Success visited this corner of the forum last week (9-7, .563). The full-season performance record is now .553 (84-68-3). That unique combination of both volume & success is an accomplishment (humble opinion), so no complaints. With that, the box shows all of these on this week’s ticker tape: 1) AppState(+2.5)/GeorgiaSouth 2) LA-Lafayette(-9.5)/LA-Monroe 3) NorthTexas(-11)/Temple 4) Toledo(-8)/Akron L 5) USC(+7.5)/NotreDame 6) MiamiOhio(+3)/BowlingGreen 7) UAB(+3)/Charlotte 8) Marshall(+3.5)/JamesMadison 9) JacksonvilleSt(+2)/WestKentucky 10) Stanford(+3)/SanJoseSt 11) UTSA(+7.5)/Army 12) Pittsburgh(+5)/BostonCollege 13) KansasState(+3)/IowaState 14) NorthCarSt(+3.5)/NorthCarolina 15) WestVirginia(+3.5)/TexasTech 16) Virginia(+7.5)/VirginiaTech 17) Navy(+2.5)/EastCarolina 18) UtahState(+6)/ColoradoSt 19) CoastalCar(+1)/GeorgiaSt
System rank value had taken somewhat of a backseat since the algorithm was formally adjusted seven weeks ago. However, ever the data-watcher, the system’s upper-strength has asserted itself. Over that time, the top six have gone .683 (28-13-1).
Some requested slack on the above. For the record, I have yet to place on several best-bets due to their ‘intractable’ short-week non-advantageous line magnitudes (+2.5, +6, -11). I won’t get what I want on most – but like most of my ilk (degenerate gamblers); I’m an optimist.
An observation. The algorithm normally stays pretty low key; rarely venturing out to predict marque games. Justified or not, the Human Administrator has always liked that subtle characteristic, feeling like big-money contests also produce Big Scrutiny -- and ultimately a tougher line. However, the box was on both of last Saturday’s large SEC upsets (Okla/Alabama & Florida/Miss). Further, Florida opened at +6.5 and closed at +13. So, among our wagering brethren, the Gators were very much a contrarian pick. As they say, a dog that barked.......
This is our last major-volume week. And a first for season 2024 -- we have the full-slate of 67 games. Here’s hoping you can turn that volume-opportunity into dollars, along with a grand experience today. Happy Thanksgiving! Good luck, TheKingfish
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Success visited this corner of the forum last week (9-7, .563). The full-season performance record is now .553 (84-68-3). That unique combination of both volume & success is an accomplishment (humble opinion), so no complaints. With that, the box shows all of these on this week’s ticker tape: 1) AppState(+2.5)/GeorgiaSouth 2) LA-Lafayette(-9.5)/LA-Monroe 3) NorthTexas(-11)/Temple 4) Toledo(-8)/Akron L 5) USC(+7.5)/NotreDame 6) MiamiOhio(+3)/BowlingGreen 7) UAB(+3)/Charlotte 8) Marshall(+3.5)/JamesMadison 9) JacksonvilleSt(+2)/WestKentucky 10) Stanford(+3)/SanJoseSt 11) UTSA(+7.5)/Army 12) Pittsburgh(+5)/BostonCollege 13) KansasState(+3)/IowaState 14) NorthCarSt(+3.5)/NorthCarolina 15) WestVirginia(+3.5)/TexasTech 16) Virginia(+7.5)/VirginiaTech 17) Navy(+2.5)/EastCarolina 18) UtahState(+6)/ColoradoSt 19) CoastalCar(+1)/GeorgiaSt
System rank value had taken somewhat of a backseat since the algorithm was formally adjusted seven weeks ago. However, ever the data-watcher, the system’s upper-strength has asserted itself. Over that time, the top six have gone .683 (28-13-1).
Some requested slack on the above. For the record, I have yet to place on several best-bets due to their ‘intractable’ short-week non-advantageous line magnitudes (+2.5, +6, -11). I won’t get what I want on most – but like most of my ilk (degenerate gamblers); I’m an optimist.
An observation. The algorithm normally stays pretty low key; rarely venturing out to predict marque games. Justified or not, the Human Administrator has always liked that subtle characteristic, feeling like big-money contests also produce Big Scrutiny -- and ultimately a tougher line. However, the box was on both of last Saturday’s large SEC upsets (Okla/Alabama & Florida/Miss). Further, Florida opened at +6.5 and closed at +13. So, among our wagering brethren, the Gators were very much a contrarian pick. As they say, a dog that barked.......
This is our last major-volume week. And a first for season 2024 -- we have the full-slate of 67 games. Here’s hoping you can turn that volume-opportunity into dollars, along with a grand experience today. Happy Thanksgiving! Good luck, TheKingfish
Monitoring them all, this is a late-addition based on line movement: 6.5) SanDiegoSt(+5.5)/AirForce
Though I have not actually placed this one yet.....
Given that the Aztecs host the last game on the board tonight, the HA is figuring we might have those numerous favorite-lovers push the number upward. Please note in passing -- I am allowed to make “timing” decisions. However, in the end (FYI), the algorithm’s basement is the current 5.5. Good luck, TheKingfish
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Monitoring them all, this is a late-addition based on line movement: 6.5) SanDiegoSt(+5.5)/AirForce
Though I have not actually placed this one yet.....
Given that the Aztecs host the last game on the board tonight, the HA is figuring we might have those numerous favorite-lovers push the number upward. Please note in passing -- I am allowed to make “timing” decisions. However, in the end (FYI), the algorithm’s basement is the current 5.5. Good luck, TheKingfish
For the record.......an operator error to report. A certain element of the algorithm is brand new – and I totally misread it earlier today. Apology as needed, but I’m actually flipping my pick on that last game. 6.5) AirForce(-5)/SanDiegoSt
With that reduced line, I have not placed yet but, as it turns out, the box likes the Falcons up to and beyond -7. Good luck, TheKingfish
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For the record.......an operator error to report. A certain element of the algorithm is brand new – and I totally misread it earlier today. Apology as needed, but I’m actually flipping my pick on that last game. 6.5) AirForce(-5)/SanDiegoSt
With that reduced line, I have not placed yet but, as it turns out, the box likes the Falcons up to and beyond -7. Good luck, TheKingfish