Matt Dwyer +365 risking $25

matt dwyer opened at +170 and now at +341 according to fight odds.  i'm on the 5dimes reduced juice at +345 at this point but if matt dwyer doesn't win, there's marion reneau to beat jessica andrade that i am looking at because reneau opened at +150 and is currently at +241

in other words is a parlay of marcario and andrade going to win?  very low probability a parlay of these 2 fighers will win, *ESPECIALLY* since ivan jorge won if you get my grip.

got 3 other underdogs with a shot to win with my opinion but lets first see what happens with these 2 fights, if matt dwyer loses?  going to put at LEASTA $25 on reneau unless there's some crazy line movement so we'll see 

i've seen your posts in the past my friend and let me tell you that you are not the intelligent, just wanted to let you know, thank you

keep talking the shiit that you do all day, all night while watching the joe rogan podcast all day!

Keep betting like that buddy and see how far it takes you

are you trying to tell me that i am going to lose 60% of the time the rest of the way and that people shouldn't pay attention to me?  you are EXACTLY right, in fact i tabulate i am only going to win 35% the rest of the year and still win money because i don't bet like you do laying -370 to put myself in position to get set back a mile a way if i lose, all it takes is 1 single time and you are done for many many fight cards to come

Secondly, I dont bet big dogs, just like i dont bet big favorites.  

Im glad you got everything tabulated 

i will tell you this much though.  out of 100% of the bets that i do place, zero percent, that's right 0% are those of the -370 variety that you just lost on, thank you for your support

and word of advice for the future

just like flipping a coin:

remember that one fight has no bearing on what happens in the next.

Your statement about no way andrade loses this match because dwyer already won just proves my point

i've been betting a long time and i am experienced enough to know that all these underdogs winning like this is a very rare occurrence.  It has happened a few times but this is just crazy.  these underdogs winning so far on this card makes me not want to bet the rest of the night.  being how crazy the yuri alcantara line has moved, i have decided i am not going to bet that fight.  i am down to martins or alvey can win between the 2.  it looks like martins will fight before alvey happens so i've got my $25 ready for that one for now but gotta continue to watch the odds between these 2 fighters.  it could be that people are noticing really hard that underdogs have been winning so they will start to bet the underdogs the last minute.  

what do you think would have happened if all the favorites won on the undercard?  just would mean i would raise my bets to at least $50 as an example on the main card because i know how to bet unlike the -370 that you like winning on.

I like Alvey bet better. Martins has been easily ko'd in the past and Cerrone is always been a volume guy first and ko guy second. 

Personally i like Strickland to lose and be the fifth favorite to lose. 

You were the only thread that said you were betting dwyer at +365, I merely said that it wasnt a good bet even if he wins.  

ok, i will not bet on the martins fight because i see that his odds have gone from +435 to +400.  still a chance the odds go back up but i am not going to do this fight.  i'll wait to make sure that martins loses.  if martins does indeed loses i will put $25 on alvey.  if martins wins, i am not going to bet the rest of the night.