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    All Forums | College Football

    NCAA wk 4

    «First Previous 234 ... 91011 Next Last»
    McGuire87
    lombardiBest
    vorvan
    MEGALOCKS
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    «First Previous 234 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    McGuire87
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 2:40 AM ET #26

    I think the reasons behind Arkansas' demise pretty much centers around OC Jim Chaney leaving Bielema for Pat Narduzzi and Pitt. 

    Chaney is widely regarded as one of the best offensive coordinators in the college game. As a Buccaneers fan, I wanted to meet Monte Kiffin - so one year I went to a coaching clinic at University of Tennessee when Lane Kiffin was the HC. Chaney was the offensive coordinator at the time - and let me tell you he blew the high school coaches in attendance away. Chaney gave a presentation on his game planning organization and preparation and it literally lasted one whole hour probably 60 slides. Unreal. He talked about knowing the opposing coaches personalities and everything. The guy really knows what he is doing. He also coaches the OL and TEs with the Rams - he's no joke. 

    Arkansas losing Chaney was huge. I think Dan Enos (from Central Michigan - who knows how good he really is) is a massive step down from Chaney. I have no idea why Arkansas power running game isn't there but I think it all comes down to the coaching. 

    Arkansas looking like a fade team from here on out for me. Going to continue to analyze the A&M game but I think this is Bielema's last season in Arkansas...and I bet Chaney left behind this outstanding offense + SEC glory because Bielema is probably a jerk. Not saying this all factors into my handicapping - just saying. 



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    I think the reasons behind Arkansas' demise pretty much centers around OC Jim Chaney leaving Bielema for Pat Narduzzi and Pitt. 

    Chaney is widely regarded as one of the best offensive coordinators in the college game. As a Buccaneers fan, I wanted to meet Monte Kiffin - so one year I went to a coaching clinic at University of Tennessee when Lane Kiffin was the HC. Chaney was the offensive coordinator at the time - and let me tell you he blew the high school coaches in attendance away. Chaney gave a presentation on his game planning organization and preparation and it literally lasted one whole hour probably 60 slides. Unreal. He talked about knowing the opposing coaches personalities and everything. The guy really knows what he is doing. He also coaches the OL and TEs with the Rams - he's no joke. 

    Arkansas losing Chaney was huge. I think Dan Enos (from Central Michigan - who knows how good he really is) is a massive step down from Chaney. I have no idea why Arkansas power running game isn't there but I think it all comes down to the coaching. 

    Arkansas looking like a fade team from here on out for me. Going to continue to analyze the A&M game but I think this is Bielema's last season in Arkansas...and I bet Chaney left behind this outstanding offense + SEC glory because Bielema is probably a jerk. Not saying this all factors into my handicapping - just saying. 



     
    lombardiBest
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 3:44 AM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

    TEXAS AM -3
    why do we have insurance, because things happen. Take these Teasers in sets of 2 any which combo you want. Penn State, NC State, LSU, Marshall, LA Tech, and VTech.
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    Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

    TEXAS AM -3
    why do we have insurance, because things happen. Take these Teasers in sets of 2 any which combo you want. Penn State, NC State, LSU, Marshall, LA Tech, and VTech.
     
    vorvan
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 3:47 AM ET #28

    Texa AM in bet365   -7,0
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    Texa AM in bet365   -7,0
     
    lombardiBest
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 3:50 AM ET #29

    Teaser these in any sets of 2. Penn State, VTech, LSU, LA Tech, NC State, Texas A&M....Never go wrong with insurance.
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    Teaser these in any sets of 2. Penn State, VTech, LSU, LA Tech, NC State, Texas A&M....Never go wrong with insurance.
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 9:24 AM ET #30

    thx everyone

    Rico - Kansas will not be on the radar if only because Rutgers is unpredictably unpredictable and always have the entire team on the injury report - not to mention players engaging in random gunplay while coaches help players cheat on exams and mobsters execute people in local coffee shops. Just a no play but won't say no if you have the guts !! GL this wk buddy

    DavidN -  one of the best

    mbiddy - thx  got a couple of hot ones for a change last wk was too sluggish off the mark so made sure I was ready with a hot list this wk - GL buddy

    Double - great to see you back ! thx man

    Lombardi

    McGuire - as always GREAT intel  I love reading that inside stuff about a program - thanks for posting that....Did not realize what a huge downgrade that potentially was at OC. GL  and keep up your awesome work

    Vorvan -  that is some serious STEAM

    second play

    EARLY TASTER

    Penn St -11

    As we noted - was 9.5 for a brief moment had all my screens open - flip over to the one with the penn st boxscores for a second to confirm something - and BOOM -11. No -10.  Got all the bets in posted then a short while later it was -12 see some 13s this morning we would take it up to 13.5 as we said yesterday. And keep in mind - you can always play a SD TT under -or a game total under - or whatever if you like this play but do not like the number - be creative if you can or pass the game

    Still getting some value off Penn St loss to Temple - but Temple no slouch - Penn St gave up 10 sacks that day - but have given up ZERO since that game - and sparkling freshman S Barkley ran for 115 vs Buffalo followed by 195 2 td vs Rutgers...Overall Penn rushed for well over 300Y last wk and their D is developing into the brick wall we hoped for - 17 points allowed last 2 home games - SD ST breaking in a new QB - really all they have is a star RB and we do not see them running at all - and when that does not happen good luck MATRICULATING on Penn St in the passing game.....Good situation - Penn just has Army on deck - SD has MWC play approaching - and all their goals are still ahead of them do not think this is the game they put it all out - will be getting a bunch of guys back from suspension too soon so SD St is still in fine shape even if they get creamed here. Like we said last wk - we thought UConn could cover vs Mizz even if they got negative points somehow - well the worry this wk is that Penn St needs to score 12 to cover 11

    GL mega

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    thx everyone

    Rico - Kansas will not be on the radar if only because Rutgers is unpredictably unpredictable and always have the entire team on the injury report - not to mention players engaging in random gunplay while coaches help players cheat on exams and mobsters execute people in local coffee shops. Just a no play but won't say no if you have the guts !! GL this wk buddy

    DavidN -  one of the best

    mbiddy - thx  got a couple of hot ones for a change last wk was too sluggish off the mark so made sure I was ready with a hot list this wk - GL buddy

    Double - great to see you back ! thx man

    Lombardi

    McGuire - as always GREAT intel  I love reading that inside stuff about a program - thanks for posting that....Did not realize what a huge downgrade that potentially was at OC. GL  and keep up your awesome work

    Vorvan -  that is some serious STEAM

    second play

    EARLY TASTER

    Penn St -11

    As we noted - was 9.5 for a brief moment had all my screens open - flip over to the one with the penn st boxscores for a second to confirm something - and BOOM -11. No -10.  Got all the bets in posted then a short while later it was -12 see some 13s this morning we would take it up to 13.5 as we said yesterday. And keep in mind - you can always play a SD TT under -or a game total under - or whatever if you like this play but do not like the number - be creative if you can or pass the game

    Still getting some value off Penn St loss to Temple - but Temple no slouch - Penn St gave up 10 sacks that day - but have given up ZERO since that game - and sparkling freshman S Barkley ran for 115 vs Buffalo followed by 195 2 td vs Rutgers...Overall Penn rushed for well over 300Y last wk and their D is developing into the brick wall we hoped for - 17 points allowed last 2 home games - SD ST breaking in a new QB - really all they have is a star RB and we do not see them running at all - and when that does not happen good luck MATRICULATING on Penn St in the passing game.....Good situation - Penn just has Army on deck - SD has MWC play approaching - and all their goals are still ahead of them do not think this is the game they put it all out - will be getting a bunch of guys back from suspension too soon so SD St is still in fine shape even if they get creamed here. Like we said last wk - we thought UConn could cover vs Mizz even if they got negative points somehow - well the worry this wk is that Penn St needs to score 12 to cover 11

    GL mega

     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 9:25 AM ET #31

    up next - SEC write-ups

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    up next - SEC write-ups

     
    Area51
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 9:40 AM ET #32

    Mega you moved the lines again. 

    Like the Aggies play.  But got it at 7.  If it floats down may put a little more on it.  Ck out TCU this week.  Saw Davin is on it as well.  So if you really want to be hip, it is what all us cool kids are doing.  Lol

    Goog luck as always.  And tell Carl I have not forgotten and will call him back.  
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    Mega you moved the lines again. 

    Like the Aggies play.  But got it at 7.  If it floats down may put a little more on it.  Ck out TCU this week.  Saw Davin is on it as well.  So if you really want to be hip, it is what all us cool kids are doing.  Lol

    Goog luck as always.  And tell Carl I have not forgotten and will call him back.  
     
    mrdish33
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 9:49 AM ET #33

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    BYUdline56
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 9:49 AM ET #34

    Megalocks, first of all thank you for the excellebt write ups. I am now a crack addict. Also, LSU was just a pleasure to watch last week My beloved mormons finally sank into the sea of Gallilea but i got paid anyway. I was just wondering if you still see value in Penn State at 13 or 13.5? Thanks again and may the Gool lord smile upon us yet again this week.
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    Megalocks, first of all thank you for the excellebt write ups. I am now a crack addict. Also, LSU was just a pleasure to watch last week My beloved mormons finally sank into the sea of Gallilea but i got paid anyway. I was just wondering if you still see value in Penn State at 13 or 13.5? Thanks again and may the Gool lord smile upon us yet again this week.
     
    Pickmywhat
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 9:58 AM ET #35

    What a handicapper Mega! Your management is as good as your handicapping which is an awesome combo.
    Think Tech/TCU will move below 7 and that's when I will make a medium play on Frogs. 
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    What a handicapper Mega! Your management is as good as your handicapping which is an awesome combo.
    Think Tech/TCU will move below 7 and that's when I will make a medium play on Frogs. 
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 10:24 AM ET #36

    thx guys  appreciate it

    Area51 - I am very interested in the TCU game...Can see the merits in both sides - need to do more digging - we are developing a man crush on Tex Tech and their beefcake HC but more importantly they are playing really well.....Our staff member Hot Carl is at the "massage parlor" right now will get back to you

    dish

    BYU - glad we could turn a fine citizen like yourself into a crack pipe special addict We knew Covers Nation were a bunch of lunatics when we gave out a pick that lost 59-0 or something many moons ago and people wanted MORE  Crazy. Yes LSU did what we thought. Fortunately it worked out. You have to be happy with BYU so scrappy. We would take Penn St up to 13.5. GL

    pickmywhat ....I would not take Tex AM any higher than 6.5 to be honest I mean if you really like em maybe ML parlay with another 7 pt fav you like ? I doubt it goes higher Arkansas is no slouch cannot imagine it getting into the 8-10 range but who knows.......YES you nailed something important - the more we have focused on money management the past few years the better your accounts look at the end of the year -Many focus on getting the "right" picks but they bet too much and end up losing going 6-4 or breaking even going 2-1 because the one loser was an imaginary multiple unit play. GL this wk

    Alabama 39 ULM

    Megalocks line -35

    Definitely a touch of value here - at least according to our PR which have it a bit lower + the situation favors ULM off bye and Bama in big sandwich spot off Ole Miss and Georgia next - dear God just looked at their schedule again pretty freaking crazy - anyway - Bama outgained Ole Miss but -5 in turnovers and Ole Miss played well but were beneficiaries of some charity....We think Bama wins by between 28-45 so maybe you can squeeze in a win with ULM here - You guys know we had MTSU vs Bama as the season's first CRACK PIPE SPECIAL winner  but ULM OL is worse and so is their D....BAD recipe Bama will run wild and kill them off play action - The wild card is that is looks like ULM has the best pure passing QB we have seen in a while...Kolton Browning was one of our favs too but maybe the new QB and increased pass frequency will get ULM into some OVERS later in the year.

    Summary - lean ULM at 39 or more.

    (lean - meaning we are not betting on it - but if you said "hey we like ULM" - we would say - ya we can support that; If you liked Bama - we would not talk you out of it)

    mega

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    thx guys  appreciate it

    Area51 - I am very interested in the TCU game...Can see the merits in both sides - need to do more digging - we are developing a man crush on Tex Tech and their beefcake HC but more importantly they are playing really well.....Our staff member Hot Carl is at the "massage parlor" right now will get back to you

    dish

    BYU - glad we could turn a fine citizen like yourself into a crack pipe special addict We knew Covers Nation were a bunch of lunatics when we gave out a pick that lost 59-0 or something many moons ago and people wanted MORE  Crazy. Yes LSU did what we thought. Fortunately it worked out. You have to be happy with BYU so scrappy. We would take Penn St up to 13.5. GL

    pickmywhat ....I would not take Tex AM any higher than 6.5 to be honest I mean if you really like em maybe ML parlay with another 7 pt fav you like ? I doubt it goes higher Arkansas is no slouch cannot imagine it getting into the 8-10 range but who knows.......YES you nailed something important - the more we have focused on money management the past few years the better your accounts look at the end of the year -Many focus on getting the "right" picks but they bet too much and end up losing going 6-4 or breaking even going 2-1 because the one loser was an imaginary multiple unit play. GL this wk

    Alabama 39 ULM

    Megalocks line -35

    Definitely a touch of value here - at least according to our PR which have it a bit lower + the situation favors ULM off bye and Bama in big sandwich spot off Ole Miss and Georgia next - dear God just looked at their schedule again pretty freaking crazy - anyway - Bama outgained Ole Miss but -5 in turnovers and Ole Miss played well but were beneficiaries of some charity....We think Bama wins by between 28-45 so maybe you can squeeze in a win with ULM here - You guys know we had MTSU vs Bama as the season's first CRACK PIPE SPECIAL winner  but ULM OL is worse and so is their D....BAD recipe Bama will run wild and kill them off play action - The wild card is that is looks like ULM has the best pure passing QB we have seen in a while...Kolton Browning was one of our favs too but maybe the new QB and increased pass frequency will get ULM into some OVERS later in the year.

    Summary - lean ULM at 39 or more.

    (lean - meaning we are not betting on it - but if you said "hey we like ULM" - we would say - ya we can support that; If you liked Bama - we would not talk you out of it)

    mega

     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 10:40 AM ET #37

    LSU 24 Syracuse

    Megalocks line 21

    A decent spot for an underdog cover in theory - LSU won and looked good vs Auburn (letdown?) and the strength of Cuse D is vs the run (ranked #3) and they just have trouble with good passing QBs - Rush got them for 400+ and that was our worry last wk....Having said that - if you take away the sack yardage the rushing yds for CM last wk look a bit better - Spalding got them for 83 and Hayes for 51....Really the D did not have a great day - of course it did not help that their QB took a brutal hit and they used 3 QBs - and THAT is why this is a no play for us - Can't imagine Dungey will play after getting killed especially with a bye on deck - and keep in mind if he does not then we are talking about 3rd-5th string guys getting in vs LSU and imagine if another one gets popped Gonna pass- a game where local knowledge can come in handy which we do not have despite our correspondents dominating all over the globe - We will see what SyracuseJoe has to say in his thread

    Summary - no leanage

    mega

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    LSU 24 Syracuse

    Megalocks line 21

    A decent spot for an underdog cover in theory - LSU won and looked good vs Auburn (letdown?) and the strength of Cuse D is vs the run (ranked #3) and they just have trouble with good passing QBs - Rush got them for 400+ and that was our worry last wk....Having said that - if you take away the sack yardage the rushing yds for CM last wk look a bit better - Spalding got them for 83 and Hayes for 51....Really the D did not have a great day - of course it did not help that their QB took a brutal hit and they used 3 QBs - and THAT is why this is a no play for us - Can't imagine Dungey will play after getting killed especially with a bye on deck - and keep in mind if he does not then we are talking about 3rd-5th string guys getting in vs LSU and imagine if another one gets popped Gonna pass- a game where local knowledge can come in handy which we do not have despite our correspondents dominating all over the globe - We will see what SyracuseJoe has to say in his thread

    Summary - no leanage

    mega

     
    BYUdline56
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 10:52 AM ET #38

    Mega, thanks for you spectacular write-ups. I am now a crack-headed mormon fiend. Lsu was a pleasure to watch too. Was hoping to get your thoughts on PSU at -13.5. Is there still value? Thanks in advance, and may God smile upon us in week 4.
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    Mega, thanks for you spectacular write-ups. I am now a crack-headed mormon fiend. Lsu was a pleasure to watch too. Was hoping to get your thoughts on PSU at -13.5. Is there still value? Thanks in advance, and may God smile upon us in week 4.
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 10:58 AM ET #39

    BYU - yes I would take up to -13.5. I know it sounds strange - but once the value is gone it is gone. I think the fair line is closer to 16-17 range I would want to bet Penn St only if a 14 pt win got me the cash. GL !
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    BYU - yes I would take up to -13.5. I know it sounds strange - but once the value is gone it is gone. I think the fair line is closer to 16-17 range I would want to bet Penn St only if a 14 pt win got me the cash. GL !
     
    UGA520
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 12:09 PM ET #40

    Strong work Mega!! Stay hot this week, as always go "UCF" 

    Go DAWGS!!! Good ol' rocky top enjoy that 2nd place seat in the east the rest of the year!!!  
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    Strong work Mega!! Stay hot this week, as always go "UCF" 

    Go DAWGS!!! Good ol' rocky top enjoy that 2nd place seat in the east the rest of the year!!!  
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 12:12 PM ET #41

    Thx UGA  ...."UCF" baby !!

    holy cow those DAWGS looked good last week and apparently your QB is getting better

    GL mega

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    Thx UGA  ...."UCF" baby !!

    holy cow those DAWGS looked good last week and apparently your QB is getting better

    GL mega

     
    Cranks
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 1:03 PM ET #42

    Penn State is -14.5 at my guy
    A&M is -7. 

    Waiting...
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    Penn State is -14.5 at my guy
    A&M is -7. 

    Waiting...
     
    syracusejoe
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 1:25 PM ET #43

    Good luck bud. Great catch on a&m line. I am not sure what the over/under line will be for LSU game. That might be the play if somehow it ends up high 40's. I haven't looked and my book doesn't have it up. I think it will be around 44. I can't see syracuse scoring more than 10 points unless its a blowout. Then they may score late.
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    Good luck bud. Great catch on a&m line. I am not sure what the over/under line will be for LSU game. That might be the play if somehow it ends up high 40's. I haven't looked and my book doesn't have it up. I think it will be around 44. I can't see syracuse scoring more than 10 points unless its a blowout. Then they may score late.
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 1:32 PM ET #44

    Train69 appreciates ML INC and therefore will allow both Chuck B and Hot Carl to take this week off.....

    Kentucky over Mizzou is the **** Unicorn Bigfoot Loch Ness Monster Female Orgasm**** lock of the week

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    Train69 appreciates ML INC and therefore will allow both Chuck B and Hot Carl to take this week off.....

    Kentucky over Mizzou is the **** Unicorn Bigfoot Loch Ness Monster Female Orgasm**** lock of the week

     
    TitosTacos
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 1:55 PM ET #45

    Mega,

    I've been following you since last year. Thanks for all of your picks and insight. I had a question and I don't have the time to go back and look through the threads... what is your record through the first three weeks this year in college football?
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    Mega,

    I've been following you since last year. Thanks for all of your picks and insight. I had a question and I don't have the time to go back and look through the threads... what is your record through the first three weeks this year in college football?
     
    Urbanwildlife
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 1:59 PM ET #46

    Hey Titos Tacos,
    What difference does it make? You read his insights and then do your own due diligence. What is your record for the first 3 weeks?
    SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
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    Hey Titos Tacos,
    What difference does it make? You read his insights and then do your own due diligence. What is your record for the first 3 weeks?
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 2:12 PM ET #47

    thanks everyone  appreciate the comments and discussion

    cranks  good job buddy; you have to wait and try not to chase lines when they rocket up just MY opinion but I think long term - if that is what you are in for - then every bet (unless a degenerate action play which we all make) must be taken at the best odds you can get. Right now since you missed those (just like we missed Va Tech -4 and -6) you have to wait for the puppy to come back or make a different play on that game or just pass.

    train ....Keep up the good work buddy ....Man I hear you on Mizz but I watched every snap of that game last wk....I hate betting against Mizz - maybe have done it twice in the last 5 yrs....One thing I did notice is that Mizz DL is one crazy penetrating bunch of freaks and that Kentucky QB looks like a man with no legs running in quicksand - Need to look at that one some more. GL !

    Titos - fortunately 3 winning weeks just hoping for another one this wk this is a tough game GL !

    Joe -  My prediction is total of 44 with implied score of 34-10 would consider TT under 10.5 GL !

     

    mega

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    thanks everyone  appreciate the comments and discussion

    cranks  good job buddy; you have to wait and try not to chase lines when they rocket up just MY opinion but I think long term - if that is what you are in for - then every bet (unless a degenerate action play which we all make) must be taken at the best odds you can get. Right now since you missed those (just like we missed Va Tech -4 and -6) you have to wait for the puppy to come back or make a different play on that game or just pass.

    train ....Keep up the good work buddy ....Man I hear you on Mizz but I watched every snap of that game last wk....I hate betting against Mizz - maybe have done it twice in the last 5 yrs....One thing I did notice is that Mizz DL is one crazy penetrating bunch of freaks and that Kentucky QB looks like a man with no legs running in quicksand - Need to look at that one some more. GL !

    Titos - fortunately 3 winning weeks just hoping for another one this wk this is a tough game GL !

    Joe -  My prediction is total of 44 with implied score of 34-10 would consider TT under 10.5 GL !

     

    mega

     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 2:40 PM ET #48

    Auburn 3 Miss St

    Megalocks line - pick em

    Just looking at the last couple of weeks it appears simple - LSU destroyed Auburn - LSU squeeked by Miss St.....Common opponent handicapping 101?? Well Auburn game was on the road / Miss St game at home...But we do see some merit in that approach to a point...Miss St we believe did not get full marks for their game vs LSU and that was just one reason we backed LSU last wk....Dak still solid at QB...0 int so far and the spot looks good - Auburn off giving up 400 yds rushing - Miss St off a tune up....So we DO lean Miss St at a FG or more....but two things keep this at a lean for NOW but it is on our radar for a play...1) Need to verify who is in and who is out on the defensive side of the ball for Auburn injuries often overrated but want to have an idea of exactly how many starters may be out and how thin the DL is 2) we are not Auburn experts and always look forward to the local guys takes - but our correspondents tell us that Sean White may get the start at QB for Auburn - he got 100% of the snaps with the #1s in practice - now that may not mean anything - and he may stink - but our point is that could be just enough of a spark to help turn Auburn around I mean they don't stink and get this one at home - a big win here and things are turned around....Again - just some rumblings we read - but JJ has 6 INT - and you did not want to throw in a new QB at LSU - so maybe just maybe this is a turning point for Auburn....Really surprised at the -3 and believe it or not this puppy was -4 on BOL initially for a minute or two.

    Summary - lean Miss St at +3 or better. On short list of potential adds.

    mega

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    Auburn 3 Miss St

    Megalocks line - pick em

    Just looking at the last couple of weeks it appears simple - LSU destroyed Auburn - LSU squeeked by Miss St.....Common opponent handicapping 101?? Well Auburn game was on the road / Miss St game at home...But we do see some merit in that approach to a point...Miss St we believe did not get full marks for their game vs LSU and that was just one reason we backed LSU last wk....Dak still solid at QB...0 int so far and the spot looks good - Auburn off giving up 400 yds rushing - Miss St off a tune up....So we DO lean Miss St at a FG or more....but two things keep this at a lean for NOW but it is on our radar for a play...1) Need to verify who is in and who is out on the defensive side of the ball for Auburn injuries often overrated but want to have an idea of exactly how many starters may be out and how thin the DL is 2) we are not Auburn experts and always look forward to the local guys takes - but our correspondents tell us that Sean White may get the start at QB for Auburn - he got 100% of the snaps with the #1s in practice - now that may not mean anything - and he may stink - but our point is that could be just enough of a spark to help turn Auburn around I mean they don't stink and get this one at home - a big win here and things are turned around....Again - just some rumblings we read - but JJ has 6 INT - and you did not want to throw in a new QB at LSU - so maybe just maybe this is a turning point for Auburn....Really surprised at the -3 and believe it or not this puppy was -4 on BOL initially for a minute or two.

    Summary - lean Miss St at +3 or better. On short list of potential adds.

    mega

     
    McGuire87
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 5:26 PM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

    that Kentucky QB looks like a man with no legs running in quicksand - Need to look at that one some more. GL !


    Funny. Kentucky's OC has wanted his QB to stay in the pocket this season often I read practice reports berating the QB for running around. Thought the QB did a terrible job not moving into space or stepping up in the pocket. This could get corrected for next week, but I think the Kentucky QB just has bad football instincts all around honestly. That said, he can still get covers and make plays- moreso than Missouri's QB that's for sure. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

    that Kentucky QB looks like a man with no legs running in quicksand - Need to look at that one some more. GL !


    Funny. Kentucky's OC has wanted his QB to stay in the pocket this season often I read practice reports berating the QB for running around. Thought the QB did a terrible job not moving into space or stepping up in the pocket. This could get corrected for next week, but I think the Kentucky QB just has bad football instincts all around honestly. That said, he can still get covers and make plays- moreso than Missouri's QB that's for sure. 
     
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 5:47 PM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by McGuire87:


    Funny. Kentucky's OC has wanted his QB to stay in the pocket this season often I read practice reports berating the QB for running around. Thought the QB did a terrible job not moving into space or stepping up in the pocket. This could get corrected for next week, but I think the Kentucky QB just has bad football instincts all around honestly. That said, he can still get covers and make plays- moreso than Missouri's QB that's for sure. 

     glad to see my instincts on Kentucky QB were on the mark according to your knowledge - Florida's D was making things tough for him but he just seemed to have no pocket presence and made some questionable decisions but I know they are just kids just wondering how he is gonna do against Mizz D I feel like you and Train have this one nailed BUT I am thinking Kentucky is gonna earn all the points they get the Mizz D still looks pretty good and can create havoc.

    Ole Miss 25 Vandy

    Megalocks line - 24

    On one hand - it does not look like Ole Miss is a team you wanna fade right now - but on the other hand - after coming off 2 big pointspread covers and two games scoring over 70 points - rest assured anyone playing Ole Miss wk is paying full price - not to mention with Florida on deck this is a big sandwich spot for them...QB Kelly looks fantastic so far was a little disappointed in how they could not put Bama away even being +5 in turnovers - but that is kinda being picky - they won - and we have them in our Top 5....Just not sure this is the spot.....Vandy has been playing some good D - WKU and GA no slouches - esp that pass D held WK down and the GA QB looked great last wk vs SC so maybe just maybe this one might be a bit tighter than we think - QB JM is passing for a lot of yds but still 6 int....Trivia note - Vandy WR Trent Sherfield caught a school record 240Y receiving on 16 catches last wk...What worries us? Vandy is #124 in turnover margin after going -16 last yr ; and no way they run on Ole Miss.

    Potentially useless trend...Vandy 10-4 L14 ATS vs Ole Miss.

    Summary - no leanage

    mega

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    Quote Originally Posted by McGuire87:


    Funny. Kentucky's OC has wanted his QB to stay in the pocket this season often I read practice reports berating the QB for running around. Thought the QB did a terrible job not moving into space or stepping up in the pocket. This could get corrected for next week, but I think the Kentucky QB just has bad football instincts all around honestly. That said, he can still get covers and make plays- moreso than Missouri's QB that's for sure. 

     glad to see my instincts on Kentucky QB were on the mark according to your knowledge - Florida's D was making things tough for him but he just seemed to have no pocket presence and made some questionable decisions but I know they are just kids just wondering how he is gonna do against Mizz D I feel like you and Train have this one nailed BUT I am thinking Kentucky is gonna earn all the points they get the Mizz D still looks pretty good and can create havoc.

    Ole Miss 25 Vandy

    Megalocks line - 24

    On one hand - it does not look like Ole Miss is a team you wanna fade right now - but on the other hand - after coming off 2 big pointspread covers and two games scoring over 70 points - rest assured anyone playing Ole Miss wk is paying full price - not to mention with Florida on deck this is a big sandwich spot for them...QB Kelly looks fantastic so far was a little disappointed in how they could not put Bama away even being +5 in turnovers - but that is kinda being picky - they won - and we have them in our Top 5....Just not sure this is the spot.....Vandy has been playing some good D - WKU and GA no slouches - esp that pass D held WK down and the GA QB looked great last wk vs SC so maybe just maybe this one might be a bit tighter than we think - QB JM is passing for a lot of yds but still 6 int....Trivia note - Vandy WR Trent Sherfield caught a school record 240Y receiving on 16 catches last wk...What worries us? Vandy is #124 in turnover margin after going -16 last yr ; and no way they run on Ole Miss.

    Potentially useless trend...Vandy 10-4 L14 ATS vs Ole Miss.

    Summary - no leanage

    mega

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