Posted:
#101
BA..holy sh*t what a thread. .to do the real capping you do AND do the thread AND I think YU do multiple sports..I 've seen your threads but never clicked on one until 4am Sat..that was a great read..and I'm glad you weren't around when I was booking action before class and during lunch in middle/high school and pushin parlay cards at GT..now that I'm on the other side as a recreational/have fun/degenerate gambler m really new to the whole gambling forum chat room thing. .I have 2 ??'s and a comment/observation..somehow you manage to acknowledge everyone who posts and would consider myself fortunate if you responded even if it's in next week's thread
?1..When you jump on those early numbers and feel pretty good about some of them after the Black Friday scramble and then see them move drastically in your favor over the week...do ever consider eating the juice on say a 7'-10' middle @20/1 odds? Or does that mess with your capping, cause you start second guessing or just confuse the brain by rooting for 2 events in one contest when you'd prefer to be rooting just to crush the fire sale #. It just sees like the payoff is so juicy to occasionally find a spot with the right spread, right key #'s and a place where during the week you have reconsidered your original thinking. Yes, I realize a 7-10 pt middle isn't necessarily a yell from the roof top event in college like it would be in nfl.
??2..I love your early #'s and your explanation to people that complain or doubt. Those sound like the #'s that get hung early, early in Vegas fir a select few people to pound into place before the masses see them. I like looking at numbers, trends, line movements, creating formulas, theories and testing by hand during a mind snoozer. The line I'd like to find us the one that everyone in the world universally calls the "opening line"..not the BOL fire sale line but the "first" one that us readily available to 99% f the world. I realize every corner bookie, every offshore, etc might differ by a half point but there is a generally accepted and quoted #, not necessarily an average of #'s but the # that the last majority "open" at, the number that accounts for throwing out the odd high and low #'s. Sort of like the average of the bid and ask price of a traded stock/bond/commodity.
I'll save my comment/observation for later..it was to a response you gave about an open ended parlay..its late ( early) and I'm doing all this typing from a phone in the dark. Sorry that I am a little verbose. .u tend to over word things in an attempt to ask/say exactly what I mean so I don't have to do it more than once. Good luck today I'll be keeping an eye out on your black Friday picks and seeing where things d up in relation to the late lines. Thanks for you time and help. Makes me wanna go read one of your baseball threads!!
?1..When you jump on those early numbers and feel pretty good about some of them after the Black Friday scramble and then see them move drastically in your favor over the week...do ever consider eating the juice on say a 7'-10' middle @20/1 odds? Or does that mess with your capping, cause you start second guessing or just confuse the brain by rooting for 2 events in one contest when you'd prefer to be rooting just to crush the fire sale #. It just sees like the payoff is so juicy to occasionally find a spot with the right spread, right key #'s and a place where during the week you have reconsidered your original thinking. Yes, I realize a 7-10 pt middle isn't necessarily a yell from the roof top event in college like it would be in nfl.
??2..I love your early #'s and your explanation to people that complain or doubt. Those sound like the #'s that get hung early, early in Vegas fir a select few people to pound into place before the masses see them. I like looking at numbers, trends, line movements, creating formulas, theories and testing by hand during a mind snoozer. The line I'd like to find us the one that everyone in the world universally calls the "opening line"..not the BOL fire sale line but the "first" one that us readily available to 99% f the world. I realize every corner bookie, every offshore, etc might differ by a half point but there is a generally accepted and quoted #, not necessarily an average of #'s but the # that the last majority "open" at, the number that accounts for throwing out the odd high and low #'s. Sort of like the average of the bid and ask price of a traded stock/bond/commodity.
I'll save my comment/observation for later..it was to a response you gave about an open ended parlay..its late ( early) and I'm doing all this typing from a phone in the dark. Sorry that I am a little verbose. .u tend to over word things in an attempt to ask/say exactly what I mean so I don't have to do it more than once. Good luck today I'll be keeping an eye out on your black Friday picks and seeing where things d up in relation to the late lines. Thanks for you time and help. Makes me wanna go read one of your baseball threads!!
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