Week Six Stuff

You can ignore the silly new screen name. I was reading a book about Haiti, and needed a new handle. So, here we are. 

I’ve been a member forever, but got locked out of my account for years thank to a dead email address. I’m sure you’re all fascinated. Anyway, rest assured I’m back with the same 46% win rate that made me a “Legend” on here (if memory serves) in the first place. 

I do like the card this week. I’ll get to that in a moment. 

Tulane +3.5. - Somebody wins this one by 3. Either way, Tulane covers. Every game at West Point comes down to the final :36 anyway. 

WVU beats Arizona. Cats get a lot of hype for a team coming off its first cover of the year. Noon kick tough for desert dwellers. 

Kansas State doesn’t lose under the bright lights of Manhattan; and, when they do, it’s generally to better teams than Houston, which is missing, I believe, its top RB. 

Iowa +3.5 - isn’t Iowa just better than Washington? 

NC State +3.5 - world is in love with Wake, and, to some extent, rightly so. But Raleigh is a tough place to win, and State’s been pretty good since opening night flub in Charlottesville. 

Tulsa +1.5 - mids are always plucky at home, but Tulsa is better at football 

North Texas -28 - seems like a lot of points until you remember they’re playing Charlotte.  49ers have very limited offense, and are a perfect 0-5 ATS. 

Oregon State -15.5 (current line) - they’re are many sure things in life, unless, perhaps, you go to Cornell, but facing a team off of a win in which they were out-gained by an impossible 326 yards, is just an auto-play. 

Boise State 6.5 - just not sold on Fresno; Bozo State a pretty complete team. 

games I’m looking at - no idea why we just switched to italics, but I like it

tennessee - 13.5 - Arkansas program is sketchiest arky operation since the Rose Law Firm, but Vols have tide on deck

temple -3.5. - I love K.C. Keeler; owls are a couple of snaps from being 4-1, and ARE 4-1 ATS. But, why does this game feel like a coin flip?

penn state - when asked, while at a bar in Columbia, SC last Friday, who I liked in the Penn State / Northwestern game, I was only sober enough to respond “Penn state is dogshit.”  This week, I think they beat USC, which is a spiffy 1-4 against the number, and damn near lost to Rutgers the last time they left LA.  Just can’t bring myself to bet it yet.

Purdue ML - this line looks designed to drive  Gopher action, and it has; Loafers off of season-making win may struggle to match homeboys’ enthusiasm. 

Oregon -11.5 - I’ve liked UCLA since I saw them in week one, and this feels like 4 too many points; I suspect, however, it won’t be nearly enough. 

Curious to know who you are 

If you want to use the eyetest or past history of how team play, 'be my guest' but this has been good the past 2-3 yrs and gets updated after every week like Sagarin etc ....

Some people have their own ratings....well, ESPN SP+ pretty much nailed the games last night and UTSA stole it late but spread should have been tighter according to variance numbers 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/49868647/2026-college-football-sp+-rankings-all-138-fbs-teams

Good luck Tonto(n) 

@TontonMacoute26

@Last2thirst

 I used to be MaineRoad, and perhaps I will be again. Just gotta get my login sorted out. I’ve been trying for quite a while. Surprised and pleased to see so many familiar faces still around. 

@Last2thirst

 I (well, almost) called my own shot last night. I decided to leave 5.5 alone, tho I thought UTSA would win. I agree that “the numbers” had it much closer to a pick. So, I told a pal, if USF goes up early, let’s see what we can get in-game on the Runners. That turned out to be -1.5. As you’ll recall, the game looked absolutely destined to end 26-24, which would have been cool ?? with my -1.5.  Anyway, happy for the other UTSA backers with larger numbers, as they cashed them all. Should they have? Hard to say. Refs such a big impact, by eye test seemed to indicate they were pretty damn closely matched. 

“Iowa +3.5 - isn’t Iowa just better than Washington?”

turns out, well, yeah. Lol 

Early UCF TD puts OK State on sale at -3.5 - if you still think this winds up being a comfortable Poke win. 

Tonton.

Good post... no drama, just sounds like someone you would like to have a beer with  

@TontonMacoute26

 I took the over instead in OSU / UCF!!!  This should be a track meet!!!

As a “new” member, I’m only allowed to post a couple of times a day, so I’d better make this count. 

Thanks, Blue; I’m a hoot. I’ve actually had beers with four Covers brothers over the years. They were all good people. 

“Tulane +3.5. - Somebody wins this one by 3. Either way, Tulane covers. Every game at West Point comes down to the final :36 anyway.”

You’d think I’d make more money with brilliant insight like this.  

5-4. Meh. Really liked this card too. Did hit the Sooners in-game at +480. Guy sitting next to me got it at nearly 14-1. Nice work, if you can get it. 

(Very) early leans for next weekend:

Memphis -7

Purdue -2.5

Ohio State -3.5 

Tulsa -3 (really?)

Louisville -12.5

Kentucky +7 otb 

Florida State +21

Missy State +10.5

UCLA - 

Oregon State -17.5

BYU +11.5 

waiting on ucla, Fresno, and Wake 

again, very early days here 

Ya, I remember bro...solid capping under that nick

Ya, I remember bro...solid capping under that nick

I started out pretty good, especially in CFB; but, as time went on, I became just another “caveman staring at the stars,” to borrow a phrase from great (former?) Covers Brother, Bustin Piles (who I once had the pleasure of meeting in New Orleans). Eventually, I pretty much just tried to make people smile, while pissing $15,000 back and forth each season. Anyway; it’s good to be back. Thanks for noticing/remembering.