[Quote: Originally Posted by dencol] Watch I read your logic but do not follow??? What about type of competiton, weather, play call etc.... I agree with the play just do not see the logic....but it would not be the 1st time I cant see something... By the way you 1st inning run and double and double play, did not work last night so your out $ 700. + vig..Takes a lot of $100 bets to make it up..It may work for you but you are just lucky. The math does not work as I spent 3 hours hoping you found a winner. No good.. the vig eats you up even if you stay close... But GL anyway.
Once again, dencol you didn't do all of your homework, which is something that I am noticing is a trend with you. The math does work. You just haven't tried it with actual, not virtual money.
You should go back and read the Red Sox/Angels thread from yesterday, noticing the time of my entry, as it was immediately after the 1st inning. This time I didn't double or triple up. I took a loss at +110 for the 1st inning only. I recognized that the pitchers were in form.
I am glad that you have taken such interest in my plays, however. But your three hours of homework studying my style didn't bring you winning results on your behalf. When I do happen to double up, I am covering my losses, and as you can see that was the first playoff game that didnt have a run scored by the third inning. But guess what? I had the foresight to see the direction the game was going in and got off of it immediately. I have not lost any vigorish yet in the playoffs doing my first three innings of work. Matter of fact, I haven't made a minus anything bet doing that yet.
Here's a word to the wise, if you don't happen to like what I am doing, by all means don't do it, and stop wasting your time trying to figure out why I claim to be successful at what I do. All that I know is whether you agree or not, I have had fantastic results doing it for 5 years running. I sincerely hope that you enjoy the same success doing what you do as I do doing my style of betting.
It seems that you are continually looking for negatives.That kind of thinking almost killed the invention of the telephone. If you would like for us to continue to discuss the margins, or the effects etc, please add yourself as a friend and we can continue this discussion in private. You appear to be intrigued. And I'm open to discuss it with you. You're just going about it the wrong way. Your disbelief and skepticism are causing you to lose out on important prosperous alliances.
If you try it the way i do it and you have bad results next year, then I can fully accept your wrath. But if you do it next year and have the like kind positive results that have been geting over the years then I can also accept your admission as well. Either way good luck to you. And don't forget to read the Boston/Angels thread from yesterday and see my wisdom in sidestepping the process once I caught the vibe of the game.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by dencol] Watch I read your logic but do not follow??? What about type of competiton, weather, play call etc.... I agree with the play just do not see the logic....but it would not be the 1st time I cant see something... By the way you 1st inning run and double and double play, did not work last night so your out $ 700. + vig..Takes a lot of $100 bets to make it up..It may work for you but you are just lucky. The math does not work as I spent 3 hours hoping you found a winner. No good.. the vig eats you up even if you stay close... But GL anyway.
Once again, dencol you didn't do all of your homework, which is something that I am noticing is a trend with you. The math does work. You just haven't tried it with actual, not virtual money.
You should go back and read the Red Sox/Angels thread from yesterday, noticing the time of my entry, as it was immediately after the 1st inning. This time I didn't double or triple up. I took a loss at +110 for the 1st inning only. I recognized that the pitchers were in form.
I am glad that you have taken such interest in my plays, however. But your three hours of homework studying my style didn't bring you winning results on your behalf. When I do happen to double up, I am covering my losses, and as you can see that was the first playoff game that didnt have a run scored by the third inning. But guess what? I had the foresight to see the direction the game was going in and got off of it immediately. I have not lost any vigorish yet in the playoffs doing my first three innings of work. Matter of fact, I haven't made a minus anything bet doing that yet.
Here's a word to the wise, if you don't happen to like what I am doing, by all means don't do it, and stop wasting your time trying to figure out why I claim to be successful at what I do. All that I know is whether you agree or not, I have had fantastic results doing it for 5 years running. I sincerely hope that you enjoy the same success doing what you do as I do doing my style of betting.
It seems that you are continually looking for negatives.That kind of thinking almost killed the invention of the telephone. If you would like for us to continue to discuss the margins, or the effects etc, please add yourself as a friend and we can continue this discussion in private. You appear to be intrigued. And I'm open to discuss it with you. You're just going about it the wrong way. Your disbelief and skepticism are causing you to lose out on important prosperous alliances.
If you try it the way i do it and you have bad results next year, then I can fully accept your wrath. But if you do it next year and have the like kind positive results that have been geting over the years then I can also accept your admission as well. Either way good luck to you. And don't forget to read the Boston/Angels thread from yesterday and see my wisdom in sidestepping the process once I caught the vibe of the game.
Besides the under, I'm looking at taking FAU and the points along with the ML. If FAU can keep from turning the ball over (2 ints and 2 fumbles vs MTSU last Tuesday night) I think that they can keep it close. Troy isn't the team they were last year as they don't have Omar Haugabook at QB this year.
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Besides the under, I'm looking at taking FAU and the points along with the ML. If FAU can keep from turning the ball over (2 ints and 2 fumbles vs MTSU last Tuesday night) I think that they can keep it close. Troy isn't the team they were last year as they don't have Omar Haugabook at QB this year.
I am seeing the students this time of year in college (I teach at one here in Green Bay) and I see the faces of doom, anxiety over midterms and the idea that the fun first half of the semester is over and that everyone will have to get to work. It's a moment at colleges everywhere. This would mean ramping down in general.
Still it could be leftover Favre anxiety. (I now watch the Jets every week)
I'm also thinking FAU is PO'ed at their last Hail Mary style defeat.
That just means that their D is going to be stiff.
It also piles up being a home game for them.
Big Daddy may have some Hawaiian Gods at work too.
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Other things to consider...
I am seeing the students this time of year in college (I teach at one here in Green Bay) and I see the faces of doom, anxiety over midterms and the idea that the fun first half of the semester is over and that everyone will have to get to work. It's a moment at colleges everywhere. This would mean ramping down in general.
Still it could be leftover Favre anxiety. (I now watch the Jets every week)
I'm also thinking FAU is PO'ed at their last Hail Mary style defeat.
That just means that their D is going to be stiff.
It also piles up being a home game for them.
Big Daddy may have some Hawaiian Gods at work too.
Cant pull myself away from the homedog. They have been hitting all season on weekdays and usually winning SU (Beside last weeks loss to MTENN). Had my first losing weekend and with the way I have been losing maybe you guys should bet the opposite of me. Anyways here are my picks.
Florida Atlantic +3.5
Florida Atlantic ML (1/2 the amount of the spread)
Under 51 (Made me money last week, will ride it out for the season, I too will bet under 30 on the Tech and USC game!)
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Cant pull myself away from the homedog. They have been hitting all season on weekdays and usually winning SU (Beside last weeks loss to MTENN). Had my first losing weekend and with the way I have been losing maybe you guys should bet the opposite of me. Anyways here are my picks.
Florida Atlantic +3.5
Florida Atlantic ML (1/2 the amount of the spread)
Under 51 (Made me money last week, will ride it out for the season, I too will bet under 30 on the Tech and USC game!)
Cant pull myself away from the homedog. They have been hitting all season on weekdays and usually winning SU (Beside last weeks loss to MTENN). Had my first losing weekend and with the way I have been losing maybe you guys should bet the opposite of me. Anyways here are my picks.
Florida Atlantic +3.5
Florida Atlantic ML (1/2 the amount of the spread)
Under 51 (Made me money last week, will ride it out for the season, I too will bet under 30 on the Tech and USC game!)
Exactly! You have been losing, and I've been winning so...
TROY -3.5
Thanks for the tip Clark. I can always count on you.
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Quote Originally Posted by Clark3232:
Cant pull myself away from the homedog. They have been hitting all season on weekdays and usually winning SU (Beside last weeks loss to MTENN). Had my first losing weekend and with the way I have been losing maybe you guys should bet the opposite of me. Anyways here are my picks.
Florida Atlantic +3.5
Florida Atlantic ML (1/2 the amount of the spread)
Under 51 (Made me money last week, will ride it out for the season, I too will bet under 30 on the Tech and USC game!)
Exactly! You have been losing, and I've been winning so...
TROY -3.5
Thanks for the tip Clark. I can always count on you.
Florida Atlantic +3.5 (5 units)....This is a no brainer...This is my first post bc I usually like to just read everyones input and go from there. Most people do not realize that FAU won this conference last year and returns 18 starters.
Also they are getting there biggest piece to the o line back tonight in center N Harris....which puts all of the other o lineman back into their normal comfortable positions
........Troy has yet to win on grass this year and there numbers show that they are about half as productive on grass compared to there home field turf.
With everyone simply looking at who Troy has played and how they have been more competitive is just ridiculous...this is a conference game that will most likely decide the champion of this conference by years end. FAU protects their home turf tonight and wins this outright in convincing fashion...
I will also be on the Tuesday night under
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Florida Atlantic +3.5 (5 units)....This is a no brainer...This is my first post bc I usually like to just read everyones input and go from there. Most people do not realize that FAU won this conference last year and returns 18 starters.
Also they are getting there biggest piece to the o line back tonight in center N Harris....which puts all of the other o lineman back into their normal comfortable positions
........Troy has yet to win on grass this year and there numbers show that they are about half as productive on grass compared to there home field turf.
With everyone simply looking at who Troy has played and how they have been more competitive is just ridiculous...this is a conference game that will most likely decide the champion of this conference by years end. FAU protects their home turf tonight and wins this outright in convincing fashion...
Top Trends for this game. TROY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Top Trends for this game. TROY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
The Under is 4-0 in the Trojans last 4 games in October. The Under is 5-0 in the Trojans last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The Under is 6-1 in the Trojans last 7 conference games. The Under is 7-3 in the Trojans last 10 games overall.
The Over is 5-0 in the Owls last 5 home games. The Over is 5-1 in the Owls last 6 conference games. The Under is 4-1 in the Owls last 5 games overall. The Over is 7-2 in the Owls last 9 games on grass.
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The Under is 4-0 in the Trojans last 4 games in October. The Under is 5-0 in the Trojans last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The Under is 6-1 in the Trojans last 7 conference games. The Under is 7-3 in the Trojans last 10 games overall.
The Over is 5-0 in the Owls last 5 home games. The Over is 5-1 in the Owls last 6 conference games. The Under is 4-1 in the Owls last 5 games overall. The Over is 7-2 in the Owls last 9 games on grass.
The Trojans are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games. The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Trojans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall
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The Trojans are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games. The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Trojans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall
Kudos to this two teams for playing tough opponents for their non cenference games.
Fau was badly beaten by Minn, and Texas but manage to cover against Mich St. They were however was outgained in over 100 Total yards agianst those three games.
Troy on the other outgain total yards vs Ohio st and cover.
Lost big against Okl St ( revenge game) they didn't let up.
Troy statistically has a better offense and defense compared to Fau. They also have the revenge factor working here, last year 3rd quarter collapse.
Taking Troy -3.5 and Under 51 BOL
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Kudos to this two teams for playing tough opponents for their non cenference games.
Fau was badly beaten by Minn, and Texas but manage to cover against Mich St. They were however was outgained in over 100 Total yards agianst those three games.
Troy on the other outgain total yards vs Ohio st and cover.
Lost big against Okl St ( revenge game) they didn't let up.
Troy statistically has a better offense and defense compared to Fau. They also have the revenge factor working here, last year 3rd quarter collapse.
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