Anyone betting on the Kentucky Derby?

WHEEL ON DERBY-DAY

This Derby will be thrown off track by inclement weather;
something ludicrous can transpire under the Twin Spires.

A sloppy track means there are no really "dominant"
horses one can count on — not in this year's field.

One can play $1 boxes, just cough up the nec. $1026.  
Hey man, it's only happening once a year, so eat it.
Then focus and observe open-mindedly each of the
ponies in the Post Parade => you'll see who looks
the fittest, most composed, relaxed, and happy to run.
Double-Check it's not 1st-time Lasix induced.

Then, you Wheel that horse with the entire field:
1st, 2nd, & 3rd place in a Trifecta-box costing $1026
with the rest of the field's post positions.  
That key horse need only "hit the board" to win —
and with so many entries and a sloppy track
the payout can very well be rather large at that.


One can also do the aforesaid in 50-cent Trifectas,
which cuts the initial outlay in half ($513).

20k yields are not uncommon; 3k's the min. pay.

my book offers h2h matchups, any good picks ?

-120

@GMN,

Suppose it could be worse
were the RONDO's square
and not deemed BIG COJONES.

There's some speed figure metrics out there to capp with:
Beyer, Bris, Equibase, and Timeform, to name but a few.
They each weight + evaluate differently, but in unison
are more productive for comparison intents & purposes.

Beyer, Bris, Equibase, and Timeform — Best #, Last #
Classic Empire:  102, 94;  108, 96;  116, 103;  123, 113.
Irap:  93, 93;  100, 100;  101, 101;  121, 121.
Always Dreaming:  97, 97;  102, 102;  101, 100;  118, 118.
Irish War Cry: 101, 101;  102, 102;  110, 111;  118, 118
Gunnevera:  97, 88;  102, 95;  108, 107;  117, 113.
McCracken:  95, 88;  99, 96;  105, 104;  116, 116.
Gormley: 94, 88;  102, 99;  116, 116;  116, 112.
Tapwrit: 96, 76;  101, 87;  107, 106;  112, 106
Hence:  97, 97;  103, 103;  97, 97;  108, 108.
Patch:  89, 89;  101, 98;  105, 105;  108, 108.

Graham Motion set up Animal Kingdom to win the Derby in '11,
and he's doing it again with Irish War Cry, the speedster, who won
both of his sprints as a juvenile, including a minor stakes at Laurel
before getting loose on the lead and going wire-to-wire in the
Grade II, Holy Bull held at Gulfstream, breezing over the juvenile
champ Classic Empire (this Derby's odds-on favorite).  Holy Bull
was his first start this year, wherein he controlled a moderate pace.
His Wood Memorial victory was even greater as he cruised early
and then went in the middle stages to take on a very strong pace.

Irish War Cry got the same 101 Beyer Speed Figure in the Wood
that he made in the Holy Bull; most noteworthy b/c the 20 horses
in this Derby-field combined for 129 career starts and yet earned
only four triple-digit Beyers — Irish War Cry's got two of them !!

Only four triple-digit Beyers to be found in last year’s Derby field.
Nyquist & Exaggerator had 1 each => they hit the board one-two.

8 horses in 2015's Derby field ran 16 triple-digit Beyers.
American Pharoah owned four of those himself, dominating that
Kentucky Derby. It stands to reason speed matters, but it isn't all.

Thunder Snow to beat Untrapped -182.

 Thunder snow

Now that's funny .......he looked just like one.. having a bucking and bronking fit out there..

This thread is plush with losers.

I got Thunder Snowblind in a blind draw..................ugh