20 DIME TCU
5 DIME PHILLIES
Free pick - Phillies-Dodgers OVER (for analysis see daily video.)
20 Dime TCU - With the line on this game being at a near pickem either way, it's a pretty safe assumption the SU winner covers.
That winner will be TCU.
I am flat out more impressed by their body of work this year than Byu's. Simple as that and let's start with the New Mexico game to start the year.
TCU completed dominated the Lobo's on the road to start the year 26-3, a team BYU struggled with into the 4th just last Saturday.
New Mexico down 14-3 had just scored to make it 14-10 but a terrible block in the back call brought the TD back and replays clearly showed it was a completely legal block.
Byu went on to win 21-3 at New Mexico never recovered the momentum the rest of the way.
Byu's other cupcake schedule has consisted of N.Iowa, Washington, Ucla and Wyoming and Utah State. They haven't faced on team with a winning record this year and combined, the teams they have faced are 9-21.
As for TCU, don't be alarmed about the 13-7 win last week at Colorado St. It was a game played in very bad weather so offensively, things were a bit challenged.
As for the TCU defense, they gave up a touchdown on the opening drive and not a single point the rest of the way.
And when I tell you the 35-10 loss at Oklahoma was a lot closer than that score would lead you to believe, take a look at what Tcu did to themselves to lose the game.
After spending the first 2 Oklahoma drives blitzing Sam Bradford which led to a quick 14-0 defecit, the Horned Frogs adjusted their defense and delivered 6 three and outs the rest of the way.
The Sooners never drove the length of the field on TCU again. You had a 55 yard td pass, a 76 yard td pass and one of four Horned Frog turnovers set up the Sooners on a short field for their other score.
This TCU defense will be without question the best defense Byu will probably see this year, on the road, tougher than the one they struggled to score 21 points against last week at home in the Lobos.
Andy Dalton is due back at QB for TCU and although that certainly helps what they want to do offensively, make no mistake about it, TCU will win this game with their defense, the homefield advantage and some big play in their special teams.
Lastly, TCU is the better team and in my opinion, they should be a 4 point favorite and with line value like that, I will call for the Horned Frogs to deliver the 10 point win.
5 Dime PHILLIES - Guys, this is your basic hedge bet since we are sitting on a 10-Dime Series play with the Dodgers.
After the Game 4 collapse to go down 3-games-to-1, we now take a look at the Phils to get our series bet back and cut our series play deficit in half with the NLCS. And with Cole Hamels going for us tonight, and this lineup hitting the way it has, there might not be anything that can stop Philadelphia.
I have no confidence in Chad Billingsley tonight. He showed me nothing in game two allowing 8 earned in 2 1/3 innings and I saw nothing in that performance that gives me any confidence that tonight will be any different. This guy is not a big game pitcher. I love his quote today, "It's pretty much do or die. We've just got to come ready to play."
Give me a break. Gees Chad, you would think every game is really important. Guess you didn't come ready to play in game 2.
All the pressure in the world is on the Dodgers and if they were pressing at the end of game four, they will be pressing even more tonight.
This Phils team has come together, despite Ryan Howard and Chase Utley's deficiencies at the plate.
Let's hedge a bit on the series play and take the road chalk here.
Hot Forum Topics
