Between 70% to 75% of the money is on Indiana in most books. It is public knowledge. Yet, the line continues to fall. It is a contrarian play. The books are begging for Indiana money.
So far underdogs in the playoffs are 6-3 vs the spread and 5-4 straight up.
Oregon is a dog that can score. This is big when picking an underdog. The total was steamed today to 50 1/2! People expect points to be scored tonight.
Oregon is a conference dog. This helps in picking dogs.
Oregon also has the revenge angle from losing earlier in the year to Indiana and also own the underdog role. If you watch college football, then you have seen Dan Lanning in interviews. If you don't think he wants revenge and has been chirping at his players all week about being disrespected...then I don't know what to tell you. He will have his players jacked up.
Indiana barely beat Penn State. They were losing to Iowa in the 4th quarter. Indiana is not invincible.
Robo Jackson, AI betting specialists, have Oregon winning the game. Two rhythm models also have Oregon winning the game.
I don't believe in locks or plays of the year bullshit.
I do believe that Oregon plus 3 1/2 is a tremendous bet. I believe plus three is still an outstanding bet. I even believe that playing Oregon on the money line is a really good bet. It is football and players and coaches make mistakes.
This is the side. Tonight we shall see if I'm right.
Hot Forum Topics
