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'10-11 NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00u
'10-11 MLB: 97-66 (59.8%) +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P: 9-3 (75.0%) +9.22u
'11-12 NFL: 30-25-1 (54.5%) +4.05u
'11-12 NCAAB: 3-0 (100.0%) +3.00u'11-12 NCAAF: 15-14 (51.7%) -0.60u
12:00 EST - Georgia @ Georgia Tech Over 54.5 (-110)
Georgia hasn't played anybody worth anything offensively this season. Georgia Tech will by far be the best offense they've seen to date (besides LSU who they will be meeting in the SEC Championship game). So their defensive success this year is a bit inflated. I'm expecting Georgia Tech to get at least 3 touchdowns today off this Georgia defense. Georgia Tech's defense is even worse. They're Swiss Cheese out there. They average giving up 24 points per game in the freaking ACC. Duke scored 38 points! Georgia should have their way in this game, but I'm weary of backing them on the spread because they may be looking ahead to the LSU game. For that reason, I'll just stick with the over in a game between a defense that's overrated and a defense we know is just flat out bad.
3:30 EST - Alabama -21 (-110)
To be frank, this line is begging for Auburn action. They've won 7 out of the last 10 Iron Bowls and they're playing at home today. How can they be GETTING three touchdowns?! They're getting those three touchdowns for a couple of reasons.. and unfortunately for Auburn backers, three won't be enough. First, Alabama is looking at this as a revenge game for last season, when they blew a huge lead and ultimately facilitated in Auburn's run to the national title. Second, they're still trying to make a case that they should rematch LSU in the national championship game this season so they have every motivation to win and win big today. Why do I think they can do this? Take a look at how Auburn played against the other top teams in the SEC. They've played @LSU, @GEO, @ARK - failed to cover the spread in each of those games and lost by a combined 31-128. That's an average margin of defeat of 32 points per game. Granted, these were all road games, so lets say you swing that margin 6 points (3 point adjustment for the home team). That's still a margin of defeat of 26 points. 26>21. I'll take Alabama, as I think they're better than LSU, GEO and ARK, to cover this ridiculously high spread on the road.
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Good luck today!
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