta Wins in Round 2 +1700 (0.2 Units)
 
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Posted: #10
I think Iaquinta has a much better shot of beating Khabib than Max or Pettis would've.  Definitely a very dangerous fight for Khabib.  Cannot wait to watch.  
 
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Posted: #11
not touching Moicano/Kattar?
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

not touching Moicano/Kattar?

Lean Kattar, but Moicano is too dangerous to bet against.  I just want to watch and enjoy.  Should be a great fight.  
 
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Posted: #13
Man I always check out your threads for UFC events and it always seems like we're on the same page for 90% of fights and props...

I agree that Raging Al has a better chance than some of the other options, and will be betting it the same exact way... Al to win in RD 1 and 2, and Khabib in the last 3 rounds

Also agree on Rodriguez, Aubin-Mercier and F. Herrig is my favorite bet on this card. Karolina is hugely overvalued because of her name recognition and previous title fight with J.J.
Herrig has made monumental gains skill wise over her last half dozen fights, and she's in phenomenal shape! I think she might finish Karolina

 
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Posted: #14
And Karolina was handled easily by Claudia in her last fight. That might motivate her, but it also just may be a sign that she's in over her head against girls that can grapple and are well rounded
 
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Posted: #15
Craziest fight week ever. Good luck tonight. 
 
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Posted: #16
i hope herrig loses, nice so far tho. where was ur evanssmith
 
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Posted: #17
that shouldnt have been split decis
 
Prospect
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Posted: #18

Joanna new total:

Joanna $210/$197.64

 
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Posted: #19
Come into this dudes thread and throw out a loser ? 

PROSPECT trash 
 
 
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Posted: #20
UFC 223 Full Card: -3.85 Units


Prelims (FS1)

-2.4 Units

Main Card (PPV)

-1.45 Units



9-2 L11 UFC cards for a total of +95.84 Units
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