One Eighty Eight

1 play:

Boy the UFC loves this Gastelum kid!!!!!!!!!!! I'll wait to see Cejudo make weight before I post a play. Do you think Cain will wanna fool around in Werdum's guard or just keep him standing and grind him out???????

Most of this fight will be fought with Werdums back wedged up against the cage.

Grind him like he did to Dos Santos for ten rounds!!! Cain and Cormier have the same gameplan, takes a tough guy to beat them at it!!!

Werdum will be dangerous for one round in that altitude.  Cain knows it.  Keep it standing in the first or make it a grapple fest against the cage for a round.  Once Cain works up a heavy sweat it will be harder to submit him, even if he goes into Werdum's guard.  I dont know if Cain knows how to not go full speed tho, so I can see him just grinding Werdum into the cage immediately.

I see the fight going differently but I wish you the best Rzagza!!!

I see you losing money but I wish you the best as well, sir.

thank you, my bet will be much smaller, lol.

I have $6880 coming back if Cain wins (to close out 4 open parlays)....I am so confident I'm probably not going to bother hedging on Werdum at +400.  Ordinarily I would do so and usually do in such a case but I'm going to wait to see if I can get closer to +500 on Werdum and then pull the trigger.  I see this line going up, not down.

I guess I'm playing both sides but I took the "does not go distance" at -195.  I really think Cain wll grind him out in the altitude and get the finish in round 2 or 3, but I guess this leaves open the possibility of a lucky strike or sub by Werdum.  Cain ITD is only -150 so that seems worth the extra 45 cents.

I played that same does not go the distance prop at that same price to win 1u. Also played Cain by TKO at -110 to win .5u as well as risking .5u on a small parlay of Melendez/Alvarez Over 2½ + Velasquez/Werdum Under 2½ at +213 in case Cain (or Fabricio) can get it done before the middle of the third round.

Gastelum and Cejudo are basically locks. I'm not sold on Cain beating Werdum though, but I'm one of those biased jiu jitsu guys. I might have filled out that parlay with something else, maybe Drew Dober. 

If you can't trust Cain, you can't trust anyone. With the exception of one 1-punch blip, he's the most dominant fighter in the company next to Jones. His fights aren't even competitive.

Cain is a monster and obviously should win this fight but if there was a time for a huge upset for Verdum over Cain this would be Verdums best shot at it. Super long layoff for Cain here.

rzagza, im still a bit bummed over Djoker losing for us.  I had him to win before the tourney started too at -130.

So Rzagza you hedging or what?????

Well you were right on Dober.

You got destroyed and lost alot on money.

Werdum was a at great value for many many reasons to beat cain tonight.



You cant jump in a octagon 2 yrs removed and expect the same fighter.

The cardio machine was absolutely gassed after a round. Geez I wonder why. Way to take the fight seriously, Cain. Should've listen to your coach and gotten down to Mexico City much sooner to acclimate. After all your ENTIRE GAME is centered around your cardio. So so so stubborn.

On to the next. Eventually we will see a rematch on level ground. I would back Cain again in that scenario. This had nothing to do with layoff. It had everything to do with lack of elevation training.

FWIW it's worth I think JDS beats Werdum again....if they fight. Tho I assume AA gets the next shot.

Can you imagine if it's AA? Who would have thought 5-7 or so years ago that Werdum and Arlovski would be fighting for the UFC title in 2015?