Week 4 by the Coach's Son

I'm laying a lot of pts here. Not usually the way I roll but it is what it is this week....

Army @ Wake Forest (-7) ---1unit

I like Wake here simply because they’ve played better competition. Both teams are one-dimensional on paper. Wake should be able to air it out on Army. Army has completed 4-13 passes for the season. Wake can stack the box and play run all game long. Don’t get caught up on the fact that FSU ran for 385 on WF last week. Army will move the ball but nothing close to what FSU did….Prediction: 17-35.

Miami @ GTech (-14)---2units

Miami has won the last 3 times these teams have faced each other. Time for some revenge, GT rolls here. GT runs all over Miami. Bethune-Cookman rushed for 233yds on Miami…I would pound the under too but I worry about Miami turning the ball over too much. Prediction: 17-45

LSU (-20) @ Auburn---3units

More points than I would usually lay for a night game on the road against a conference opponent but let’s just not over think this one.   LSU is vastly superior at every position. This game is not even close on paper. I see LSU marching up and down the field on a Auburn defense that is allowing 442yds/game. I’m not even going to get into LSU’s #’s because of their competition but look for them to impose their will on Auburn in the 2^nd half. Clemson ran for 320yds on Auburn and Clemson’s Oline is not good and should get exposed this week.  Prediction: 45-3

Cal (+16) @ USC---1unit

Seems like too many pts for a USC that lacks depth to be favored.

Colorado @ Wash St(-12.5 1H) & -20 for game---3units

Colorado is flat out terrible…Leach will run it up

FAU @ Alabama Under 35 1H---1unit

Maryland @ WVU Over 60---2unit

WVU team total Over 43---2unit

Missouri @ S Carolina Under 24.5 for 1H---1unit

Games I like but not locked in yet…

Oregon St @ UCLA (-7.5) Hoping this drops but I’ll play it at 8 if it goes there…

OSU has only played one game(14 days ago on 9/8) this year against a Wisconsin team that has struggled against each opponent. Some could see this as a positive thinking they’ve had 2 weeks to game plan. However, I see it as a negative. UCLA is playing fast balanced quality football. Averaging 622 total yds/game with 311 rushing and 310 passing.  UCLA is 3 games deep and is used to game type speed. I can’t see OSU being ready for this type of attack.   Having only one game under there belt makes me fall in love with UCLA. Prediction 16-38 Bruins.

OleMiss (-19) @ Tulane

Tulane on offense is averaging 219.5 yds/game and only 7.5 of those yds are rushing while their defense is giving up 480yds/game. Ole Miss offense is putting up 500.7yds/game and I expect that average to increase after this game. Normally, I could see this being a game where Ole Miss would be looking ahead to Bama but they got worked by Texas last week so I don’t think the coaches will let that happen. Prediction: 41-10 OleMiss

Missouri (+10.5) @ S Carolina

Only taking +10.5 if Franklin plays.  I think Connor Shaw is the 2^nd best QB on the team and can’t figure out why Spurrier keeps playing him.  I like the ML here as well at +300. 2 solid defenses here, I love the Under for the 1H.