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UFC 187

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Posted: #1
Cormier(-130) 130.00 gets me 100.
Weidman(-475) 1900.00 gets me 400.
Browne(-420) 84 gets me 20.
Weidman inside the distance 17.90 gets me 10.
 
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Posted: #2
So I pretty much missed the last event but trust me, nobody wanted to see them plays!!!!!!!!!!!! I've been waiting for this card or match ups for two months, so we will see.
 
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Posted: #3
Cerrone(-400) 40 gets me 10.
Also played Cerrone in a $24 dollar wheel with: Cormier, Weidman, Browne, Moraga, Dodson, Kim, Natal, Rosie, Covington, Makhachev, and Scoggins.
 
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Posted: #4
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Cerrone(-400) 40 gets me 10.
Also played Cerrone in a $24 dollar wheel with: Cormier, Weidman, Browne, Moraga, Dodson, Kim, Natal, Rosie, Covington, Makhachev, and Scoggins.

Moraga?  You serious?  No way he beats Benavidez. 
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by rzagza:

Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Cerrone(-400) 40 gets me 10.Also played Cerrone in a $24 dollar wheel with: Cormier, Weidman, Browne, Moraga, Dodson, Kim, Natal, Rosie, Covington, Makhachev, and Scoggins.
Moraga?  You serious?  No way he beats Benavidez.



Just trying to find a dog somewhere on this card, plus I don't like Benavidez much.
 
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Posted: #7
Couple things I've noticed. 10 out of 15 dogs this year have won the first fight on all the cards, be careful Scoggins!!! This card looks crazy chalky and lines might go off the radar.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Couple things I've noticed. 10 out of 15 dogs this year have won the first fight on all the cards, be careful Scoggins!!! This card looks crazy chalky and lines might go off the radar.

Scoggins is one of the more talented fighters I've seen recently. Think the line is where it is because he is still young and coming off of two losses.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by timmyclax22:

Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Couple things I've noticed. 10 out of 15 dogs this year have won the first fight on all the cards, be careful Scoggins!!! This card looks crazy chalky and lines might go off the radar.
Scoggins is one of the more talented fighters I've seen recently. Think the line is where it is because he is still young and coming off of two losses.



I have no doubt Scoggins has talent, all I'm saying is dogs are 10-5 first fight. TUF winner Gordon has talent too, was a bigger fav than Scoggins and got beat. I'm rooting for you Tim as well as Scoggins because I have him parlayed. Just seems funny how guys fight in a empty arena I guess.
 
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Posted: #10
This is a huge favorite card. Almost all of them deserve to be as well. I'm taking a stab at Belfort, Pyle, and Johnson myself. All of the others should win. I could see Arlvoski pulling the upset though, and maybe Makdessi if he can catch Cerrone early, but other then that, should be a favorites' card.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by str8edgejedi:

This is a huge favorite card. Almost all of them deserve to be as well. I'm taking a stab at Belfort, Pyle, and Johnson myself. All of the others should win. I could see Arlvoski pulling the upset though, and maybe Makdessi if he can catch Cerrone early, but other then that, should be a favorites' card.



I can see Johnson and maybe Pyle catching Corey in a sub. As far as Belfort, he better win in a minute after that it gets ugly for the TRT GOD!! Arlovski boy I loved him ten years ago but this isn't Silva or Schaub. Cerrone will make Makdessi look worse than the Jury fight.
 
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Posted: #12
Namajunas (-300). 9 gets me 3. This play might cost me half of a 2 for 20 at the strip joint after the fights!!!! Upset alert!!!
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Namajunas (-300). 9 gets me 3. This play might cost me half of a 2 for 20 at the strip joint after the fights!!!! Upset alert!!!


4lbs over means you didn't even really try to cut weight either, WTF!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Namajunas (-300). 9 gets me 3. This play might cost me half of a 2 for 20 at the strip joint after the fights!!!! Upset alert!!!
4lbs over means you didn't even really try to cut weight either, WTF!!!!!!!!!!


If you know you're going to have a hard time making it by weigh in time, why out your body through it? May have been the smarter move in a losing situation. I'm still on Nina to win ITD. I think the size and power advantage > speed disadvantage
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:




I can see Johnson and maybe Pyle catching Corey in a sub. As far as Belfort, he better win in a minute after that it gets ugly for the TRT GOD!! Arlovski boy I loved him ten years ago but this isn't Silva or Schaub. Cerrone will make Makdessi look worse than the Jury fight.

tough to bet on a 39-year-old coming of ko loss but i wouldnt be betting covington here. pyle has good submissions and i dont think corey has much power in his stand-up and his coming in on three weeks notice. 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:


tough to bet on a 39-year-old coming of ko loss but i wouldnt be betting covington here. pyle has good submissions and i dont think corey has much power in his stand-up and his coming in on three weeks notice. 

Pyle looks to be the most popular dog pick on the card but man he has been KO'd or hurt very badly in 5 of his last 6 fights, it doesn't take much at all anymore to put him in big trouble.  Still he can pull it out at any moment.

Good luck Ferrari 
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:


Pyle looks to be the most popular dog pick on the card but man he has been KO'd or hurt very badly in 5 of his last 6 fights, it doesn't take much at all anymore to put him in big trouble.  Still he can pull it out at any moment.

Good luck Ferrari 

agreed, he has weak punch resistance but that might not be a factor in this fight. covington was arrested for fourth degree assault after punching a couple guys in the face of which neither apparently suffered any significant injuries 

https://www.gazettetimes.com/sports/beavers-sports/osu-wrestler-covington-cited-for-fourth-degree-assault/article_7ead6308-6ea5-11df-9c76-001cc4c002e0.html

https://d1wrestling.proboards.com/thread/2554/michael-mangrum-arrested-2nd-time


im not a bad azz but if i punch someone in the face something is going to break

i have an action play on pyle and nothing more. i think its nuts laying -300 on a guy that has no proven bjj or proven stand-up against a bona-fide ufc fighter like pyle
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:


agreed, he has weak punch resistance but that might not be a factor in this fight. covington was arrested for fourth degree assault after punching a couple guys in the face of which neither apparently suffered any significant injuries 

https://www.gazettetimes.com/sports/beavers-sports/osu-wrestler-covington-cited-for-fourth-degree-assault/article_7ead6308-6ea5-11df-9c76-001cc4c002e0.html

https://d1wrestling.proboards.com/thread/2554/michael-mangrum-arrested-2nd-time


im not a bad azz but if i punch someone in the face something is going to break

i have an action play on pyle and nothing more. i think its nuts laying -300 on a guy that has no proven bjj or proven stand-up against a bona-fide ufc fighter like pyle

 Awesome.  Well hopefully he has developed some more technique and power in the 5 years since that incident 

Anyways I do see your point, Pyle is so dangerous and I've been burned a few times while fading him these last few years.  Covington was actually the last play I locked in for this card.  Pyle is crafty but just can't take much damage anymore, Covington is a fairly bright prospect with solid wrestling, good subs, decent standup game, haven't seen any chin/cardio issues so far...he hasn't shown a lot of power while standing but as I said I think it takes very little to take Pyle out these days.

Any big/confident plays for you tomorrow Q?
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:


 Awesome.  Well hopefully he has developed some more technique and power in the 5 years since that incident 

Anyways I do see your point, Pyle is so dangerous and I've been burned a few times while fading him these last few years.  Covington was actually the last play I locked in for this card.  Pyle is crafty but just can't take much damage anymore, Covington is a fairly bright prospect with solid wrestling, good subs, decent standup game, haven't seen any chin/cardio issues so far...he hasn't shown a lot of power while standing but as I said I think it takes very little to take Pyle out these days.

Any big/confident plays for you tomorrow Q?

i am with kneeuthface and have one unit on cormier. have a half unit on dirrell by decision at +205

i realized that the incident with covington happened a long time ago but i also took into consideration that colby went the full three rounds with two cans and almost the full three rounds in his last fight with another can, neither of the three cans were hurt. if he had any punching ability in his stand up he hasnt showed it as of yet. i just dont think covington is worth -300 against a proven guy whose fighting in front of his home crowd
 
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Posted: #21
OK guys from the top: Cormier(-130) 130 gets me 100.
Weidman(-475) 1900 gets me 400.
Weidman inside the distance, 17.90 gets me 10.
Cerrone(-400) 40 gets me 10.
Browne(-425) 84 gets me 20.
Under 1.5 Browne/Arlovski fight 1.30 gets me 1.
Moraga(+390) 1 gets me 3.90.
Natal(+325) 1 gets me 3.25.
Namajunas(-300) 9 gets me 3.
Under 1.5 Covington/Pyle fight 1 gets me 1.50.
Makhachev inside the distance, 1 gets me 1.70.
Makhachev by sub, 1 gets me 3.25.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Cerrone(-400) 40 gets me 10.
Also played Cerrone in a $24 dollar wheel with: Cormier, Weidman, Browne, Moraga, Dodson, Kim, Natal, Rosie, Covington, Makhachev, and Scoggins.


Sorry guys it's a $22 dollar wheel with Cerrone. One more parlay for a $1 that has Cerrone, Browne, Benavidez, and Dodson.
 
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Posted: #23
$2210.20 in action!!!!!!!!!! got a draft kings team that is: Weidman, Browne, Moraga, Burkman, Covington. Good luck tonite guys and let's break the books up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #24
Glad to see that both me and you are firing tonight and specifically on Weidman. He's an easy going guy and to see him that pissed at the weigh in was awesome. Vitor is going to be punished.

Goodluck tonight.
 
 
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Let's get em tonight bro!
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