The most anticipated, the most hyped, the most interesting fight ever. 9 men in UFC, Pride, WEC or Strikeforce history have ever won 10 in a row. This is the first fight that matches 2 of them.
I lean Cormier. I don't think Jon will be able to handle DC's strength, his clinch, his power. It's not often that Bones KOs or even stumbles his opponents. I think DC pushes his forehead into Jon's chest and trips, lifts, and drops Jones over and over again. Cormier wins by decision and the fight is replayed sometime early next summer, IMO. I think Jon loses that fight as well and moves to HW, but that's pretty long-term speculation.
Anyway, what do you guys think?
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
39-28 +18.5
The most anticipated, the most hyped, the most interesting fight ever. 9 men in UFC, Pride, WEC or Strikeforce history have ever won 10 in a row. This is the first fight that matches 2 of them.
I lean Cormier. I don't think Jon will be able to handle DC's strength, his clinch, his power. It's not often that Bones KOs or even stumbles his opponents. I think DC pushes his forehead into Jon's chest and trips, lifts, and drops Jones over and over again. Cormier wins by decision and the fight is replayed sometime early next summer, IMO. I think Jon loses that fight as well and moves to HW, but that's pretty long-term speculation.
I don't think jones moves to HWIt's an intriguing and tough fight to call
What do you think if DC beats Bones twice? Does he fight the top ten at LHW? Super fights? He's not much smaller than Cain, Fabricio, Brendan, Nog and has a long reach. I just think he'll want another crack at a title and LHW will be unlikely. These are big assumptions, but...
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:
I don't think jones moves to HWIt's an intriguing and tough fight to call
What do you think if DC beats Bones twice? Does he fight the top ten at LHW? Super fights? He's not much smaller than Cain, Fabricio, Brendan, Nog and has a long reach. I just think he'll want another crack at a title and LHW will be unlikely. These are big assumptions, but...
The most anticipated, the most hyped, the most interesting fight ever. 9 men in UFC, Pride, WEC or Strikeforce history have ever won 10 in a row. This is the first fight that matches 2 of them.
I lean Cormier. I don't think Jon will be able to handle DC's strength, his clinch, his power. It's not often that Bones KOs or even stumbles his opponents. I think DC pushes his forehead into Jon's chest and trips, lifts, and drops Jones over and over again. Cormier wins by decision and the fight is replayed sometime early next summer, IMO. I think Jon loses that fight as well and moves to HW, but that's pretty long-term speculation.
Anyway, what do you guys think?
The knee injury that cormier has worries me. I think he should have gotten it repaired instead of being afraid his spot would be taken once he came back.
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
39-28 +18.5
The most anticipated, the most hyped, the most interesting fight ever. 9 men in UFC, Pride, WEC or Strikeforce history have ever won 10 in a row. This is the first fight that matches 2 of them.
I lean Cormier. I don't think Jon will be able to handle DC's strength, his clinch, his power. It's not often that Bones KOs or even stumbles his opponents. I think DC pushes his forehead into Jon's chest and trips, lifts, and drops Jones over and over again. Cormier wins by decision and the fight is replayed sometime early next summer, IMO. I think Jon loses that fight as well and moves to HW, but that's pretty long-term speculation.
Anyway, what do you guys think?
The knee injury that cormier has worries me. I think he should have gotten it repaired instead of being afraid his spot would be taken once he came back.
I'd be surprised if Jones is wrestled to death.https://imgur.com/a/9N4PVGreat gifs of Jones arsenal of takedowns.
He also got taken down several times by Gus.
But more importantly, Cormier is in the top 5 of mma wrestlers on the planet. If Jon attempts judo throws, which naturally put you out of position, that would be great for Cormier.
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
I'd be surprised if Jones is wrestled to death.https://imgur.com/a/9N4PVGreat gifs of Jones arsenal of takedowns.
He also got taken down several times by Gus.
But more importantly, Cormier is in the top 5 of mma wrestlers on the planet. If Jon attempts judo throws, which naturally put you out of position, that would be great for Cormier.
39-28 +18.5The most anticipated, the most hyped, the most interesting fight ever. 9 men in UFC, Pride, WEC or Strikeforce history have ever won 10 in a row. This is the first fight that matches 2 of them. I lean Cormier. I don't think Jon will be able to handle DC's strength, his clinch, his power. It's not often that Bones KOs or even stumbles his opponents. I think DC pushes his forehead into Jon's chest and trips, lifts, and drops Jones over and over again. Cormier wins by decision and the fight is replayed sometime early next summer, IMO. I think Jon loses that fight as well and moves to HW, but that's pretty long-term speculation. Anyway, what do you guys think?
The knee injury that cormier has worries me. I think he should have gotten it repaired instead of being afraid his spot would be taken once he came back.
I assume this is mma wizard from tapology. I have been checking your pics there for a long time. Nice to see you in this forum
Quote Originally Posted by MMAwizard:
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
39-28 +18.5The most anticipated, the most hyped, the most interesting fight ever. 9 men in UFC, Pride, WEC or Strikeforce history have ever won 10 in a row. This is the first fight that matches 2 of them. I lean Cormier. I don't think Jon will be able to handle DC's strength, his clinch, his power. It's not often that Bones KOs or even stumbles his opponents. I think DC pushes his forehead into Jon's chest and trips, lifts, and drops Jones over and over again. Cormier wins by decision and the fight is replayed sometime early next summer, IMO. I think Jon loses that fight as well and moves to HW, but that's pretty long-term speculation. Anyway, what do you guys think?
The knee injury that cormier has worries me. I think he should have gotten it repaired instead of being afraid his spot would be taken once he came back.
I assume this is mma wizard from tapology. I have been checking your pics there for a long time. Nice to see you in this forum
MMAWiz is a great contributor. He's always got a nugget or two for me to ponder.
That being said, I'm less worried about DC's injury and more worried about Cain's. Not having the best training partner in the world to help you prepare for the biggest fight in your life can't help. Good thing Rockhold has been healthy and not getting ready for a fight. Luke is pretty comparable to Bones as well, as far as stand-up styles are concerned.
MMAWiz is a great contributor. He's always got a nugget or two for me to ponder.
That being said, I'm less worried about DC's injury and more worried about Cain's. Not having the best training partner in the world to help you prepare for the biggest fight in your life can't help. Good thing Rockhold has been healthy and not getting ready for a fight. Luke is pretty comparable to Bones as well, as far as stand-up styles are concerned.
Cerrone -200 over Jury I like Jury, but this is way too much way too soon, IMO. The jump from Diego and Gomi to a guy like Cowboy is huge. I think Cowboy weathers the early storm and dominates the final 2 rounds, possibly catching Myles. The fan in me hopes Jury comes out looking great and Cowboy battles back for a FOTN type performance.
Paul Felder +200 over Danny Castillo Paul will have the decided technical striking edge and is great at escaping off his back. I think Danny tries to find that one shot all night and Paul picks him apart. Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
Dunham/Damm goes to decision -170 Both guys prefer sub finishes and are both great sub defenders as well. Neither has a huge striking advantage, although I lean Dunham to win all 3 rounds. Dunham's last 6 opponents: Barboza, Cerrone, RDA, Tibau, TJ Grant, Nik Lentz. Who did he piss off?
Brimage/Garbrandt doesn't go to decision -120 Garbrandt is aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised if he KOs Brimage, but he's not one of those cats that is just gonna get out experienced to a decision loss. He's never been in there with someone as experienced as Brimage, but he didn't fight cans on his way to 5-0 either - all of his past opponents are at least .500 - and he's 5-0 with 5 KO/TKOs. The kid has a chance to be a future star. I'd pick him straight up, but I like this prop a tad better.
Lombard ITD -135 over Burkman I like Josh and he's done pretty well lately, but this is too much for him right now. Lombard is truly a top 5 WW talent and I would favor him over all of them except Rory (thats his worst style match-up), including Johny, Robbie, T-Wood, Condit and Brown.
I may have a few more - we'll see. Good luck
Okay, more leans:
Cerrone -200 over Jury I like Jury, but this is way too much way too soon, IMO. The jump from Diego and Gomi to a guy like Cowboy is huge. I think Cowboy weathers the early storm and dominates the final 2 rounds, possibly catching Myles. The fan in me hopes Jury comes out looking great and Cowboy battles back for a FOTN type performance.
Paul Felder +200 over Danny Castillo Paul will have the decided technical striking edge and is great at escaping off his back. I think Danny tries to find that one shot all night and Paul picks him apart. Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
Dunham/Damm goes to decision -170 Both guys prefer sub finishes and are both great sub defenders as well. Neither has a huge striking advantage, although I lean Dunham to win all 3 rounds. Dunham's last 6 opponents: Barboza, Cerrone, RDA, Tibau, TJ Grant, Nik Lentz. Who did he piss off?
Brimage/Garbrandt doesn't go to decision -120 Garbrandt is aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised if he KOs Brimage, but he's not one of those cats that is just gonna get out experienced to a decision loss. He's never been in there with someone as experienced as Brimage, but he didn't fight cans on his way to 5-0 either - all of his past opponents are at least .500 - and he's 5-0 with 5 KO/TKOs. The kid has a chance to be a future star. I'd pick him straight up, but I like this prop a tad better.
Lombard ITD -135 over Burkman I like Josh and he's done pretty well lately, but this is too much for him right now. Lombard is truly a top 5 WW talent and I would favor him over all of them except Rory (thats his worst style match-up), including Johny, Robbie, T-Wood, Condit and Brown.
But more importantly, Cormier is in the top 5 of mma wrestlers on the planet. If Jon attempts judo throws, which naturally put you out of position, that would be great for Cormier.
That's too simple of a way to look at it. That's like saying since Kevin Burns submitted a black belt in Roan Carneiro back in the day, he would submit any other fighter he fought that was not as good at BJJ as Roan. Which was basically everyone else he fought.
It's much easier to prepare for takedowns from a wrestler, as opposed to takedowns from Gustaffson. There is an element of surprise with one, and not for the other.
I think you're sadly mistaken if you believe Cormier will simply lay on top of Jones for 3 of 5 rounds.
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
He also got taken down several times by Gus.
But more importantly, Cormier is in the top 5 of mma wrestlers on the planet. If Jon attempts judo throws, which naturally put you out of position, that would be great for Cormier.
That's too simple of a way to look at it. That's like saying since Kevin Burns submitted a black belt in Roan Carneiro back in the day, he would submit any other fighter he fought that was not as good at BJJ as Roan. Which was basically everyone else he fought.
It's much easier to prepare for takedowns from a wrestler, as opposed to takedowns from Gustaffson. There is an element of surprise with one, and not for the other.
I think you're sadly mistaken if you believe Cormier will simply lay on top of Jones for 3 of 5 rounds.
That's too simple of a way to look at it. That's like saying since Kevin Burns submitted a black belt in Roan Carneiro back in the day, he would submit any other fighter he fought that was not as good at BJJ as Roan. Which was basically everyone else he fought.
It's much easier to prepare for takedowns from a wrestler, as opposed to takedowns from Gustaffson. There is an element of surprise with one, and not for the other.
I think you're sadly mistaken if you believe Cormier will simply lay on top of Jones for 3 of 5 rounds.
With that said, I am not betting this fight. I think a case can be made for both fighters to get their hand raised. But Cormier laying on Jones for 3 of 5 rounds is not a possibility I see happening.
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
That's too simple of a way to look at it. That's like saying since Kevin Burns submitted a black belt in Roan Carneiro back in the day, he would submit any other fighter he fought that was not as good at BJJ as Roan. Which was basically everyone else he fought.
It's much easier to prepare for takedowns from a wrestler, as opposed to takedowns from Gustaffson. There is an element of surprise with one, and not for the other.
I think you're sadly mistaken if you believe Cormier will simply lay on top of Jones for 3 of 5 rounds.
With that said, I am not betting this fight. I think a case can be made for both fighters to get their hand raised. But Cormier laying on Jones for 3 of 5 rounds is not a possibility I see happening.
I don't think DC will lay on him for 3 of 5 rounds either. And I also agree that Gus's takedowns being unexpected helped. But I do think DC will score takedowns which will win rounds and he will control the clinch on the edge of the cage which will win rounds.
I also think he will test Jon's chin. After all, he KO'd Bigfoot, which is something Mark Hunt couldn't do in 25 minutes of his best shots (btw, mark hunt vs Bigfoot is a great fight if anyone hasn't seen it). I know that's very anecdotal which is what I did above with Gus's takedowns lol.
There's just many more ways to win for DC. Usually when Jon fights, he has an incredible striking, strength, clinch and wrestling advantage. In this fight, he's a better striker at range and that's about it, IMO.
Also, if anyone has 20 minutes and isn't tired of videos surrounding this fight, this is a good one:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CsT_cJCJi-0
I don't think DC will lay on him for 3 of 5 rounds either. And I also agree that Gus's takedowns being unexpected helped. But I do think DC will score takedowns which will win rounds and he will control the clinch on the edge of the cage which will win rounds.
I also think he will test Jon's chin. After all, he KO'd Bigfoot, which is something Mark Hunt couldn't do in 25 minutes of his best shots (btw, mark hunt vs Bigfoot is a great fight if anyone hasn't seen it). I know that's very anecdotal which is what I did above with Gus's takedowns lol.
There's just many more ways to win for DC. Usually when Jon fights, he has an incredible striking, strength, clinch and wrestling advantage. In this fight, he's a better striker at range and that's about it, IMO.
Also, if anyone has 20 minutes and isn't tired of videos surrounding this fight, this is a good one:
That's too simple of a way to look at it. That's like saying since Kevin Burns submitted a black belt in Roan Carneiro back in the day, he would submit any other fighter he fought that was not as good at BJJ as Roan. Which was basically everyone else he fought.
It's much easier to prepare for takedowns from a wrestler, as opposed to takedowns from Gustaffson. There is an element of surprise with one, and not for the other.
I think you're sadly mistaken if you believe Cormier will simply lay on top of Jones for 3 of 5 rounds.
If you think its easier to prepare for the takedowns of guf compared to dc, you should to back and check dc fights, He his one of the best in his diversity for takedowns. And fighting dc on the feet his not easy either. its a little bit like fighting cain , he charge with one to three punch and then clinch , then drops down for a takedown , if you defend well he switch to a couple of uppercuts and when you come back to defend those he goes back for a takedown. its a nightmare. if dc would be healty, I would be putting a lot on that fight
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
That's too simple of a way to look at it. That's like saying since Kevin Burns submitted a black belt in Roan Carneiro back in the day, he would submit any other fighter he fought that was not as good at BJJ as Roan. Which was basically everyone else he fought.
It's much easier to prepare for takedowns from a wrestler, as opposed to takedowns from Gustaffson. There is an element of surprise with one, and not for the other.
I think you're sadly mistaken if you believe Cormier will simply lay on top of Jones for 3 of 5 rounds.
If you think its easier to prepare for the takedowns of guf compared to dc, you should to back and check dc fights, He his one of the best in his diversity for takedowns. And fighting dc on the feet his not easy either. its a little bit like fighting cain , he charge with one to three punch and then clinch , then drops down for a takedown , if you defend well he switch to a couple of uppercuts and when you come back to defend those he goes back for a takedown. its a nightmare. if dc would be healty, I would be putting a lot on that fight
If you think its easier to prepare for the takedowns of guf compared to dc, you should to back and check dc fights, He his one of the best in his diversity for takedowns. And fighting dc on the feet his not easy either. its a little bit like fighting cain , he charge with one to three punch and then clinch , then drops down for a takedown , if you defend well he switch to a couple of uppercuts and when you come back to defend those he goes back for a takedown. its a nightmare. if dc would be healty, I would be putting a lot on that fight
It is easier to prepare for takedowns, when you are preparing for a wrestler. That is pretty much common sense, seeing as that is exactly what you are preparing for.
Quote Originally Posted by MMAwizard:
If you think its easier to prepare for the takedowns of guf compared to dc, you should to back and check dc fights, He his one of the best in his diversity for takedowns. And fighting dc on the feet his not easy either. its a little bit like fighting cain , he charge with one to three punch and then clinch , then drops down for a takedown , if you defend well he switch to a couple of uppercuts and when you come back to defend those he goes back for a takedown. its a nightmare. if dc would be healty, I would be putting a lot on that fight
It is easier to prepare for takedowns, when you are preparing for a wrestler. That is pretty much common sense, seeing as that is exactly what you are preparing for.
It is easier to prepare for takedowns, when you are preparing for a wrestler. That is pretty much common sense, seeing as that is exactly what you are preparing for.
dc has never been dominated by anyone on the feet , in fact its the opposite , so to put him in a pure wrestler category his a wrong assumption . And what dc does best ( like cain ) his the grind , they win every minutes of every round in the clinch because they are the best at it.
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
It is easier to prepare for takedowns, when you are preparing for a wrestler. That is pretty much common sense, seeing as that is exactly what you are preparing for.
dc has never been dominated by anyone on the feet , in fact its the opposite , so to put him in a pure wrestler category his a wrong assumption . And what dc does best ( like cain ) his the grind , they win every minutes of every round in the clinch because they are the best at it.
Cerrone -200 over Jury I like Jury, but this is way too much way too soon, IMO. The jump from Diego and Gomi to a guy like Cowboy is huge. I think Cowboy weathers the early storm and dominates the final 2 rounds, possibly catching Myles. The fan in me hopes Jury comes out looking great and Cowboy battles back for a FOTN type performance.
Paul Felder +200 over Danny Castillo Paul will have the decided technical striking edge and is great at escaping off his back. I think Danny tries to find that one shot all night and Paul picks him apart. Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
Dunham/Damm goes to decision -170 Both guys prefer sub finishes and are both great sub defenders as well. Neither has a huge striking advantage, although I lean Dunham to win all 3 rounds. Dunham's last 6 opponents: Barboza, Cerrone, RDA, Tibau, TJ Grant, Nik Lentz. Who did he piss off?
Brimage/Garbrandt doesn't go to decision -120 Garbrandt is aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised if he KOs Brimage, but he's not one of those cats that is just gonna get out experienced to a decision loss. He's never been in there with someone as experienced as Brimage, but he didn't fight cans on his way to 5-0 either - all of his past opponents are at least .500 - and he's 5-0 with 5 KO/TKOs. The kid has a chance to be a future star. I'd pick him straight up, but I like this prop a tad better.
Lombard ITD -135 over Burkman I like Josh and he's done pretty well lately, but this is too much for him right now. Lombard is truly a top 5 WW talent and I would favor him over all of them except Rory (thats his worst style match-up), including Johny, Robbie, T-Wood, Condit and Brown.
I may have a few more - we'll see. Good luck
Thanks for breaking down some of the lower-tier fights on the card. I'm not afraid to straight copy some plays, and I might do so here. I am going against you though on Jury. Myles just seems really adaptable and smart and +170 looks okay to me. I know Cowboy's a wrecking ball and is very dangerous but I just think Jury might have him where Cowboy is weakest - the mental game. That being said, almost no one not named Pettis can beat up Cowboy in a kickboxing match, so Myles better not play around there for long. I think Myles has a decent chance of taking it to the ground and winning the fight there by decision or whatever. Not really sure how great his wrestling truly is, but remember how dominant he was over Michael Johnson on the ground.
Bones-Cormier: I remember you saying you were going with Cormier and I am too. It is probably somewhat because I WANT him to win, which is always very dangerous when you are betting. Cormier will have to move forward and be on him from bell to bell. It really bothers me when one fighter obviously has to close the distance to win and doesn't (Dolloway the other day). I think Cormier is smart enough to know his best chance and will employ it. It will be interesting to see if it works and he can win the fight.
So it's two underdogs and maybe a few tails off your other plays for me.
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
Okay, more leans:
Cerrone -200 over Jury I like Jury, but this is way too much way too soon, IMO. The jump from Diego and Gomi to a guy like Cowboy is huge. I think Cowboy weathers the early storm and dominates the final 2 rounds, possibly catching Myles. The fan in me hopes Jury comes out looking great and Cowboy battles back for a FOTN type performance.
Paul Felder +200 over Danny Castillo Paul will have the decided technical striking edge and is great at escaping off his back. I think Danny tries to find that one shot all night and Paul picks him apart. Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
Dunham/Damm goes to decision -170 Both guys prefer sub finishes and are both great sub defenders as well. Neither has a huge striking advantage, although I lean Dunham to win all 3 rounds. Dunham's last 6 opponents: Barboza, Cerrone, RDA, Tibau, TJ Grant, Nik Lentz. Who did he piss off?
Brimage/Garbrandt doesn't go to decision -120 Garbrandt is aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised if he KOs Brimage, but he's not one of those cats that is just gonna get out experienced to a decision loss. He's never been in there with someone as experienced as Brimage, but he didn't fight cans on his way to 5-0 either - all of his past opponents are at least .500 - and he's 5-0 with 5 KO/TKOs. The kid has a chance to be a future star. I'd pick him straight up, but I like this prop a tad better.
Lombard ITD -135 over Burkman I like Josh and he's done pretty well lately, but this is too much for him right now. Lombard is truly a top 5 WW talent and I would favor him over all of them except Rory (thats his worst style match-up), including Johny, Robbie, T-Wood, Condit and Brown.
I may have a few more - we'll see. Good luck
Thanks for breaking down some of the lower-tier fights on the card. I'm not afraid to straight copy some plays, and I might do so here. I am going against you though on Jury. Myles just seems really adaptable and smart and +170 looks okay to me. I know Cowboy's a wrecking ball and is very dangerous but I just think Jury might have him where Cowboy is weakest - the mental game. That being said, almost no one not named Pettis can beat up Cowboy in a kickboxing match, so Myles better not play around there for long. I think Myles has a decent chance of taking it to the ground and winning the fight there by decision or whatever. Not really sure how great his wrestling truly is, but remember how dominant he was over Michael Johnson on the ground.
Bones-Cormier: I remember you saying you were going with Cormier and I am too. It is probably somewhat because I WANT him to win, which is always very dangerous when you are betting. Cormier will have to move forward and be on him from bell to bell. It really bothers me when one fighter obviously has to close the distance to win and doesn't (Dolloway the other day). I think Cormier is smart enough to know his best chance and will employ it. It will be interesting to see if it works and he can win the fight.
So it's two underdogs and maybe a few tails off your other plays for me.
You're right, Myles was really impressive in that Michael Johnson fight. Mainly, he was smart in making it a grappling match. I just think this is a bit too much. I wish we could see him with Jorge Masvidal or Josh Thompson or Bobby Green first - somewhere in between the Diego Sanchez/Takanori Gomi level and the very top, other than Johnson. IMO, Cowboy has better striking, Jiu jitsu and TDD than anyone Myles has ever faced. If Cerrone can stuff him early, I don't see Myles winning a kickboxing battle. Anyway, good luck and enjoy the fights!
Like I always say Joe - "I've been wrong before".
You're right, Myles was really impressive in that Michael Johnson fight. Mainly, he was smart in making it a grappling match. I just think this is a bit too much. I wish we could see him with Jorge Masvidal or Josh Thompson or Bobby Green first - somewhere in between the Diego Sanchez/Takanori Gomi level and the very top, other than Johnson. IMO, Cowboy has better striking, Jiu jitsu and TDD than anyone Myles has ever faced. If Cerrone can stuff him early, I don't see Myles winning a kickboxing battle. Anyway, good luck and enjoy the fights!
Cerrone -200 over Jury I like Jury, but this is way too much way too soon, IMO. The jump from Diego and Gomi to a guy like Cowboy is huge. I think Cowboy weathers the early storm and dominates the final 2 rounds, possibly catching Myles. The fan in me hopes Jury comes out looking great and Cowboy battles back for a FOTN type performance.
Paul Felder +200 over Danny Castillo Paul will have the decided technical striking edge and is great at escaping off his back. I think Danny tries to find that one shot all night and Paul picks him apart. Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
Dunham/Damm goes to decision -170 Both guys prefer sub finishes and are both great sub defenders as well. Neither has a huge striking advantage, although I lean Dunham to win all 3 rounds. Dunham's last 6 opponents: Barboza, Cerrone, RDA, Tibau, TJ Grant, Nik Lentz. Who did he piss off?
Brimage/Garbrandt doesn't go to decision -120 Garbrandt is aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised if he KOs Brimage, but he's not one of those cats that is just gonna get out experienced to a decision loss. He's never been in there with someone as experienced as Brimage, but he didn't fight cans on his way to 5-0 either - all of his past opponents are at least .500 - and he's 5-0 with 5 KO/TKOs. The kid has a chance to be a future star. I'd pick him straight up, but I like this prop a tad better.
Lombard ITD -135 over Burkman I like Josh and he's done pretty well lately, but this is too much for him right now. Lombard is truly a top 5 WW talent and I would favor him over all of them except Rory (thats his worst style match-up), including Johny, Robbie, T-Wood, Condit and Brown.
I may have a few more - we'll see. Good luck
Did you lock your plays in yet O or waiting till Saturday??????
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
Okay, more leans:
Cerrone -200 over Jury I like Jury, but this is way too much way too soon, IMO. The jump from Diego and Gomi to a guy like Cowboy is huge. I think Cowboy weathers the early storm and dominates the final 2 rounds, possibly catching Myles. The fan in me hopes Jury comes out looking great and Cowboy battles back for a FOTN type performance.
Paul Felder +200 over Danny Castillo Paul will have the decided technical striking edge and is great at escaping off his back. I think Danny tries to find that one shot all night and Paul picks him apart. Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
Dunham/Damm goes to decision -170 Both guys prefer sub finishes and are both great sub defenders as well. Neither has a huge striking advantage, although I lean Dunham to win all 3 rounds. Dunham's last 6 opponents: Barboza, Cerrone, RDA, Tibau, TJ Grant, Nik Lentz. Who did he piss off?
Brimage/Garbrandt doesn't go to decision -120 Garbrandt is aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised if he KOs Brimage, but he's not one of those cats that is just gonna get out experienced to a decision loss. He's never been in there with someone as experienced as Brimage, but he didn't fight cans on his way to 5-0 either - all of his past opponents are at least .500 - and he's 5-0 with 5 KO/TKOs. The kid has a chance to be a future star. I'd pick him straight up, but I like this prop a tad better.
Lombard ITD -135 over Burkman I like Josh and he's done pretty well lately, but this is too much for him right now. Lombard is truly a top 5 WW talent and I would favor him over all of them except Rory (thats his worst style match-up), including Johny, Robbie, T-Wood, Condit and Brown.
I may have a few more - we'll see. Good luck
Did you lock your plays in yet O or waiting till Saturday??????
Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
lol wut ?!!!??? did you just compare "let me bang" to castilo ?
Haha...I was hoping someone would catch that.
Castillo is much better, but I think the result and game plan will be similar. Castillo seems to wing his punches with his head down or chin up similar to Lane. He's a better wrestler than Paul, similar to Lane. And he swings from the hip with bad intentions, similar to Lane.
The UFC Lightweight division is a tough division for a guy like Paul because there are a lot of bad match-ups for him the further he moves up, but Castillo's style will be his best chance.
Let's also remember that Castillo is not some world beater. 5 of his last 6 wins are against guys no longer in the ufc.
Quote Originally Posted by whipton:
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
Paul has a similar win over Julian "Let me bang bro" Lane.
lol wut ?!!!??? did you just compare "let me bang" to castilo ?
Haha...I was hoping someone would catch that.
Castillo is much better, but I think the result and game plan will be similar. Castillo seems to wing his punches with his head down or chin up similar to Lane. He's a better wrestler than Paul, similar to Lane. And he swings from the hip with bad intentions, similar to Lane.
The UFC Lightweight division is a tough division for a guy like Paul because there are a lot of bad match-ups for him the further he moves up, but Castillo's style will be his best chance.
Let's also remember that Castillo is not some world beater. 5 of his last 6 wins are against guys no longer in the ufc.
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