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    All Forums | Horse Racing

    HAPPY DERBY DAY

    12 Next Last»
    Midnight1
    Crusher13
    Tygermyke
    golfing123
    mr_armchair_qb
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2117
    Posts: 29
    12 Next Last»
     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 11:11 AM ET #1

    Well at least yesterday wasn't disastrous & my stable play @ Oaklawn Two Seven O won paying $15.60.

    The scratch of The Puma must have the connections heartbroken but in the same vain, owners of 3 AE's are ecstatic to get into the race. 

    In the 13 race card yesterday, 3 jockeys won 10 of those races: JOSE ORTIZ WON 5, IRAD WON 3 & TYLER WON 2. Don't be surprised if it happens again today.

    My BEST BET of the day is in Race 9 #12 REMEMBER MAMBA. I also like #6 KNIGHTSBRIDGE in the 10th & I think #10 BANISHING might pickup the pieces. Lastly in Race 11, I like #6 RHETORICAL .  

    LET THE GOOD TIMES ROLL!!

    an_cheers

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Well at least yesterday wasn't disastrous & my stable play @ Oaklawn Two Seven O won paying $15.60.

    The scratch of The Puma must have the connections heartbroken but in the same vain, owners of 3 AE's are ecstatic to get into the race. 

    In the 13 race card yesterday, 3 jockeys won 10 of those races: JOSE ORTIZ WON 5, IRAD WON 3 & TYLER WON 2. Don't be surprised if it happens again today.

    My BEST BET of the day is in Race 9 #12 REMEMBER MAMBA. I also like #6 KNIGHTSBRIDGE in the 10th & I think #10 BANISHING might pickup the pieces. Lastly in Race 11, I like #6 RHETORICAL .  

    LET THE GOOD TIMES ROLL!!

    an_cheers

     
    Crusher13
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 11:35 AM ET #2

    @Midnight1

    Let us all have a Profitable Derby Day an_cheers

    Reply

    @Midnight1

    Let us all have a Profitable Derby Day an_cheers

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 12:21 PM ET #3

    @Crusher13

     Indeed Crusher

    If anyone keeps a stable, I would add Sovereign Law into it after a nice ride by Franco & getting this young colt to be patient until the hole opened up for him to grab 2nd @ 20-1 IN THE 2ND.

    RACE 4 has the 4 & 5 as our chalk in a 5 horse. I can't play that so I'm taking a mare who is 15 for 15 ITM & that is #6 R DISASTER 

     

     

    Reply

    @Crusher13

     Indeed Crusher

    If anyone keeps a stable, I would add Sovereign Law into it after a nice ride by Franco & getting this young colt to be patient until the hole opened up for him to grab 2nd @ 20-1 IN THE 2ND.

    RACE 4 has the 4 & 5 as our chalk in a 5 horse. I can't play that so I'm taking a mare who is 15 for 15 ITM & that is #6 R DISASTER 

     

     

     
    Tygermyke
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 12:42 PM ET #4

    Wire to Wire. Good call,

    Reply

    Wire to Wire. Good call,

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 12:59 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Tygermyke:

    Wire to Wire. Good call,

    Classic come & get me ride by Tyler. With #4 getting 2nd in hurt the place/show prices but I'll take it

    PAID $16.26/$5.00/$3.96

    RACE 5 I think Irad wins this one

    TRI KEY 9 WITH 3-5-7

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Tygermyke:

    Wire to Wire. Good call,

    Classic come & get me ride by Tyler. With #4 getting 2nd in hurt the place/show prices but I'll take it

    PAID $16.26/$5.00/$3.96

    RACE 5 I think Irad wins this one

    TRI KEY 9 WITH 3-5-7

     
    golfing123
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 1:01 PM ET #6

    @Midnight1

     Amazing call!! Congrats

    Reply

    @Midnight1

     Amazing call!! Congrats

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 2:39 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by golfing123:

    @Midnight1  Amazing call!! Congrats

    Thanks

    I've been hesitant to play longshots with 2 heavily played horses like we had in this race. I've seen it plenty of times when someone went like Tyler gate to wire or the favorites burn each other out & a longshot passes them to pick up the check.

    Race 7 

    BOXING 4-7-9

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by golfing123:

    @Midnight1  Amazing call!! Congrats

    Thanks

    I've been hesitant to play longshots with 2 heavily played horses like we had in this race. I've seen it plenty of times when someone went like Tyler gate to wire or the favorites burn each other out & a longshot passes them to pick up the check.

    Race 7 

    BOXING 4-7-9

     

     
    mr_armchair_qb
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 2:55 PM ET #8

    Race 8 is a race to watch for me, should be a battle between the two strong favorites. Anyone like anything else?

    Reply

    Race 8 is a race to watch for me, should be a battle between the two strong favorites. Anyone like anything else?

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 3:12 PM ET #9

    Not close...

    If you were wondering after 7 races who has wins:

    JOHNNY V 2

    PRAT. 2

    TYLER 1

    SAEZ 1

    IRAD 0

    JOSE ORTIZ 0

    It's about to get very interesting.

    RACE 8 #1 Englishman looks like he'll like the added distance. #5 Stope the Car has won at this 1 mile distance over this Churchill surface. #6 Crude Velocity is very dangerous because he could come off the pace & catch the speed. I have a horrible West Coast bias & rarely trust the shippers from Cali. Now watch him win going away. #10 Great White is visually  scary. #11 One More Freud hasn't done anything wrong winning 2 of 2 but hasn't raced since 8/30/25 at Monmouth. Trainer Bobby Hess will be the 3rd new trainer. Tom Amoss & Mike Maker both won with this guy & lost their jobs. You're guess is as good as mine on this guy. 

    I'm on #1 Englishman...they will have to catch him & Jose gets his 1st winner of the day for trainer Cherie DeVaux. 

    TRI KEY 1 WITH 5-6-10-8

     

    Reply

    Not close...

    If you were wondering after 7 races who has wins:

    JOHNNY V 2

    PRAT. 2

    TYLER 1

    SAEZ 1

    IRAD 0

    JOSE ORTIZ 0

    It's about to get very interesting.

    RACE 8 #1 Englishman looks like he'll like the added distance. #5 Stope the Car has won at this 1 mile distance over this Churchill surface. #6 Crude Velocity is very dangerous because he could come off the pace & catch the speed. I have a horrible West Coast bias & rarely trust the shippers from Cali. Now watch him win going away. #10 Great White is visually  scary. #11 One More Freud hasn't done anything wrong winning 2 of 2 but hasn't raced since 8/30/25 at Monmouth. Trainer Bobby Hess will be the 3rd new trainer. Tom Amoss & Mike Maker both won with this guy & lost their jobs. You're guess is as good as mine on this guy. 

    I'm on #1 Englishman...they will have to catch him & Jose gets his 1st winner of the day for trainer Cherie DeVaux. 

    TRI KEY 1 WITH 5-6-10-8

     

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 3:17 PM ET #10

    CORRECTION: TRI KEY 1 WITH 5-6-8-11. 

    NOT #10 GREAT WHITE SCRATCHED HERE. 

    Reply

    CORRECTION: TRI KEY 1 WITH 5-6-8-11. 

    NOT #10 GREAT WHITE SCRATCHED HERE. 

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 3:50 PM ET #11

    Didn't matter. Had the wrong one on top.

    Race 10 TRI KEY 12 WITH 4-6-7-10-14

    Reply

    Didn't matter. Had the wrong one on top.

    Race 10 TRI KEY 12 WITH 4-6-7-10-14

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 4:19 PM ET #12

    That hurt.

    Jose Ortiz had way too much ground to make up on the chalk. He obviously needed to be closer to the pace. You can't sit last 14 lengths off the pace & expect to catch a quality colt.

    OUCH! 

    Reply

    That hurt.

    Jose Ortiz had way too much ground to make up on the chalk. He obviously needed to be closer to the pace. You can't sit last 14 lengths off the pace & expect to catch a quality colt.

    OUCH! 

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 5:00 PM ET #13

    Can't remember a horse on a derby card with a ML of 30-1, bet down to 5-1 & winning like Secretariat.

    The massive line change after he left the gate dropped him from 12-1 to 5-1.

    WTF!!

    Reply

    Can't remember a horse on a derby card with a ML of 30-1, bet down to 5-1 & winning like Secretariat.

    The massive line change after he left the gate dropped him from 12-1 to 5-1.

    WTF!!

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 5:16 PM ET #14

    Cant believe some many a-holes failed to take their hats off during the national anthem.

    Ignorant mofo's.

    Sorry but I just don't like to see that in our country

    Reply

    Cant believe some many a-holes failed to take their hats off during the national anthem.

    Ignorant mofo's.

    Sorry but I just don't like to see that in our country

     
    Devilfish1079
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 5:22 PM ET #15

    @Midnight1

     There are betting syndicates that are using computer assisted wagering to put large bets in the last second of wagering. To make a horse drop from 12-1 to 5-1 on derby day it had to be a very significant bet.

    Reply

    @Midnight1

     There are betting syndicates that are using computer assisted wagering to put large bets in the last second of wagering. To make a horse drop from 12-1 to 5-1 on derby day it had to be a very significant bet.

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 5:23 PM ET #16

    RACE 11..this is my 2nd top choice on the card. #6 RHETORICAL IS MY PLAY

    TRI KEY 6 WITH 1-3-4-9

     

    Reply

    RACE 11..this is my 2nd top choice on the card. #6 RHETORICAL IS MY PLAY

    TRI KEY 6 WITH 1-3-4-9

     

     
    Ky2436
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 5:53 PM ET #17

    @Midnight1

     Boooom. Great Pick. 

    Reply

    @Midnight1

     Boooom. Great Pick. 

     
    vetdrm
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 6:05 PM ET #18

    @Midnight1

     

     Saw that .  4 minutes prior he was 24-1

    fkn scammers. Now nyra limiting this pirate bowlshit, which really does inhibit every day players to no shenanigans up to two minutes before race

    Reply

    @Midnight1

     

     Saw that .  4 minutes prior he was 24-1

    fkn scammers. Now nyra limiting this pirate bowlshit, which really does inhibit every day players to no shenanigans up to two minutes before race

     
    vetdrm
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 6:34 PM ET #19

    Wife has So Happy at 99 to 1, 53 to 1 and 32-1 pool 3,4,5

    Reply

    Wife has So Happy at 99 to 1, 53 to 1 and 32-1 pool 3,4,5

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 6:54 PM ET #20

    THE DERBY

    Posted a bunch of stuff but it really doesn't mean anything because it just comes down to who is the best horse today. Data suggest my pick historically doesn't have a chance because of his post position & I really haven't talked about him much. But his race replays are so impressive I kept going back to him. A skilled jock can turn their post position into an advantage & I think the best horse in the race is #1 Renegade.

    TRI KEY 1 WITH 6-7-11-12-15

    BOL TO ALL

    an_cheers  

    Reply

    THE DERBY

    Posted a bunch of stuff but it really doesn't mean anything because it just comes down to who is the best horse today. Data suggest my pick historically doesn't have a chance because of his post position & I really haven't talked about him much. But his race replays are so impressive I kept going back to him. A skilled jock can turn their post position into an advantage & I think the best horse in the race is #1 Renegade.

    TRI KEY 1 WITH 6-7-11-12-15

    BOL TO ALL

    an_cheers  

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 6:59 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Devilfish1079:

    @Midnight1  There are betting syndicates that are using computer assisted wagering to put large bets in the last second of wagering. To make a horse drop from 12-1 to 5-1 on derby day it had to be a very significant bet.

    Yup, I'm aware of the consortiums & the industry needs to address the issue.

    Word was definitely out as to the ability of T O Elvis.

    peace_5   

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Devilfish1079:

    @Midnight1  There are betting syndicates that are using computer assisted wagering to put large bets in the last second of wagering. To make a horse drop from 12-1 to 5-1 on derby day it had to be a very significant bet.

    Yup, I'm aware of the consortiums & the industry needs to address the issue.

    Word was definitely out as to the ability of T O Elvis.

    peace_5   

     
    tjones1270
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 7:09 PM ET #22

    50$ in cmmandmebt 6-1

    Reply

    50$ in cmmandmebt 6-1

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 7:17 PM ET #23

    Ortiz Brothers Exacta & so happy for Cherie DeVaux. 

    And how about Tyler getting 3rd on a Maiden @ 70-1!

    an_clapwin

    Reply

    Ortiz Brothers Exacta & so happy for Cherie DeVaux. 

    And how about Tyler getting 3rd on a Maiden @ 70-1!

    an_clapwin

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 7:28 PM ET #24

    POSTED THIS IN THE DERBY TALK THREAD

    Trainer Cherie DeVaux is a disciple of Chad Brown & has about 100 horses under her care. She's got Golden Tempo who will be racing at another track other than the Fair Grounds for the 1st time. She added blinkers in his last & Jose Ortiz thinks it helped keep him focused. Since he's a dead closer, she doesn't mind post 19 because it will allow for Ortiz to get a spot down the rail & let everybody else get bounced around, steadied etc. 

    Maybe I should reread my own shit!!

    Reply

    POSTED THIS IN THE DERBY TALK THREAD

    Trainer Cherie DeVaux is a disciple of Chad Brown & has about 100 horses under her care. She's got Golden Tempo who will be racing at another track other than the Fair Grounds for the 1st time. She added blinkers in his last & Jose Ortiz thinks it helped keep him focused. Since he's a dead closer, she doesn't mind post 19 because it will allow for Ortiz to get a spot down the rail & let everybody else get bounced around, steadied etc. 

    Maybe I should reread my own shit!!

     
     
    Midnight1
    Midnight1
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 25566
    Posted: May. 2, 2026 - 7:36 PM ET #25

    Race 13 I like #8 Gilded Bandit

    TRI KEY 8 WITH 1-2-10-11

    DD 8 WITH 1-9

    Reply

    Race 13 I like #8 Gilded Bandit

    TRI KEY 8 WITH 1-2-10-11

    DD 8 WITH 1-9

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