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Bellator 139 & UFC UFN 70 Plays

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Posts: 58

Qncyk1

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2011

Posts: 1239

Posted: Jun. 27, 2015 - 8:07 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by whitebelt:

So then are you taking over or under? Cause Larkin has been around the UFC and has mostly decisions. I guess if you can't see Ponzi getting a finish here then it's an over bet?

thats not what i said.

im agreeing with both mr219 and sharpstick that ponzis finish rate is pretty much irrelevant because most, if not all of of them, came against guys that are not the caliber fighter that lorenz larken is or any ufc fighter for that matter

MR219

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 6706

Posted: Jun. 28, 2015 - 2:06 AM ET #52

Looks like a 4-2, +5.4 unit night. I will recap tomorrow.

Also wanted to let everyone know that I just hammered McGregor vs Aldo at -134 risking 10.05 units to win 7.5 units. I was going to wait until I arrived in Vegas to lock in but I think the line will continue to rise and dont want to risk getting a far worser line.

There is a strong possibility that the fight still gets cancelled. I'm not sure how Aldo is going to make weight if he is not supposed to be working out.

MoneyShot

MVP

Joined: May, 2003

Posts: 18451

Posted: Jun. 28, 2015 - 10:17 AM ET #53

Yeah I hope they cancel Aldo vs Connor and make mendes vs Connor instead for 189. I have Aldo in some parlays and just don't like my chances as much anymore.

Ferrari29

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2014

Posts: 3106

Posted: Jun. 28, 2015 - 2:26 PM ET #54

Very nice night Mister!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MR219

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 6706

Posted: Jun. 29, 2015 - 8:22 PM ET #55

4-2 for +5.4 units. Here is the recap:

1. Tony Sims

2. Leandro Silva

3. Parlay of Lyoto Machida

& Alex Oliveira

4. Parlay of Dias / Makashvilli over 2.5 rounds

with Martinez / Kakai over 2.5 rounds

5. Santiago Ponzinibbio

6. Parlay of Harcan Dias

, Thiago Santos

& Antonio Carlos Jr

MR219

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 6706

Posted: Jun. 29, 2015 - 8:26 PM ET #56

YTD Record:

Overall: 103-111-4, -6.00 Units

UFC: 89-98-4, -11.05 Units

Bellator: 12-10, +5.90 Units

WSOF: 2-3, -0.85 Units

Titan FC: 0-0, +0.00 Units

Final 2014 Record: 254-261-11, -0.05 units

Final 2013 Record: 218-229-5, +67.50 units

Final 2012 Record: 158-174-2, -76.20 Units

Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units

Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units

Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units

MR219

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 6706

Posted: Jun. 29, 2015 - 8:27 PM ET #57

Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

Yeah I hope they cancel Aldo vs Connor and make mendes vs Connor instead for 189. I have Aldo in some parlays and just don't like my chances as much anymore.

I guess you can try to hedge...