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Picks that Covers removed.

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Posted: #1
Recently gotten banned for whatever reason. Here are my picks that was removed.

Parlay - Ronda, TJ, Travis 

Less risky parlay - Pettis + Trinaldo +200. 
Hedge bet with Alvarez ko (optional)

Trinaldo should be favourite coming into the match. His win will be an "upset" then he will face off with higher ranked fighter. Pettis is just a better fighter, the line is good odds for alvarez, no one will bet pettis for -300 or whatever it is at. Alverez loses and Vegas takes the cash. 
 
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Posted: #2
Ronda Rousey? She doesn't have a fight lined up. Is it a futures over Holm?
 
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Posted: #3
Yes thats the one. Everyone is betting Holm especially at those odds. Judges want the fight to go the distance and a controversial call will be made for Ronda to win. Same went for Aldo vs Mc gregor. The line for mcgregor was -120 or so to aldos +130 to +150. I said it before, Aldo had no chance but everyone was undecided, I was too, auto pick for +130 Aldo.

You can argue that the pre fight insults changed the line and it did. Aldo for -120 everyone would go for mcgregor +110. So the people who are setting the lines did adjustments to even out the betting, probably had more bets on Aldo than mcgregor. Aldo's 10 year champ persona was the deciding factor for many bettors. They knew Mcgregor was going to win 10 out of 10 fights.

The people in charge of the line know something.. dont underestimate them. Why is Holm the underdog after a beating like that? Something is up. There are probably 50 people smarter than me analyzing the fights and manipulating the odds based on EVERYTHING to make sure vegas makes it money. No one is betting Ronda, best to fade the public and place your Ronda bets. 

Safer bet is trinaldo and pettis (or Ronda + Trinaldo or Pettis + Ronda) I give it 80 percent odds. Alverez lost to Cerrone so to see him fight RDA is a bad fight. To see Pettis lose to khabib, that is a big fight to watch. Pettis to win against Alvarez, lose to khabib then khabib will beat RDA (not certain on this yet but I think khabib is the favourite regardless of the betting line). If he KO's RDA then he's the champ if not it goes to the cards and even the fighters know dont let it go to the cards, judges dont care who wins, we all seen rigged fights, some are matched up for a certain fighter to win so no rigged call needed. 

Everyone will wonder if Nate can beat Khabib, the answer is NO. Nate made me money on the MJ fight and he looked the best we seen him. Khabib is on another level even after his injury. My bet is against Nate 100 percent. Hyped up Nate to get beat by Khabib, but everyone will question Khabib's health and ring rust. 

If im correct on Ronda and TJ, I give the odds 75 percent. TJ and Cruz is a big question mark. Do they want Cruz or TJ as champ. Cruz had his reign but TJ still has value as champ. For TJ to defeat Cruz would hype up the division even more. 

 I need to get better with my planning. I bet on the fights too early. Too many variables ie. fighters getting injured and so on. Still have a lot to learn. 


 
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Posted: #4
Also if you are into the betting more than the thrill, turn off the sound so you dont have to listen to Joe and Goldberg's commentary. I love Joe but the over reactions to landed shots and his opinion will change your view of fighters. Get the uncensored view of the fighter.

Alternatively listen to the fight with unbiased ears. 
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Redwing51:

Also if you are into the betting more than the thrill, turn off the sound so you dont have to listen to Joe and Goldberg's commentary. I love Joe but the over reactions to landed shots and his opinion will change your view of fighters. Get the uncensored view of the fighter.

Alternatively listen to the fight with unbiased ears. 

I agree. Listening to Rogan is brutal. Sometimes I think he must be getting paid/influenced by UFC to call a fight in someone's favour because regularly I see things in a totally different way than he calls it
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:


I agree. Listening to Rogan is brutal. Sometimes I think he must be getting paid/influenced by UFC to call a fight in someone's favour because regularly I see things in a totally different way than he calls it

Could be. He's more likely just passionate and enjoying the moment. 

He calls things very, very accurately. He over exaggerates certain things in peoples game or under exaggerates. He's commentating so im not expecting to hear anything thats good for sports betting. If you pick certain things up from what he says then that is best. 

 
 
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Posted: #7


Ronda, Browne, TJ, Trinaldo, Pettis : 15 for 185 profit

Same parlay minus Ronda: 15 for 115

Parlay 5, 10, 15 dollars of those 5 fighters in different order.

75 dollar parlay of 2 strongest pick browne + Trinaldo.
 
 
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Posted: #8
Parlay Bisping + Conor 10 dollars

Future parlay Holm over tate + Conor +Bisping (optional)
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