UFC 196

Events 4-2
YTD 27-29(-820.45)
O/U 12-15(-5.25)
FFD 1-5(-3.70)
Wheel 14-21(-2.21)

McGregor/Diaz ITD(-420) 840 gets me 200.


I'm sure like normal I'm reading this line incorrect so don't be surprised if it goes down. I just find it hard to see both guys going 25 minutes.

Wow, what book did you find those odds at? 5Dimes just finally released their props on this fight and I'm seeing -925 for the fight not to go the distance. I agree, I don't see this one going 25 minutes either. I would want to hammer that line

Hey Money I got that line at 5:30 yesterday. Must have been opening line because if you look at best fight odds that's where it started at. For once I might have got a line movement correct and I'd still play it at minus 925 too. I'll have my buddy on it Saturday for sure no matter which way it goes!!!

Oh Money I did play it on 5dimes too.

Wow, that's crazy to me that it opened that low and climbed so high so quickly. Good catch finding that value and hopping on it early! Nate is a tough, durable guy, so I can see him lasting out there a bit longer than the smaller guys that McGregor has been putting away early. Still don't think it goes all 5 rounds either way. Good luck!

Thanks Money and it's only value if it hits!!! You know from reading my thread I'm the worst line reader in the world so maybe once this blind squirrel found a acorn, lol. I still like it at 925 too.

Non-title fights go 5 rounds??

Pretty much all main events on a UFC card are scheduled for 5 rounds, regardless of whether or not it's a title fight

Crazy line movement Chewy!!! I I'll take anyway inside of 25. Eye poke, illegal knee, etc.

Did anybody know that Erick Silva was training at Kings MMA!!! That could be a game changer for that guy.

Money and Chewy that ITD line is down to minus 550 now!!!

Ok boys from the top and hopefully a RED PANTY kinda night:

McGregor by KO(-275) 13.75 gets me 5.
Diaz by submission(+700) 2 gets me 14.
McGregor/Diaz ITD(-420) 840 gets me 200.
Tate(+285) 5 gets me 14.25.
Latifi(-197) 3.94 gets me 2.
Under 1.5 Latifi/Villante fight 1 gets me 1.05.
Anderson(-285) 5.70 gets me 2.
Shevchenko(+125) 2 gets me 2.50.
Thatch(-295) 2.95 gets me 1.
Under 1.5 Thatch/Bahadurzada fight 1.20 gets me 1.
Silva(-205) 6.15 gets me 3.
Under 1.5 Silva/Taleb fight 1 gets me 1.25.
Skelly(-155) 1.55 gets me 1.
Miller(-145) 1.45 gets me 1.
Saggo(-190) 1.90 gets me 1.
FFD Ishihara(+165) 1 gets me 1.65.

$890.59 in action.I also have a wheel going as Holm being the wheel with McGregor, Latifi, Anderson, Shevchenko, Thatch, Silva, Guimaraes, Skelly, Miller, Saggo, Ishihara. $11 wheel with the potential of $20.40 in return. Best of luck guys and let's beat up them books!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wow 5 out of 7 dogs!!!

Record 7-6(+207.05)
O/U 1-2(-0.95)
FFD 1-0(+1.65)
Wheel 0-11(-11.00)

Started out hot and finished hot, in between not so much, lol. The more the week went on and the more I heard the drunks at the bar talking about Conor, the more I liked Diaz who I don't really like much either. good for Diaz though!!!!!!!! Dana's charmed family has all lost in the past six months.
Holly Holm, wow, thought I was watching a tennis match she way she grunts after every attemped strike. Rather see Cupcake more anyways then the Ace Ventura look alike. For the record had the fight Tate winning going into the 5th.
Thatch, Silva, Miller, and Erosa all should be cut.
I think Nunes should fight Pena next because if she can't go three solid rounds, no way she should get a title shot. OK people a nice week off before War Hunt/Mir!!!!!!!!!!

solid night Ferrari!  Agree with what you said about Holm and the grunting.  I'm a tennis fan and totally refuse to watch Sharapova for that reason.  Glad she's prob retiring tomorrow!

I wanted to pull the trigger on Diaz too but didn't.  His length allows him to almost never walk into shots and his chin is solid too.  Tired him out and finished him off!!  Really exciting main and co-main.

 

A solid night but I expect more from myself!!!!!!!!!!! Seems like I've been a week behind all year and missing easy dog bets. Slowly but surely I'll get this number back in the plus column but it's gonna be a grind. Crazy how one week elite wretlers and grapplers get knocked out and the next week the kickboxers and strikers get choked out!!!!!!!!!!!!