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    All Forums | College Football

    Week 4 STRONG TRENDS

    msucurt
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 535
    Posts: 2
     
    msucurt
    msucurt
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2004
    Posts: 895
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2026 - 8:00 AM ET #1

    Just for shits and giggles, some solid historical trends For Saturday, September 26: 

     

    College Football Betting Trends — Saturday, September 26, 2026

    Against the spread

    1. Houston at Georgia Southern — Houston −18.5: Willie Fritz’s teams are 17–4 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points coming off a loss, including 10–0 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    2. Wake Forest at Louisville — Wake Forest +13.5: Jake Dickert’s teams are 9–1 ATS as underdogs of more than 3 points coming off a loss. 
    3. Oklahoma at Georgia — Georgia −13.5: Kirby Smart’s teams are 34–18–1 ATS as home favorites of more than 10 points, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    4. Oregon at USC — USC +3: Lincoln Riley’s teams are 9–2–1 ATS as underdogs in prime time. 
    5. Texas at Tennessee — Tennessee +4.5: Teams facing Steve Sarkisian on the road are 21–13 ATS, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    6. Troy at Utah State — Troy +3: Gerad Parker’s teams are 10–4 ATS on the road, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Air Force at Nevada — Air Force −5.5: Favorites facing an early-season underdog coming off a bye are 61–41–5 ATS, including 9–1 in the last 10 qualifying games. 

    Over/under

    1. UNLV at Akron — Under 52.5: Games with Joe Moorhead as a home underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 9–1. 
    2. Arizona at Washington State — Under 47.5: Games with Brent Brennan as a favorite of more than 3 points coming off a win have gone under 14–1, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    3. Iowa at Michigan — Under 38.5: Games with Kirk Ferentz as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 16–7, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    4. Wisconsin at Penn State — Under 44.5: Games with Luke Fickell as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 23–7, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    5. Illinois at Ohio State — Under 53.5: Games with Bret Bielema as an underdog of more than 10 points have gone under 13–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    6. Vanderbilt at Auburn — Under 55.5: Games with Clark Lea as a road underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 14–3, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Hawai‘i at Wyoming — Under 43.5: Jay Sawvel’s home games have gone under 9–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    8. Oregon at USC — Over 61.5: Games with Lincoln Riley as an underdog coming off a win have gone over 11–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. Other qualifying trends for this game point under. 
    9. Texas A&M at LSU — Over 51.5: Mike Elko’s road games have gone over 15–5, including 9–1 in the last 10. A separate Lane Kiffin trend for this matchup points under. 
    10. Sam Houston at Texas Tech — Over 55.5: Joey McGuire’s home games following a win have gone over 12–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. A separate weather-based trend for this matchup points under. 
    11. Missouri State at SMU — Over 59.5: Prime-time favorites of more than 10 points coming off a loss have gone over 214–165–1, including 8–2 in the last 10. This is a broad league-wide situation, not an SMU-specific record. 

     

    HOUSTON -18

    ARIZONA under 48

    WISCONSIN under 44.5

    VANDY under 55.5

    USC over 61.5

    LSU over 51.5

    GEORGIA -13.5

     

     

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Just for shits and giggles, some solid historical trends For Saturday, September 26: 

     

    College Football Betting Trends — Saturday, September 26, 2026

    Against the spread

    1. Houston at Georgia Southern — Houston −18.5: Willie Fritz’s teams are 17–4 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points coming off a loss, including 10–0 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    2. Wake Forest at Louisville — Wake Forest +13.5: Jake Dickert’s teams are 9–1 ATS as underdogs of more than 3 points coming off a loss. 
    3. Oklahoma at Georgia — Georgia −13.5: Kirby Smart’s teams are 34–18–1 ATS as home favorites of more than 10 points, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    4. Oregon at USC — USC +3: Lincoln Riley’s teams are 9–2–1 ATS as underdogs in prime time. 
    5. Texas at Tennessee — Tennessee +4.5: Teams facing Steve Sarkisian on the road are 21–13 ATS, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    6. Troy at Utah State — Troy +3: Gerad Parker’s teams are 10–4 ATS on the road, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Air Force at Nevada — Air Force −5.5: Favorites facing an early-season underdog coming off a bye are 61–41–5 ATS, including 9–1 in the last 10 qualifying games. 

    Over/under

    1. UNLV at Akron — Under 52.5: Games with Joe Moorhead as a home underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 9–1. 
    2. Arizona at Washington State — Under 47.5: Games with Brent Brennan as a favorite of more than 3 points coming off a win have gone under 14–1, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    3. Iowa at Michigan — Under 38.5: Games with Kirk Ferentz as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 16–7, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    4. Wisconsin at Penn State — Under 44.5: Games with Luke Fickell as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 23–7, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    5. Illinois at Ohio State — Under 53.5: Games with Bret Bielema as an underdog of more than 10 points have gone under 13–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    6. Vanderbilt at Auburn — Under 55.5: Games with Clark Lea as a road underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 14–3, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Hawai‘i at Wyoming — Under 43.5: Jay Sawvel’s home games have gone under 9–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    8. Oregon at USC — Over 61.5: Games with Lincoln Riley as an underdog coming off a win have gone over 11–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. Other qualifying trends for this game point under. 
    9. Texas A&M at LSU — Over 51.5: Mike Elko’s road games have gone over 15–5, including 9–1 in the last 10. A separate Lane Kiffin trend for this matchup points under. 
    10. Sam Houston at Texas Tech — Over 55.5: Joey McGuire’s home games following a win have gone over 12–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. A separate weather-based trend for this matchup points under. 
    11. Missouri State at SMU — Over 59.5: Prime-time favorites of more than 10 points coming off a loss have gone over 214–165–1, including 8–2 in the last 10. This is a broad league-wide situation, not an SMU-specific record. 

     

    HOUSTON -18

    ARIZONA under 48

    WISCONSIN under 44.5

    VANDY under 55.5

    USC over 61.5

    LSU over 51.5

    GEORGIA -13.5

     

     

     

     
     
    msucurt
    msucurt
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2004
    Posts: 895
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2026 - 8:03 AM ET #2

    College Football Betting Trends — Saturday, September 26, 2026

    Against the spread

    1. Houston at Georgia Southern — Houston -18.5: Willie Fritz’s teams are 17–4 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points coming off a loss, including 10–0 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    2. Wake Forest at Louisville — Wake Forest +13.5: Jake Dickert’s teams are 9–1 ATS as underdogs of more than 3 points coming off a loss. 
    3. Oklahoma at Georgia — Georgia -13.5: Kirby Smart’s teams are 34–18–1 ATS as home favorites of more than 10 points, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    4. Oregon at USC — USC +3: Lincoln Riley’s teams are 9–2–1 ATS as underdogs in prime time. 
    5. Texas at Tennessee — Tennessee +4.5: Teams facing Steve Sarkisian on the road are 21–13 ATS, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    6. Troy at Utah State — Troy +3: Gerad Parker’s teams are 10–4 ATS on the road, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Air Force at Nevada — Air Force -5.5: Favorites facing an early-season underdog coming off a bye are 61–41–5 ATS, including 9–1 in the last 10 qualifying games. 

    Over/under

    1. UNLV at Akron — Under 52.5: Games with Joe Moorhead as a home underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 9–1. 
    2. Arizona at Washington State — Under 47.5: Games with Brent Brennan as a favorite of more than 3 points coming off a win have gone under 14–1, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    3. Iowa at Michigan — Under 38.5: Games with Kirk Ferentz as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 16–7, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    4. Wisconsin at Penn State — Under 44.5: Games with Luke Fickell as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 23–7, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    5. Illinois at Ohio State — Under 53.5: Games with Bret Bielema as an underdog of more than 10 points have gone under 13–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    6. Vanderbilt at Auburn — Under 55.5: Games with Clark Lea as a road underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 14–3, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Hawai‘i at Wyoming — Under 43.5: Jay Sawvel’s home games have gone under 9–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    8. Oregon at USC — Over 61.5: Games with Lincoln Riley as an underdog coming off a win have gone over 11–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. Other qualifying trends for this game point under. 
    9. Texas A&M at LSU — Over 51.5: Mike Elko’s road games have gone over 15–5, including 9–1 in the last 10. A separate Lane Kiffin trend for this matchup points under. 
    10. Sam Houston at Texas Tech — Over 55.5: Joey McGuire’s home games following a win have gone over 12–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. A separate weather-based trend for this matchup points under. 
    11. Missouri State at SMU — Over 59.5: Prime-time favorites of more than 10 points coming off a loss have gone over 214–165–1, including 8–2 in the last 10. This is a broad league-wide situation, not an SMU-specific 
    12. <

    Reply

    College Football Betting Trends — Saturday, September 26, 2026

    Against the spread

    1. Houston at Georgia Southern — Houston -18.5: Willie Fritz’s teams are 17–4 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points coming off a loss, including 10–0 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    2. Wake Forest at Louisville — Wake Forest +13.5: Jake Dickert’s teams are 9–1 ATS as underdogs of more than 3 points coming off a loss. 
    3. Oklahoma at Georgia — Georgia -13.5: Kirby Smart’s teams are 34–18–1 ATS as home favorites of more than 10 points, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    4. Oregon at USC — USC +3: Lincoln Riley’s teams are 9–2–1 ATS as underdogs in prime time. 
    5. Texas at Tennessee — Tennessee +4.5: Teams facing Steve Sarkisian on the road are 21–13 ATS, including 7–3 in the last 10 qualifying games. 
    6. Troy at Utah State — Troy +3: Gerad Parker’s teams are 10–4 ATS on the road, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Air Force at Nevada — Air Force -5.5: Favorites facing an early-season underdog coming off a bye are 61–41–5 ATS, including 9–1 in the last 10 qualifying games. 

    Over/under

    1. UNLV at Akron — Under 52.5: Games with Joe Moorhead as a home underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 9–1. 
    2. Arizona at Washington State — Under 47.5: Games with Brent Brennan as a favorite of more than 3 points coming off a win have gone under 14–1, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    3. Iowa at Michigan — Under 38.5: Games with Kirk Ferentz as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 16–7, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    4. Wisconsin at Penn State — Under 44.5: Games with Luke Fickell as an underdog of more than 3 points have gone under 23–7, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    5. Illinois at Ohio State — Under 53.5: Games with Bret Bielema as an underdog of more than 10 points have gone under 13–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. 
    6. Vanderbilt at Auburn — Under 55.5: Games with Clark Lea as a road underdog of more than 7 points have gone under 14–3, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    7. Hawai‘i at Wyoming — Under 43.5: Jay Sawvel’s home games have gone under 9–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. 
    8. Oregon at USC — Over 61.5: Games with Lincoln Riley as an underdog coming off a win have gone over 11–2, including 9–1 in the last 10. Other qualifying trends for this game point under. 
    9. Texas A&M at LSU — Over 51.5: Mike Elko’s road games have gone over 15–5, including 9–1 in the last 10. A separate Lane Kiffin trend for this matchup points under. 
    10. Sam Houston at Texas Tech — Over 55.5: Joey McGuire’s home games following a win have gone over 12–4, including 8–2 in the last 10. A separate weather-based trend for this matchup points under. 
    11. Missouri State at SMU — Over 59.5: Prime-time favorites of more than 10 points coming off a loss have gone over 214–165–1, including 8–2 in the last 10. This is a broad league-wide situation, not an SMU-specific 
    12. <

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