Non opec nations agreed to a half million per day decrease to drive cost up... Invest in oil
100 per brl in near future.
70-100 per barrel is way too much in today's environment. I commented in another thread earlier in the year (and at the throes of the oil rout), that long-term oil is headed to 50-60 per barrel. This is where oil is today, and there is nothing to suggest a significant break out.
Oil producers here in U.S. are the 'swing' producers, and are happy to hear of OPEC production cuts. U.S. has the resources to fill the gap and keep the supply side relatively stable.
On the other side of the coin, I see very little disrupting the demand side of the equation and it's small growth rate. Much of the Emerging Markets (where lots of the growth has occurred) are dealing with lots of problems are not drivers of growth.
So, what's the summary ; 50-60 per barrel is realistic for the foreseeable future...
70-100 per barrel is way too much in today's environment. I commented in another thread earlier in the year (and at the throes of the oil rout), that long-term oil is headed to 50-60 per barrel. This is where oil is today, and there is nothing to suggest a significant break out.
Oil producers here in U.S. are the 'swing' producers, and are happy to hear of OPEC production cuts. U.S. has the resources to fill the gap and keep the supply side relatively stable.
On the other side of the coin, I see very little disrupting the demand side of the equation and it's small growth rate. Much of the Emerging Markets (where lots of the growth has occurred) are dealing with lots of problems are not drivers of growth.
So, what's the summary ; 50-60 per barrel is realistic for the foreseeable future...
