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BELLATOR 127, UFC UFN 53 & 54 Plays

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Posted: #1
YTD Record:
Overall: 201-193-9, +43.80 Units 
UFC: 156-162-9, +8.75 Units 
Bellator: 31-21, +26.80 Units 
WSOF: 10-7,  +5.10 Units 
Titan FC: 4-3, +3.15 Units 
Final 2013 Record: 218-229-5, +67.50 units 
Final 2012 Record: 158-174-2, -76.20 Units 
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 

@MR219MMA
 
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Posted: #2
UFC UFN 53:

1.  Krzysztof Jotko (-110) over Tor Troeng. Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units. 
 
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Posted: #3
Have you ever seen Ernest Chavez fight? And if so what do you think about the matchup with Tukhugov? Im leaning toward the Russian in this one as he looked really calm and composed in his first UFC fight and never strayed from his gameplan. Im just a little worried about the size of Chavez coming into this fight and how affective his clinch game might be. Tukhugov looks well rounded however i havent seen a fight that he was in where a guy just rode him in a wrestling clinch so i dont know how well he will deal with that..what do u think?
 
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Posted: #4
Bellator 127 Plays:

1.  Rafael Silva (-155) over Rob Emerson. Risking 3.1 units to win 2 units. 

2.  Karo Parisyan (-140) over Fernando Gonzalez. Risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit. 

3.  Kendall Grove (+160) over Christian M'Pumbu. Risking 1 unit to win 1.6 units. 
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by 2fade:

Have you ever seen Ernest Chavez fight? And if so what do you think about the matchup with Tukhugov? Im leaning toward the Russian in this one as he looked really calm and composed in his first UFC fight and never strayed from his gameplan. Im just a little worried about the size of Chavez coming into this fight and how affective his clinch game might be. Tukhugov looks well rounded however i havent seen a fight that he was in where a guy just rode him in a wrestling clinch so i dont know how well he will deal with that..what do u think?

I will respond to your questions in an hour or so when I get home from work...
 
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Posted: #6
does justin wilcox have a chance?
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by 2fade:

Have you ever seen Ernest Chavez fight? And if so what do you think about the matchup with Tukhugov? Im leaning toward the Russian in this one as he looked really calm and composed in his first UFC fight and never strayed from his gameplan. Im just a little worried about the size of Chavez coming into this fight and how affective his clinch game might be. Tukhugov looks well rounded however i havent seen a fight that he was in where a guy just rode him in a wrestling clinch so i dont know how well he will deal with that..what do u think?

I have seen both of them fight. I am not all that high on either of them.  I find that Tukhugov is far too passive and sits back too much which could cost him rounds in the judges eyes especially in around where not a lot is happening. Chavez is always pushing forward and does rely on clinch and wrestling as his go to strategy.  His problem relates to cardio and it cost him his last fight. A drop down in weight should make his cardio issues even worse.  I can see a scenario where Chavez wins the 1st round, gasses, and loses the 2nd & 3rd. If I do bet on this fight, it would probably be a small play on Tukhugov as part of a parlay. There are definitely better fights tomorrow at this price range to be betting on.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by RGFII:

does justin wilcox have a chance?

Yes, I think he does have a shot. The problem Is everything Justin does, Straus does better. I think the odds are a little bit out of whack but I do think Straus will win the fight. The over 2 1/2 rounds is probably the best way to bet this fight.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:


Yes, I think he does have a shot. The problem Is everything Justin does, Straus does better. I think the odds are a little bit out of whack but I do think Straus will win the fight. The over 2 1/2 rounds is probably the best way to bet this fight.

Thanks.
 
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Posted: #10
thanks for taking the time to get back 
The thing I liked about Tuk's composure could definitely be his downfall against someone aggressive like Chavez. I think he wins a decision here too though. I wasnt in love with the fight just curious to here your thoughts. My situation is this. Got a 2t parlay open with green bay ml on thursday and im lookin for something in the -250 -350 range to close it out. How do you feel about Raphael Assuncao?
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by 2fade:

thanks for taking the time to get back The thing I liked about Tuk's composure could definitely be his downfall against someone aggressive like Chavez. I think he wins a decision here too though. I wasnt in love with the fight just curious to here your thoughts. My situation is this. Got a 2t parlay open with green bay ml on thursday and im lookin for something in the -250 -350 range to close it out. How do you feel about Raphael Assuncao?



Assuncao is a way better bet to put in their, almost stealing money now!!!
 
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Posted: #12
The Bellator plays went 2-1 for +2.2 units. I also thought that the Parisyan fight was a bad stoppage. Very little of that ground and pound was getting through and Karo kept moving. He had a right to be angry with that stoppage.

Here is the recap:

1.  Rafael Silva 

2.  Karo Parisyan 

3.  Kendall Grove 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by 2fade:

thanks for taking the time to get back 
The thing I liked about Tuk's composure could definitely be his downfall against someone aggressive like Chavez. I think he wins a decision here too though. I wasnt in love with the fight just curious to here your thoughts. My situation is this. Got a 2t parlay open with green bay ml on thursday and im lookin for something in the -250 -350 range to close it out. How do you feel about Raphael Assuncao?

I agree with Ferrari. Assuncao is probably the "safer" play at that price point. 

 
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Posted: #14
UFC UFN 53 Plays:

1.  Parlay of Gunner Nelson over Rick Story, Max Holloway over Akira Corassani and Ilir Latifi over Jan Blachowicz. Risking 3 units to win 3.05 units. 

2.  Krzysztof Jotko (-110) over Tor Troeng. Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units. 

3.  Cathal Pendred (-150) over Gasan Umalatov. Risking 3 units to win 2 units. 

4.  Parlay of Denis Siver over Charles Rosa and Zubaira Tukhugov over Ernest Chavez. Risking 2.1 units to win 2 units. 

5.  Marcin Bandel (+150) over Maribek Taisumov. Risking 1.5 units to win 2.25 units. 
 
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Posted: #15
Best of luck homie... Keep
Killin' it.
 
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Posted: #16
Tuk just destroyed that dude 
 
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Posted: #17
UPDATED UFC PLAYS:

1.  Parlay of Gunner Nelson over Rick Story, Max Holloway over Akira Corassani and Ilir Latifi over Jan Blachowicz. Risking 3 units to win 3.05 units. 

2.  Krzysztof Jotko (-110) over Tor Troeng. Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units. 

3.  Cathal Pendred (-150) over Gasan Umalatov. Risking 3 units to win 2 units. 

4.  Parlay of Denis Siver over Charles Rosa and Zubaira Tukhugov over Ernest Chavez. Risking 2.1 units to win 2 units. 

5.  Marcin Bandel (+150) over Maribek Taisumov. Risking 1.5 units to win 2.25 units. 

6. Scott Askham (+115) over Magnus Cedebland. Risking 2 units to win 2.3 units. 

7.  Parlay of Nico Musoke over Alexander Yakovlev and Niklas Backstrom over Mike Wilkinson. Risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit. 
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by whipton:

Best of luck homie... Keep
Killin' it.

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by 2fade:

Tuk just destroyed that dude 

That was definitely very impressive!
 
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Posted: #20
Adding:

8. Parlay of Gunner Nelson over Rick Story and Max Holloway over Akira Corassani.  Risking 2.1 units to win 1 unit. 

 
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Posted: #21
UFC HALIFAX PLAYS:

1.  Parlay of Pedro Munhoz over Jerrod Sanders, Albert Tumenov over Matt Dwyer and Olivier Aubin-Mercier over Jake Lindsey. Risking 3.45 units to win 3 units. 

2.  Parlay of Patrick Holohan over Chris Kelades, Jason Saggo over Paul Felder, Mitch Gagnon over Roman Salazar and Nordine Taleb over Li Jingliang. Risking 1 unit to win 1.8 units. 

3.  Parlay of Chad Laprise over Yosdenis Cedeno, Elias Theodorou over Bruno Santos and Rafael Assuncao over Brian Caraway. Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units

4.  Tarec Saffiedine (+325) over Rory MacDonald. Risking 1 unit to win 3.25 units. 

5.  Anthony Njokuani (+120) over Daron Cruickshank. Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units. 

BOL to everyone with your plays!!! 
 
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Posted: #22
I did really well on the Stockholm undercard but got destroyed on the main card. Overall, 3-5 for -4.3 units. Here is the recap:

1.  Parlay of Gunner Nelson , Max Holloway and Ilir Latifi 

2.  Krzysztof Jotko 

3.  Cathal Pendred 

4.  Parlay of Denis Siver and Zubaira Tukhugov 

5.  Marcin Bandel 

6. Scott Askham ,

7.  Parlay of Nico Musoke and Niklas Backstrom ,

8. Parlay of Gunner Nelson  and Max Holloway 

 
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Posted: #23
MR - You're a madman.  Love Saffeidine tonight brotha 
 
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Posted: #24
A small gain on the Halifax card, as the plays went 2-3 for +1.05 units. I must say, that Tarec Saffedine looked awful last night. If I did not know any better, I would think that he deliberately took a dive in that one. I think he threw two kicks the entire first round and was so tentative to strike the entire fight. I don't know what he was so afraid of.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Here is the recap:


1.  Parlay of Pedro Munhoz ,Albert Tumenov and Olivier Aubin-Mercier 

2.  Parlay of Patrick Holohan , Jason Saggo ,Mitch Gagnon ,and Nordine Taleb 

3.  Parlay of Chad Laprise , Elias Theodorou and Rafael Assuncao 

4.  Tarec Saffiedine 

5.  Anthony Njokuani 
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