205

McG/Alvarez - I wonder if i will ever learn my lesson betting vs McG? When he finally had to fight a wrestler in Mendes, he got Mendes "rolling off the couch" to fight and no gas tank. That fight could have gone remarkably different. Now here, McG finally has to fight a wrestler on a full camp. Obviously, the longer this fight goes the more it favours Eddie. In fact, if he makes it out of the first round I really like his chances. I love McG fights. He's exciting no matter how much you may hate him. But I DO want to see him get put down and out.

Woodley/Thompson - great match up. Has there ever been a -200 challenger? Woodley is powerful and explosive. Thompson is dynamic and elusive. Thompson fights at such range and he's so quick I don't think Woodley can get inside. Thompson KO in the 4th

JJ/KK - I think JJ is top of the div and I expect her to show it again.

Weidman/Romero - Yoel is not unlike Woodley. Wrestling base and powerful. Can KO anyone at any time. Woodman will fight smart and win a decision.

Cerrone/Gastelum - Moving up a division has not affected Cerrone at all. He continues to roll. I thought Story might give him more of a run by grinding it out, but Cerrone's stand up is too crisp. He's too well rounded. He's a threat every where. Gastelum will have to hang on for 3 rounds but I don't think he can. Cerrone by dec

Tate/Pennington - Rocky P! Haha, old joke here (Crow). I'm not sure how this will play out, but I like Tate to get back to her winning ways.

Edgar/Stephens - I expected a little more out of Edgar vs Aldo, but it shows how good Aldo is. Stephens is not there. Sure, he can KO anyone but Edgar can take a shot as good as anyone, endurance for miles, and can win this in any fashion, but probably will be a dec

Khabib/MJ - Khabib will take him down at will. Not sure if he will finish MJ but he'll win this fight

Boetsch/Natal - As always Boetsch is undersupplied and should lose but has a puncher's chance which he seems to pull out of the hat all too often 

Miller/Alves - My prediction is Alves won't make weight, so it's tough to go beyond that. This is a guy who struggled to make 170, WTF is he doing at 55? Bad matchup for Miller. He will be terribly undersized. Alves has good TDD so Miller won't be able to take him down. Alves has great standup and should be able to win a dec

I was just reading that Miller had to chug water to gain weight to be within 5 pounds so the fight could be salvaged. So unfair

Alvarez by sub $10 @ +400

Tate (-165) / Weidman (-185) $20 wins $30

If Alvarez doesn't get a takedown in the first 2 minutes, he's in trouble